Short Trade on PYTH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2061.88 PYTH at 0.0607$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05918 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06458 (6.39 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 08:15:21
hyperliquid
PYTH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 14:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0607$
Qty 2061.8769 PYTH
Size 125.1497$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05918 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.13$
SL 0.06458 (-6.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.39
Status
loss
PnL
-0.13%
/ -0.17$
MAE -2.85%
MFE +1.11%
0.2R
expires
30 Oct 14:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 234986)
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 08:00
score du 30/10/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0237
Quality Score
0.350
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.69×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.92
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 08:01
30/10 08:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7336
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
62.9%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.178
Δ 4h
▲+0.072
Δ 12h
▲+0.560
Δ 24h
→-0.030
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.8% |
| 1h | 26.3% |
| 4h | 72.5% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.5% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 86.3% | +0.92% |
| 24h | 35.0% | -3.91% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.36
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.203
Universe :
80
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 08:02
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2866
Score SMA
0.4439
Rank
#45
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4824
Rank Norm SMA
0.7291
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2132 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.66% · r3d: -16.41% · ema21_slope: -0.4266% · dist_ema21: -15.664% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1518 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.52% · rs_3d: -13.71% · beta_24h: 0.967 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4223 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.747 · trend: -3.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6683 | ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.706% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3499
Score SMA
0.5208
Rank
#96
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0237
Rank Norm SMA
0.4553
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1632 | r1h: -0.896% · r4h: -0.294% · r1d: -13.11% · r3d: -15.89% · ema21_slope: -0.6401% · dist_ema21: -4.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2770 | rs_1h: -0.295% · rs_4h: 0.730% · rs_1d: -9.61% · rs_3d: -12.69% · beta_24h: 2.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1738 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.393 · trend: -74.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6332 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.711% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.2930
Score SMA
0.4422
Rank
#97
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0053
Rank Norm SMA
0.3395
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1521 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.294% · r1d: -13.11% · r3d: -15.89% · ema21_slope: -0.4992% · dist_ema21: -11.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2265 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.730% · rs_1d: -9.61% · rs_3d: -12.69% · beta_24h: 2.358 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2345 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.414 · trend: -3.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6585 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 25.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3698 | ATR%: 4.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.392%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.685% | 0.1R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.110% | 0.2R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.110% | 0.2R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.110% | 0.2R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -8.181% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -9.402% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -10.989% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -11.891% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 384 min
MAE in 844 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.95 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.95 | 30/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 48% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.73% | -0.82 | 30/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_low | -1.81% | -0.08 | 30/10 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454077
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.680 | expansion | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 14b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.19 | 94% | ↓ -0.43 | below_value | -4.23 | — | #215742 | 0.58 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.95 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#458079
|
↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | strong | fading | 0.740 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b -2.7ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | 52% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -5.41 | — | #217416 | 0.56 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.90% | -0.95 |
30/10 00:00
upd 30/10 04:22
|
|
1h
anchor #459564
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.487 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 48% | mid 10b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 31% | ↓ -0.56 | below_value | -5.86 | — | #218094 | 0.66 | bear_high | -2.73% | -0.82 |
30/10 06:00
upd 30/10 07:13
|
|
15m
#459964
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.645 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b -0.8ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.11 | 5% | ↓ -0.79 | below_value | -5.86 | — | #218094 | 0.56 | bear_low | -1.81% | -0.08 |
30/10 07:45
upd 30/10 08:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.176×ATR | p79 | -1.634×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.468×ATR | p74 | -2.655×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 1.546×ATR | p2 | -1.399×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.183×ATR | p25 | -0.786×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.06457696
- tp_price: 0.05917957
- atr: 0.00155198
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T18:15:21+00:00
Details
- rank: 96
- total: 97
- score: 0.1718
- delta_2h: -0.0615
- extension_atr: -1.5
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0211
- confidence: 0.99
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0607 | 0.06458 | 0.05918 | 0.39 | 0.06662 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0607
- Stop Loss: 0.06458
- Take Profit: 0.05918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06458 - 0.0607 = 0.00388
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0607 - 0.05918 = 0.00152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00152 / 0.00388 = 0.3918
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125.1497 | 100 | 2061.8769 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00388
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00388 = 2061.86
Taille de position USD = 2061.86 x 0.0607 = 125.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 2061.86 avec un stoploss a 0.06458
Avec un position size USD de 125.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2061.86 x 0.00388 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2061.86 x 0.00152 = 3.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2061.86
- Taille de position USD 125.15
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3918
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.17 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8501 % | 44.59 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0607 | 0.06458 | 0.05918 | 0.39 | 0.06662 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0607
- Stop Loss: 0.06458
- Take Profit: 0.05918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06458 - 0.0607 = 0.00388
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0607 - 0.05918 = 0.00152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00152 / 0.00388 = 0.3918
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.392%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.685% | 0.1R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.110% | 0.2R | -0.501% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.110% | 0.2R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.110% | 0.2R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -2.850% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -8.181% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -9.402% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -10.989% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.792% | 0.3R | -11.891% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 384 min
MAE in 844 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.