30 Oct 2026 at 10:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 453.94 CRV at 0.284$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2767 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3014 (6.2 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 10:15 → 16:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2838$

Qty 453.9393 CRV

Size 128.8371$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2767 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.22$

SL 0.3014 (-6.2%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.4

Status loss PnL -0.31% / -0.39$ MAE -2.92% MFE +1.08% 0.2R expires 30 Oct 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235253)
#76 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3954

Quality Score
0.403
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#76 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#76 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.74×ATR
1d near -1.17×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
30.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 10:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7344
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 44.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.171
Δ 4h
→+0.041
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▼-0.318

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 28.8%
1h 17.5%
4h 43.8%
24h 11.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.0% -0.11%
4h 63.8% -0.24%
24h 27.5% -5.41%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.23
Dispersion : 0.194
Universe : 80 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 10:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2709
Score SMA
0.3490
Rank
#53 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3882
Rank Norm SMA
0.5366
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2131 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -10.57% · ema21_slope: -0.1526% · dist_ema21: -12.673%
Force Relative 25% 0.2440 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.12% · rs_3d: -7.87% · beta_24h: 2.168
Volume 20% 0.3427 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.013 · trend: -25.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5160 ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4034
Score SMA
0.4834
Rank
#76 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3954
Rank Norm SMA
0.3358
Calculé le
30/10/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1854 r1h: -1.312% · r4h: -0.440% · r1d: -14.02% · r3d: -14.82% · ema21_slope: -0.6605% · dist_ema21: -3.537%
Force Relative 25% 0.2473 rs_1h: -0.932% · rs_4h: 0.218% · rs_1d: -10.10% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 0.854
Volume 20% 0.2038 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.104 · trend: -41.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8977 ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4150
Score SMA
0.4420
Rank
#73 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1461
Rank Norm SMA
0.3447
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2405 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.894% · r1d: -12.13% · r3d: -14.01% · ema21_slope: -0.5344% · dist_ema21: -10.671%
Force Relative 25% 0.2684 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.918% · rs_1d: -8.63% · rs_3d: -10.81% · beta_24h: 1.394
Volume 20% 0.5305 rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.342 · trend: 148.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7852 ADX: 34.2 (trend) · Chop: 16.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5189 ATR%: 4.443% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.202% (0.0176)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.021% 0.0R -2.921% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.338% 0.1R -2.921% 0.5R 0.1× 24
4h +0.920% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 72
8h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 288
48h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 576
72h +4.785% 0.8R -2.921% 0.5R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 269 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.2ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.82 30/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.44 bear_high -3.37% -0.76 30/10 09:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.45 bear_low_confirmed -1.77% +0.11 30/10 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#453980
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.440 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late 7b -1.8ATR near -1.2ATR — 1.20 81% ↓ -0.19 below_value -5.23 — #215719 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:19
4h
#460052
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.418 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
noisy_chop 45% late 2b -2.5ATR — — 1.17 79% ↑ +0.83 below_value -7.14 inside #218266 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.82
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:19
1h anchor
#461100
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.746 expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% mid 12b -1.1ATR — — 0.37 90% ↓ -0.49 below_value -7.72 — #218755 0.44 bear_high -3.37% -0.76
30/10 09:00
upd 30/10 10:13
15m
#461009
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.608 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 7b -0.3ATR — — 1.50 74% ↑ +0.26 below_value -7.42 — #218560 0.45 bear_low_confirmed -1.77% +0.11
30/10 09:45
upd 30/10 10:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 7b — 3.839×ATR p50 -1.8×ATR p87
4h ↑ up late 2b — 1.952×ATR p0 -2.524×ATR p98
1h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.877×ATR p62 -1.134×ATR p55
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.778×ATR p6 -0.27×ATR p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.3014435
  2. tp_price: 0.2767245
  3. atr: 0.0070494
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T20:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 91
  2. total: 97
  3. score: 0.205
  4. delta_2h: -0.0564
  5. extension_atr: -1.11
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4059
  9. confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2838 0.3014 0.2767 0.4 0.2625
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2838
  • Stop Loss: 0.3014
  • Take Profit: 0.2767

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3014 - 0.2838 = 0.0176

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2838 - 0.2767 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0176 = 0.4034

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
128.8371 100 453.9393 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0176

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0176 = 454.55

Taille de position USD = 454.55 x 0.2838 = 129

Donc, tu peux acheter 454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.3014

Avec un position size USD de 129$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 454.55 x 0.0176 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 454.55 x 0.0071 = 3.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.23$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 454.55
  • Taille de position USD 129
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.23
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4034

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.22 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.2 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-0.39 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9211 % 47.1 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2838 0.3014 0.2767 0.4 0.2625
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2838
  • Stop Loss: 0.3014
  • Take Profit: 0.2767

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3014 - 0.2838 = 0.0176

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2838 - 0.2767 = 0.0071

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0071 / 0.0176 = 0.4034

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.202% (0.0176)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.021% 0.0R -2.921% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.338% 0.1R -2.921% 0.5R 0.1× 24
4h +0.920% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 72
8h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 288
48h +1.078% 0.2R -2.921% 0.5R 0.4× 576
72h +4.785% 0.8R -2.921% 0.5R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 269 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Commentaires

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