Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 183.67 RUNE at 0.652$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6686 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6087 (6.68 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 10:15:10
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 10:15
→ 16:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6523$
Qty 183.6657 RUNE
Size 119.7978$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6686 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.99$
SL 0.6087 (-6.68%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.37
Status
loss
PnL
-1.24%
/ -1.48$
MAE -4.06%
MFE +0.73%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 16:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235265)
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 10:00
score du 30/10/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9530
Quality Score
0.628
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.24
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 10:00
30/10 10:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7344
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
44.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.171
Δ 4h
→+0.041
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▼-0.318
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.8% |
| 1h | 17.5% |
| 4h | 43.8% |
| 24h | 11.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.0% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 63.8% | -0.24% |
| 24h | 27.5% | -5.41% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.23
Dispersion :
0.194
Universe :
80
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 10:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.6334
Rank
#13
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.8540
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.68% · r3d: -1.13% · ema21_slope: -0.3267% · dist_ema21: -4.322% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.47% · rs_3d: 1.57% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8264 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 1.579 · trend: 40.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4940 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6278
Score SMA
0.5458
Rank
#4
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9530
Rank Norm SMA
0.5921
Calculé le
30/10/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6407 | r1h: 0.282% · r4h: -1.564% · r1d: 6.72% · r3d: 4.62% · ema21_slope: 0.4232% · dist_ema21: 0.096% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7023 | rs_1h: 0.661% · rs_4h: -0.906% · rs_1d: 10.64% · rs_3d: 8.23% · beta_24h: 1.756 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2256 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.252 · trend: -18.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6753 | ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 27.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6284
Score SMA
0.6052
Rank
#7
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9635
Rank Norm SMA
0.7930
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4588 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.824% · r1d: 7.73% · r3d: 5.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0508% · dist_ema21: 3.299% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7079 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.801% · rs_1d: 11.23% · rs_3d: 8.44% · beta_24h: 0.719 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7070 | rvol_20: 2.08× · zscore_50: 0.807 · trend: 254.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6246 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 7.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7874 | ATR%: 3.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.684%
(0.0436)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -0.995% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.779% | 0.4R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.060% | 1.5R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 2.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.327% | 1.8R | -8.101% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.327% | 1.8R | -24.216% | 3.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 79 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.66 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.37% | +0.79 | 30/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.77% | -0.17 | 30/10 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454026
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.685 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 32b -0.8ATR | — | — | 4.48 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | -0.75 | — | #215730 | 0.69 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#460100
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.633 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 1b 0.8ATR | — | — | 2.08 | 93% | ↑ +0.97 | value | +1.20 | — | #218278 | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.66 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor #461120
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.781 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 8b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.21 | 86% | ↔ +0.01 | value | +1.22 | — | #218767 | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.37% | +0.79 |
30/10 09:00
upd 30/10 10:14
|
|
15m
#461021
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.691 | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 35b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.52 | 68% | ↓ -0.51 | value | +1.01 | — | #218572 | 0.51 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.77% | -0.17 |
30/10 09:45
upd 30/10 10:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.78×ATR | p58 | -0.779×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3.049×ATR | p41 | +0.815×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.061×ATR | p70 | +0.025×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 9.491×ATR | p100 | -0.951×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6523 | 0.6087 | 0.6686 | 0.37 | 0.62 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6523
- Stop Loss: 0.6087
- Take Profit: 0.6686
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6087 - 0.6523 = -0.0436
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6523 - 0.6686 = -0.0163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0163 / -0.0436 = 0.3739
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.7978 | 100 | 183.6657 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0436
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0436 = -183.49
Taille de position USD = -183.49 x 0.6523 = -119.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -183.49 avec un stoploss a 0.6087
Avec un position size USD de -119.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -183.49 x -0.0436 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -183.49 x -0.0163 = 2.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -183.49
- Taille de position USD -119.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3739
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.68 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.48 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0579 % | 60.71 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6523 | 0.6087 | 0.6686 | 0.37 | 0.62 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6523
- Stop Loss: 0.6087
- Take Profit: 0.6686
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6087 - 0.6523 = -0.0436
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6523 - 0.6686 = -0.0163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0163 / -0.0436 = 0.3739
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.684%
(0.0436)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -0.995% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.734% | 0.1R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.779% | 0.4R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.060% | 1.5R | -4.058% | 0.6R | 2.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.327% | 1.8R | -8.101% | 1.2R | 1.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.327% | 1.8R | -24.216% | 3.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 79 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.