30 Oct 2026 at 10:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 15297.83 ZK at 0.0104$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01012 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0109 (5.01 %)

ZK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 10:15 → 12:20 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01038$

Qty 15297.8296 ZK

Size 158.8221$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01012 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.98$

SL 0.0109 (-5.01%)

SL $ 7.95$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.98$ MAE -0.40% MFE +3.77% 0.8R expires 30 Oct 16:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235293)
#91 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1373

Quality Score
0.367
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#91 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#91 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 3.38×ATR
1d near -0.61×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 10:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7344
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 44.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.171
Δ 4h
→+0.041
Δ 12h
▲+0.290
Δ 24h
▼-0.318

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 28.8%
1h 17.5%
4h 43.8%
24h 11.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.0% -0.11%
4h 63.8% -0.24%
24h 27.5% -5.41%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
1.3%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.23
Dispersion : 0.194
Universe : 80 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 10:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2731
Score SMA
0.5293
Rank
#51 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4118
Rank Norm SMA
0.7532
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2078 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.33% · r3d: -14.00% · ema21_slope: -0.8184% · dist_ema21: -19.367%
Force Relative 25% 0.1847 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.18% · rs_3d: -11.30% · beta_24h: 3.600
Volume 20% 0.3109 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.338 · trend: -23.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6824 ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 36.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.930% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3665
Score SMA
0.4648
Rank
#91 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1373
Rank Norm SMA
0.2642
Calculé le
30/10/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2313 r1h: -0.680% · r4h: -0.221% · r1d: -11.43% · r3d: -14.80% · ema21_slope: -0.4204% · dist_ema21: -2.057%
Force Relative 25% 0.3095 rs_1h: -0.300% · rs_4h: 0.437% · rs_1d: -7.51% · rs_3d: -11.18% · beta_24h: 1.606
Volume 20% 0.1762 rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -53.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6235 ADX: 39.5 (trend) · Chop: 63.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.134% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4060
Score SMA
0.4114
Rank
#77 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1463
Rank Norm SMA
0.2626
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2487 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.708% · r1d: -9.57% · r3d: -14.15% · ema21_slope: -0.5504% · dist_ema21: -8.526%
Force Relative 25% 0.3299 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.732% · rs_1d: -6.07% · rs_3d: -10.96% · beta_24h: 2.019
Volume 20% 0.3790 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.152 · trend: 79.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7579 ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 30.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5939 ATR%: 4.218% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.010% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.925% 0.2R -0.405% 0.1R 2.3× 12
2h +2.409% 0.5R -0.405% 0.1R 6.0× 24
4h +2.967% 0.6R -0.405% 0.1R 7.3× 48
6h ★ +3.767% 0.8R -0.405% 0.1R 9.3× 72
8h +3.767% 0.8R -0.646% 0.1R 5.8× 96
12h +3.767% 0.8R -2.360% 0.5R 1.6× 144
24h +3.767% 0.8R -2.360% 0.5R 1.6× 288
48h +3.767% 0.8R -4.721% 0.9R 0.8× 576
72h +3.767% 0.8R -4.721% 0.9R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 274 min MAE in 649 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 20 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.3
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.6ATR — 0.57 range_high +0.21% -0.98 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.77 30/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.59 bear_high -3.07% -0.62 30/10 08:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.70 bear_low_confirmed -1.77% +0.22 30/10 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454130
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.553 normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late 13b -2.1ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.83 97% ↓ -0.87 below_value -5.80 — #215754 0.57 range_high +0.21% -0.98
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
4h
#460192
↓ down range range strong fading 0.743 expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 47% late 9b -2.1ATR — — 0.60 52% ↑ +0.91 below_value -7.14 inside #218307 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.77
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:27
1h anchor
#460650
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.725 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% mid 12b -0.8ATR — — 0.12 46% ↓ -0.60 below_value -7.61 — #218601 0.59 bear_high -3.07% -0.62
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 09:15
15m
#461049
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.654 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early 13b 0.0ATR — — 0.26 22% ↓ -0.29 below_value -7.61 — #218601 0.70 bear_low_confirmed -1.77% +0.22
30/10 09:45
upd 30/10 10:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 13b — 6.072×ATR p75 -2.055×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 9b — 4.087×ATR p70 -2.059×ATR p82
1h ↑ up mid 12b — 2.412×ATR p51 -0.79×ATR p45
15m ↓ down early 13b — 1.866×ATR p17 +0.047×ATR p3

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01090495
  2. tp_price: 0.01012245
  3. atr: 0.00020918
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T20:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 88
  2. total: 97
  3. score: 0.2192
  4. delta_2h: -0.067
  5. extension_atr: -0.82
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1399
  9. confidence: 0.906

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01038 0.0109 0.01012 0.5 0.01024
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01038
  • Stop Loss: 0.0109
  • Take Profit: 0.01012

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0109 - 0.01038 = 0.00052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01038 - 0.01012 = 0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00026 / 0.00052 = 0.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.8221 100 15297.8296 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00052

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00052 = 15384.62

Taille de position USD = 15384.62 x 0.01038 = 159.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 15384.62 avec un stoploss a 0.0109

Avec un position size USD de 159.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15384.62 x 0.00052 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15384.62 x 0.00026 = 4

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15384.62
  • Taille de position USD 159.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.01 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
3.98 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4046 % 8.08 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01038 0.0109 0.01012 0.5 0.01024
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01038
  • Stop Loss: 0.0109
  • Take Profit: 0.01012

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0109 - 0.01038 = 0.00052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01038 - 0.01012 = 0.00026

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00026 / 0.00052 = 0.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.010% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.925% 0.2R -0.405% 0.1R 2.3× 12
2h +2.409% 0.5R -0.405% 0.1R 6.0× 24
4h +2.967% 0.6R -0.405% 0.1R 7.3× 48
6h ★ +3.767% 0.8R -0.405% 0.1R 9.3× 72
8h +3.767% 0.8R -0.646% 0.1R 5.8× 96
12h +3.767% 0.8R -2.360% 0.5R 1.6× 144
24h +3.767% 0.8R -2.360% 0.5R 1.6× 288
48h +3.767% 0.8R -4.721% 0.9R 0.8× 576
72h +3.767% 0.8R -4.721% 0.9R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 274 min MAE in 649 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 20 hours ago

Commentaires

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