30 Oct 2026 at 09:05:28 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLFI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 6830.31 WLFI at 0.0505$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04761 (5.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05171 (2.31 %)

WLFI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 09:05 → 21:00 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.05054$

Qty 6830.3095 WLFI

Size 345.2107$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04761 (+5.8%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.05171 (-2.31%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +0.69% / +2.37$ MAE -0.76% MFE +1.39% 0.6R expires 30 Oct 21:05 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235025)
#31 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6113

Quality Score
0.492
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#31 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#31 / 97
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.31×ATR
4h near -2.04×ATR
1d near -1.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 09:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7340
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.3%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.017
Δ 4h
▲+0.254
Δ 12h
▲+0.500
Δ 24h
▼-0.068

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.3%
1h 67.5%
4h 62.5%
24h 12.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 67.5% +0.03%
4h 83.8% +0.55%
24h 27.5% -4.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.36
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion : 0.210
Universe : 80 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 09:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5274
Score SMA
0.4774
Rank
#9 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9059
Rank Norm SMA
0.8181
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2195 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.32% · r3d: -3.93% · ema21_slope: -0.3719% · dist_ema21: -6.285%
Force Relative 25% 0.4983 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.82% · rs_3d: -1.23% · beta_24h: 0.829
Volume 20% 0.9009 rvol_20: 2.95× · zscore_50: 2.335 · trend: 64.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5693 ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7138 ATR%: 3.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4923
Score SMA
0.5138
Rank
#31 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6113
Rank Norm SMA
0.4732
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4098 r1h: -0.160% · r4h: -1.279% · r1d: -1.41% · r3d: -3.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0406% · dist_ema21: -1.318%
Force Relative 25% 0.5370 rs_1h: 0.442% · rs_4h: -0.255% · rs_1d: 2.09% · rs_3d: -0.27% · beta_24h: 0.439
Volume 20% 0.2023 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.201 · trend: -38.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6307 ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.116% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5129
Score SMA
0.5109
Rank
#32 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7333
Rank Norm SMA
0.6289
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3439 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.279% · r1d: -1.41% · r3d: -3.46% · ema21_slope: -0.1461% · dist_ema21: -2.589%
Force Relative 25% 0.5170 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.255% · rs_1d: 2.09% · rs_3d: -0.27% · beta_24h: 0.525
Volume 20% 0.3901 rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.143 · trend: 72.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6831 ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.596% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.315% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.387% 0.6R -0.075% 0.0R 18.4× 12
2h +1.387% 0.6R -0.291% 0.1R 4.8× 24
4h +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 48
8h +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h ★ +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 143
24h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 287
36h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 432
48h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 575
72h +1.755% 0.8R -1.553% 0.7R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 904 min MAE in 224 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.79
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 36% late near -1.4ATR — 0.38 range_high +0.21% -0.51 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 39% late near -2.0ATR — 0.29 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.08 30/10 04:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.3ATR — 0.30 bear_high -3.25% +0.30 30/10 07:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.4ATR — 0.51 bear_low -1.79% -0.03 30/10 08:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454222
↓ down range range strong fading 0.593 compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 36% late 47b -1.9ATR near -1.4ATR — 2.95 85% ↑ +0.70 below_value -4.19 — #215774 0.38 range_high +0.21% -0.51
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
4h
#460271
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.392 expansion bear_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 39% late 1b -1.7ATR near -2.0ATR — 0.73 85% ↑ +0.59 below_value -4.33 — #218330 0.29 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.08
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:32
1h anchor
#460270
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.440 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 6b -1.0ATR near -1.3ATR — 0.35 73% ↓ -0.23 below_value -4.33 — #218330 0.30 bear_high -3.25% +0.30
30/10 07:00
upd 30/10 08:32
15m
#460394
↔ neutral range range strong fading 0.303 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid 11b -1.5ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.08 8% ↓ -0.59 below_value -4.33 — #218330 0.51 bear_low -1.79% -0.03
30/10 08:30
upd 30/10 08:45
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 47b — 5.335×ATR p63 -1.871×ATR p90
4h ↓ down late 1b — 2.04×ATR p0 -1.65×ATR p92
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 2.916×ATR p55 -1.032×ATR p61
15m ↓ down mid 11b — 3.466×ATR p68 -1.456×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7619
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.06×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.05171225
  5. tp_price: 0.04761286
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76186067198914
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-31T01:05:20.151270
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76186067198914
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0146
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0175
  15. micro_price : 0.05051921
  16. spread_pct : 0.039604
  17. mid_price : 0.05051
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0503
  19. bid_wall_size : 1921216
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0509
  22. ask_wall_size : 1578309
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0168
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0013
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7006
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.052215
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.0511015
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.05165825
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793203200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793361600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.0619
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    45
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7619
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793354400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.0511015
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7556
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.0379
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    11
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    9
  59. regime : bear_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00054005
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.7556
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0379

Signaux confirmants (18)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:05 0.05054100 +0.002%
2 09:19 0.05052900 -0.022%
3 09:31 0.05052900 -0.022%
4 10:21 0.05037700 -0.323%
5 10:33 0.05037700 -0.323%
6 10:44 0.05037000 -0.336%
7 10:55 0.05037000 -0.336%
8 11:09 0.05052000 -0.04%
9 11:22 0.05052000 -0.04%
10 11:35 0.05052000 -0.04%
11 11:47 0.05035000 -0.376%
12 11:59 0.05035000 -0.376%
13 12:17 0.05060500 +0.129%
14 12:31 0.05060500 +0.129%
15 12:44 0.05081400 +0.542%
16 12:56 0.05081400 +0.542%
17 13:12 0.05043800 -0.202%
18 13:24 0.05043800 -0.202%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7006ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.015
avg -0.017 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.018

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0505
Micro Price
0.0505
Spread
0.0396%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0503
Size
1,921,216.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0509
Size
1,578,309.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05054 0.05171 0.04761 2.5 0.04875
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05054
  • Stop Loss: 0.05171
  • Take Profit: 0.04761

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05171 - 0.05054 = 0.00117

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05054 - 0.04761 = 0.00293

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00293 / 0.00117 = 2.5043

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
345.2107 100 6830.3095 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00117

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00117 = 6837.61

Taille de position USD = 6837.61 x 0.05054 = 345.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 6837.61 avec un stoploss a 0.05171

Avec un position size USD de 345.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6837.61 x 0.00117 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6837.61 x 0.00293 = 20.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6837.61
  • Taille de position USD 345.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5043

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.8 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.31 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.37 $ 0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7598 % 32.82 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05054 0.05171 0.04761 2.5 0.04875
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05054
  • Stop Loss: 0.05171
  • Take Profit: 0.04761

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05171 - 0.05054 = 0.00117

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05054 - 0.04761 = 0.00293

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00293 / 0.00117 = 2.5043

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.315% (0.0012)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.387% 0.6R -0.075% 0.0R 18.4× 12
2h +1.387% 0.6R -0.291% 0.1R 4.8× 24
4h +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 48
8h +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h ★ +1.387% 0.6R -0.760% 0.3R 1.8× 143
24h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 287
36h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 432
48h +1.755% 0.8R -0.760% 0.3R 2.3× 575
72h +1.755% 0.8R -1.553% 0.7R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 904 min MAE in 224 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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