30 Oct 2026 at 11:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 75.58 PENDLE at 1.733$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8387 (6.11 %)

PENDLE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 11:15 → 14:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1.7329$

Qty 75.5847 PENDLE

Size 130.9807$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 130.98$

SL 1.8387 (-6.11%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.21% / -1.59$ MAE -1.97% MFE +0.31% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 14:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235368)
#80 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1338

Quality Score
0.377
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#80 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#80 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.93×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.77×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.48
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 11:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7348
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
▼-0.237
Δ 4h
▼-0.246
Δ 12h
▼-0.089
Δ 24h
▼-0.635

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 75.6%
1h 18.0%
4h 9.0%
24h 10.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 75.6% +0.15%
4h 37.2% -1.48%
24h 29.5% -6.93%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion : 0.101
Universe : 78 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2607
Score SMA
0.2989
Rank
#58 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3294
Rank Norm SMA
0.2126
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0670 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.33% · r3d: -10.40% · ema21_slope: -0.5737% · dist_ema21: -15.087%
Force Relative 25% 0.1940 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: -7.70% · beta_24h: 2.387
Volume 20% 0.5678 rvol_20: 2.29× · zscore_50: 0.538 · trend: -15.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5233 ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3769
Score SMA
0.5150
Rank
#80 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1338
Rank Norm SMA
0.4394
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2617 r1h: 1.513% · r4h: 0.607% · r1d: -11.89% · r3d: -12.29% · ema21_slope: -0.4006% · dist_ema21: -1.701%
Force Relative 25% 0.4286 rs_1h: 1.405% · rs_4h: 1.352% · rs_1d: -7.04% · rs_3d: -8.41% · beta_24h: 2.437
Volume 20% 0.2665 rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: 0.001 · trend: -2.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6690 ADX: 40.4 (trend) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4108
Score SMA
0.5066
Rank
#76 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1567
Rank Norm SMA
0.5419
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1700 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.223% · r1d: -11.83% · r3d: -12.67% · ema21_slope: -0.4051% · dist_ema21: -10.190%
Force Relative 25% 0.2290 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.199% · rs_1d: -8.33% · rs_3d: -9.48% · beta_24h: 2.554
Volume 20% 0.6487 rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 0.909 · trend: 140.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6959 ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 22.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6842 ATR%: 3.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.105% (0.1058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.306% 0.1R -1.506% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.306% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.306% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.756% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.756% 0.1R -5.892% 1.0R 0.1× 96
12h +0.756% 0.1R -9.141% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.756% 0.1R -9.141% 1.5R 0.1× 288
48h +0.756% 0.1R -10.353% 1.7R 0.1× 576
72h +0.756% 0.1R -10.353% 1.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 564 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 10 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near -0.8ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.88 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.74 30/10 04:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.78 bear_high -3.20% -0.62 30/10 10:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.80 bear_medium -1.51% +0.14 30/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454056
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.538 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late 38b -2.2ATR near -0.8ATR — 2.29 80% ↓ -0.19 below_value -6.31 — #215737 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.88
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:23
4h
#460124
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.537 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 43% late 4b -2.6ATR — — 1.68 89% ↑ +0.88 below_value -8.13 — #218285 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.74
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:23
1h anchor
#461621
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.542 expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 46% early 9b -0.9ATR — — 0.52 92% ↓ -0.49 value -7.60 — #218968 0.78 bear_high -3.20% -0.62
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:13
15m
#461523
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate explosive 0.723 expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid 5b 1.4ATR — near -0.7ATR 2.05 91% ↑ +0.32 below_value -8.54 — #218774 0.80 bear_medium -1.51% +0.14
30/10 10:45
upd 30/10 11:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 38b — 6.827×ATR p94 -2.231×ATR p90
4h ↓ down late 4b — 4.946×ATR p84 -2.601×ATR p98
1h ↓ down early 9b — 0.489×ATR p0 -0.882×ATR p48
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 3.11×ATR p53 +1.434×ATR p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.83874155
  2. atr: 0.03528052
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-30T18:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 93
  2. total: 97
  3. score: 0.1885
  4. confidence: 0.958

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7329 1.8387 1.7362
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7329
  • Stop Loss: 1.8387
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8387 - 1.7329 = 0.1058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7329 - = 1.7329

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7329 / 0.1058 = 16.379

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
130.9807 100 75.5847 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1058

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1058 = 75.61

Taille de position USD = 75.61 x 1.7329 = 131.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 75.61 avec un stoploss a 1.8387

Avec un position size USD de 131.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 75.61 x 0.1058 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 75.61 x 1.7329 = 131.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 131.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 75.61
  • Taille de position USD 131.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 131.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.379

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 130.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.59 $ -1.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9736 % 32.33 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.7329 1.8387 1.7362
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.7329
  • Stop Loss: 1.8387
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.8387 - 1.7329 = 0.1058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.7329 - = 1.7329

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7329 / 0.1058 = 16.379

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.105% (0.1058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.306% 0.1R -1.506% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.306% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.306% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.756% 0.1R -1.974% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.756% 0.1R -5.892% 1.0R 0.1× 96
12h +0.756% 0.1R -9.141% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.756% 0.1R -9.141% 1.5R 0.1× 288
48h +0.756% 0.1R -10.353% 1.7R 0.1× 576
72h +0.756% 0.1R -10.353% 1.7R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 564 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 10 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.