30 Oct 2026 at 11:15:17 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 303.15 TIA at 0.456$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4449 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4827 (5.79 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 11:15 → 17:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4563$

Qty 303.1477 TIA

Size 138.3232$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4449 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.46$

SL 0.4827 (-5.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.43

Status loss PnL -1.20% / -1.66$ MAE -2.95% MFE +2.05% 0.4R expires 30 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235365)
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1060

Quality Score
0.308
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#96 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.39×ATR
4h near 0.02×ATR
1d near 0.35×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.48
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 11:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7348
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

transition

+1

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.5%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.002
Δ 1h
▼-0.237
Δ 4h
▼-0.246
Δ 12h
▼-0.089
Δ 24h
▼-0.635

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 75.6%
1h 18.0%
4h 9.0%
24h 10.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 75.6% +0.15%
4h 37.2% -1.48%
24h 29.5% -6.93%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion : 0.101
Universe : 78 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3508
Score SMA
0.4138
Rank
#24 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7294
Rank Norm SMA
0.7512
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3341 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.49% · r3d: -10.32% · ema21_slope: -0.0730% · dist_ema21: -10.380%
Force Relative 25% 0.3681 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.34% · rs_3d: -7.62% · beta_24h: 1.911
Volume 20% 0.2657 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.134 · trend: -24.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7030 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3083
Score SMA
0.4836
Rank
#96 / 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1060
Rank Norm SMA
0.3297
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1458 r1h: -0.720% · r4h: -3.225% · r1d: -16.21% · r3d: -14.27% · ema21_slope: -0.5257% · dist_ema21: -4.455%
Force Relative 25% 0.2022 rs_1h: -0.828% · rs_4h: -2.479% · rs_1d: -11.37% · rs_3d: -10.40% · beta_24h: 1.780
Volume 20% 0.1934 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.142 · trend: -47.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5751 ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 76.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.418% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3402
Score SMA
0.3877
Rank
#92 / 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0366
Rank Norm SMA
0.1535
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2457 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.852% · r1d: -12.88% · r3d: -11.40% · ema21_slope: -0.3391% · dist_ema21: -10.135%
Force Relative 25% 0.2916 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.876% · rs_1d: -9.38% · rs_3d: -8.20% · beta_24h: 1.999
Volume 20% 0.2703 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.407 · trend: 13.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6731 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 27.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3858 ATR%: 4.843% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.786% (0.0264)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.842% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +1.017% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +2.049% 0.4R -1.578% 0.3R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.049% 0.4R -2.948% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.049% 0.4R -4.186% 0.7R 0.5× 96
12h +2.049% 0.4R -4.905% 0.9R 0.4× 144
24h +2.049% 0.4R -6.073% 1.1R 0.3× 288
48h +2.049% 0.4R -7.699% 1.3R 0.3× 576
72h +2.049% 0.4R -7.699% 1.3R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 209 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.85
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.59 range_high +0.21% +0.73 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high
40%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.0ATR — 0.51 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.76 30/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
57%
choppy 49% late near -0.4ATR — 0.44 bear_high -3.20% -0.83 30/10 10:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.70 bear_medium -1.51% -0.19 30/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454043
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.542 expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% mid 12b -0.9ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.64 93% ↓ -0.72 below_value -3.39 — #215734 0.59 range_high +0.21% +0.73
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:23
4h
#460115
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.633 volatile_reversal bear_high
40%
noisy_chop 43% late 4b -2.1ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.58 37% ↑ +0.70 below_value -5.99 — #218282 0.51 bear_high_confirmed -4.79% -0.76
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:23
1h anchor
#461618
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.514 normal bear_high
57%
choppy 49% late 4b -2.5ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.47 78% ↓ -0.73 below_value -7.09 — #218965 0.44 bear_high -3.20% -0.83
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:13
15m
#461520
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.405 expansion_after_compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% early 3b -0.9ATR — — 0.18 10% ↔ +0.01 below_value -6.80 — #218771 0.70 bear_medium -1.51% -0.19
30/10 10:45
upd 30/10 11:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b — 4.829×ATR p64 -0.936×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 4b — 4.008×ATR p71 -2.115×ATR p87
1h ↓ down late 4b — 1.43×ATR p0 -2.46×ATR p95
15m ↑ up early 3b — 1.792×ATR p4 -0.871×ATR p26

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.48267978
  2. tp_price: 0.44488275
  3. atr: 0.01055591
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-30T21:15:17+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 96
  2. total: 97
  3. score: 0.1308
  4. delta_2h: -0.0559
  5. extension_atr: -1.61
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.106
  9. confidence: 0.99

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4563 0.4827 0.4449 0.43 0.436
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4563
  • Stop Loss: 0.4827
  • Take Profit: 0.4449

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4827 - 0.4563 = 0.0264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4563 - 0.4449 = 0.0114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0264 = 0.4318

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
138.3232 100 303.1477 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0264

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0264 = 303.03

Taille de position USD = 303.03 x 0.4563 = 138.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 303.03 avec un stoploss a 0.4827

Avec un position size USD de 138.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0264 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0114 = 3.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.45$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 303.03
  • Taille de position USD 138.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.45
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4318

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.66 $ -1.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9476 % 50.95 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4563 0.4827 0.4449 0.43 0.436
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4563
  • Stop Loss: 0.4827
  • Take Profit: 0.4449

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4827 - 0.4563 = 0.0264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4563 - 0.4449 = 0.0114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0264 = 0.4318

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.786% (0.0264)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.842% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +1.017% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +2.049% 0.4R -1.578% 0.3R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.049% 0.4R -2.948% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +2.049% 0.4R -4.186% 0.7R 0.5× 96
12h +2.049% 0.4R -4.905% 0.9R 0.4× 144
24h +2.049% 0.4R -6.073% 1.1R 0.3× 288
48h +2.049% 0.4R -7.699% 1.3R 0.3× 576
72h +2.049% 0.4R -7.699% 1.3R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 209 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 16 hours ago

Commentaires

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