Long Trade on BCH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.01 BCH at 289.63$ per unit. Take profit: 309.3459 (6.81 %) & Stop Loss: 281.7437 (2.72 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 11:14:57
hyperliquid
BCH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 11:14
→ 23:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 289.63$
Qty 1.0144 BCH
Size 293.804$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 309.3459 (+6.81%)
TP $ 20$
SL 281.7437 (-2.72%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.32%
/ +0.94$
MAE -1.79%
MFE +2.81%
1.0R
expires
30 Oct 23:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235353)
#10 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 11:00
score du 30/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8284
Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 11:00
30/10 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 10:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7348
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
20.5%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
▼-0.237
Δ 4h
▼-0.246
Δ 12h
▼-0.089
Δ 24h
▼-0.635
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 75.6% |
| 1h | 18.0% |
| 4h | 9.0% |
| 24h | 10.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 75.6% | +0.15% |
| 4h | 37.2% | -1.48% |
| 24h | 29.5% | -6.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion :
0.101
Universe :
78
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 11:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4026
Score SMA
0.4081
Rank
#18
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.7248
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4172 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.33% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0337% · dist_ema21: -3.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4905 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.18% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.794 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4319 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: -0.051 · trend: -15.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4368 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0291 | ATR%: 5.913% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5542
Score SMA
0.5595
Rank
#10
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8284
Rank Norm SMA
0.6800
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5558 | r1h: 0.360% · r4h: 0.514% · r1d: 1.79% · r3d: 0.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0924% · dist_ema21: 1.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6534 | rs_1h: 0.252% · rs_4h: 1.259% · rs_1d: 6.63% · rs_3d: 4.05% · beta_24h: 1.936 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1979 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.396 · trend: -34.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5633 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.744% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5774
Score SMA
0.5570
Rank
#12
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9006
Rank Norm SMA
0.7937
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5181 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.650% · r1d: 1.46% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.0587% · dist_ema21: -0.132% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6653 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.673% · rs_1d: 4.96% · rs_3d: 4.29% · beta_24h: 1.280 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2800 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.416 · trend: 30.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6696 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 33.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9918 | ATR%: 3.025% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.723%
(7.8863)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 112.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.807% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -2.082% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -2.880% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -5.000% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 550 min
MAE in 1830 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.44 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.36 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.41 | 30/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.51% | +0.27 | 30/10 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453997
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.652 | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 14b -0.7ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 1.69 | 88% | ↔ -0.06 | below_value | -0.96 | — | #215723 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.44 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#460068
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.636 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 2b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.46 | 41% | ↑ +0.39 | above_value | +1.02 | — | #218270 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.36 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:20
|
|
1h
anchor #461606
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.575 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b 1.0ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.53 | 71% | ↓ -0.61 | value | +1.85 | — | #218953 | 0.72 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.41 |
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:12
|
|
15m
#461508
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.541 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 4b 1.6ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.62 | 43% | ↑ +0.16 | value | +1.66 | — | #218759 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.51% | +0.27 |
30/10 10:45
upd 30/10 11:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.066×ATR | p0 | -0.662×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.376×ATR | p11 | -0.04×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.793×ATR | p11 | +1.002×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.001×ATR | p17 | +1.572×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7367
- reason: up_bo width=1.92×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 281.74365468
- tp_price: 309.3458633
- atr:
- score: 0.73666256773117
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T03:14:49.881284
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.73666256773117
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0476
- obi_top10 : 0.0619
- micro_price : 291.33825243
- spread_pct : 0.003433
- mid_price : 291.335
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 293
- ask_wall_size : 2409.838
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0066
- obi_top5_std : 0.0682
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7176
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
286.85
- balance_zone_bottom:
277.6
- balance_zone_mid:
282.225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793217600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793372400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9217
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7367
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793368800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
286.85
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6136
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5775
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.8134532 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.6136
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5775
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:14 | 289.63000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:27 | 289.63000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:40 | 292.38000000 | +0.949% |
| 4 | 11:52 | 292.38000000 | +0.949% |
| 5 | 12:06 | 293.20000000 | +1.233% |
| 6 | 12:22 | 293.20000000 | +1.233% |
| 7 | 12:38 | 292.58000000 | +1.019% |
| 8 | 12:50 | 292.58000000 | +1.019% |
| 9 | 13:03 | 292.58000000 | +1.019% |
| 10 | 13:43 | 288.77000000 | -0.297% |
| 11 | 13:55 | 288.77000000 | -0.297% |
| 12 | 16:17 | 289.33000000 | -0.104% |
| 13 | 16:33 | 289.33000000 | -0.104% |
| 14 | 16:46 | 290.11000000 | +0.166% |
| 15 | 16:59 | 290.11000000 | +0.166% |
| 16 | 17:14 | 289.34000000 | -0.1% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7176ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.048
avg -0.007
± 0.068
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
291.3350
Micro Price
291.3383
Spread
0.0034%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
293.0000
Size
2,409.84
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.63 | 281.7437 | 309.3459 | 2.5 | 275.1 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 289.63
- Stop Loss: 281.7437
- Take Profit: 309.3459
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.7437 - 289.63 = -7.8863
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 289.63 - 309.3459 = -19.7159
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.7159 / -7.8863 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 293.804 | 100 | 1.0144 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.8863
Taille de position = 8 / -7.8863 = -1.01
Taille de position USD = -1.01 x 289.63 = -292.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.01 avec un stoploss a 281.7437
Avec un position size USD de -292.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.01 x -7.8863 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.01 x -19.7159 = 19.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.01
- Taille de position USD -292.53
- Perte potentielle 7.97
- Gain potentiel 19.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.81 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.72 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.94 $ | 0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7919 % | 65.81 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.63 | 281.7437 | 309.3459 | 2.5 | 275.1 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 289.63
- Stop Loss: 281.7437
- Take Profit: 309.3459
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.7437 - 289.63 = -7.8863
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 289.63 - 309.3459 = -19.7159
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -19.7159 / -7.8863 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.723%
(7.8863)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 112.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.714% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.807% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -1.792% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -2.082% | 0.8R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -2.880% | 1.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.807% | 1.0R | -5.000% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 550 min
MAE in 1830 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.