Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 33.35 LIT at 2.758$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6892 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9981 (8.7 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 09:15:12
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 09:15
→ 14:20
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.7582$
Qty 33.352 LIT
Size 91.9914$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6892 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.3$
SL 2.9981 (-8.7%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.29
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.3$
MAE -6.53%
MFE +2.95%
0.3R
expires
30 Oct 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235229)
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 09:00
score du 30/10/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2266
Quality Score
0.318
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#96 / 97
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.55
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
88.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 09:03
30/10 09:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7340
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
61.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.017
Δ 4h
▲+0.254
Δ 12h
▲+0.500
Δ 24h
▼-0.068
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 51.3% |
| 1h | 67.5% |
| 4h | 62.5% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 67.5% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 83.8% | +0.55% |
| 24h | 27.5% | -4.62% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.36
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.210
Universe :
80
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 09:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2890
Score SMA
0.2495
Rank
#44
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4941
Rank Norm SMA
0.1688
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.09% · r3d: -10.49% · ema21_slope: -0.7307% · dist_ema21: -17.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1839 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -7.79% · beta_24h: 2.510 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7694 | rvol_20: 2.98× · zscore_50: 1.441 · trend: 7.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5180 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.3175
Score SMA
0.4823
Rank
#96
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2266
Rank Norm SMA
0.3112
Calculé le
30/10/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2160 | r1h: -1.637% · r4h: -1.864% · r1d: -13.47% · r3d: -9.09% · ema21_slope: -0.2325% · dist_ema21: -3.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2319 | rs_1h: -1.765% · rs_4h: -1.147% · rs_1d: -10.23% · rs_3d: -5.48% · beta_24h: 1.257 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1671 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.493 · trend: -52.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6052 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7866 | ATR%: 3.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3279
Score SMA
0.4062
Rank
#93
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0787
Rank Norm SMA
0.2104
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2099 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.080% · r1d: -4.19% · r3d: -5.67% · ema21_slope: -0.3225% · dist_ema21: -5.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3971 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.056% · rs_1d: -0.69% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 3.677 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3566 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.181 · trend: 73.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6289 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 32.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.221% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.698%
(0.2399)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -2.455% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -20.448% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -20.648% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 334 min
MAE in 119 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | -0.23 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.25% | -0.71 | 30/10 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bear_low | -1.55% | -0.18 | 30/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454275
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.501 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 2.98 | 93% | ↔ +0.14 | below_value | -2.63 | — | #215784 | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#460311
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.285 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.52 | 54% | ↑ +0.79 | below_value | -2.59 | inside | #218340 | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | -0.23 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:35
|
|
1h
anchor #460310
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.347 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.22 | 62% | ↓ -0.64 | below_value | -2.59 | — | #218340 | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.25% | -0.71 |
30/10 07:00
upd 30/10 08:35
|
|
15m
#460598
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.504 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.20 | 49% | ↔ +0.13 | below_value | -3.08 | — | #218634 | 0.54 | bear_low | -1.55% | -0.18 |
30/10 08:45
upd 30/10 09:12
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.603×ATR | p50 | -1.675×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.455×ATR | p0 | -0.765×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.621×ATR | p7 | -0.693×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.877×ATR | p17 | -1.069×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.9980658
- tp_price: 2.689245
- atr: 0.09594632
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T19:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 93
- total: 97
- score: 0.2041
- delta_2h: -0.0292
- extension_atr: -1.11
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2266
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7582 | 2.9981 | 2.6892 | 0.29 | 3.3659 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7582
- Stop Loss: 2.9981
- Take Profit: 2.6892
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9981 - 2.7582 = 0.2399
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7582 - 2.6892 = 0.069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.069 / 0.2399 = 0.2876
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91.9914 | 91.9914 | 33.352 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2399
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2399 = 33.35
Taille de position USD = 33.35 x 2.7582 = 91.99
Donc, tu peux acheter 33.35 avec un stoploss a 2.9981
Avec un position size USD de 91.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 33.35 x 0.2399 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 33.35 x 0.069 = 2.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.3$
Résumé
- Taille de position 33.35
- Taille de position USD 91.99
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.3
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2876
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.3 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.7 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.3 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.5332 % | 75.11 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7582 | 2.9981 | 2.6892 | 0.29 | 3.3659 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7582
- Stop Loss: 2.9981
- Take Profit: 2.6892
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9981 - 2.7582 = 0.2399
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7582 - 2.6892 = 0.069
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.069 / 0.2399 = 0.2876
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.698%
(0.2399)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -2.455% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.196% | 0.1R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -6.533% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -20.448% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.955% | 0.3R | -20.648% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 334 min
MAE in 119 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.