Long Trade on XPL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2425.3 XPL at 0.0791$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08734 (10.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0758 (4.16 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 11:21:52
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 11:21
→ 23:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.07909$
Qty 2425.3007 XPL
Size 191.8292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08734 (+10.43%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.0758 (-4.16%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+3.43%
/ +6.57$
MAE -2.82%
MFE +4.23%
1.0R
expires
30 Oct 23:21
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235410)
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 11:00
score du 30/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8431
Quality Score
0.597
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.00×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
40.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 11:17
30/10 11:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7349
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.2%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.457
Δ 1h
▲+0.456
Δ 4h
→+0.008
Δ 12h
▲+0.325
Δ 24h
▼-0.171
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 91.0% |
| 1h | 96.2% |
| 4h | 74.4% |
| 24h | 9.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 70.5% | +0.34% |
| 4h | 66.7% | +0.89% |
| 24h | 25.6% | -6.79% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
1.3%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.160
Universe :
78
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 11:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3530
Score SMA
0.2629
Rank
#22
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7529
Rank Norm SMA
0.1882
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1579 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.7486% · dist_ema21: -8.195% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: 2.32% · beta_24h: 1.988 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6613 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.506 · trend: -7.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4331 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5973
Score SMA
0.5406
Rank
#4
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8431
Rank Norm SMA
0.5764
Calculé le
30/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6328 | r1h: 0.885% · r4h: 2.846% · r1d: 1.61% · r3d: 7.16% · ema21_slope: 0.1347% · dist_ema21: 2.683% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7799 | rs_1h: 0.778% · rs_4h: 3.591% · rs_1d: 6.45% · rs_3d: 11.04% · beta_24h: 2.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3708 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.487 · trend: -6.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5157 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.333% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5344
Score SMA
0.4916
Rank
#26
/ 97
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8329
Rank Norm SMA
0.5174
Calculé le
30/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4695 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.927% · r1d: -2.09% · r3d: 5.15% · ema21_slope: 0.1565% · dist_ema21: -0.212% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5970 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.097% · rs_1d: 1.41% · rs_3d: 8.35% · beta_24h: 1.639 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3775 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.305 · trend: 98.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6734 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6775 | ATR%: 3.968% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.160%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.453% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.053% | 0.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.719% | 0.9R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.233% | 1.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.233% | 1.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.137% | 1.2R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.282% | 2.2R | -12.215% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.282% | 2.2R | -13.069% | 3.1R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1723 min
MAE in 78 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.67 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.59 | 30/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.66 | bear_medium | -0.86% | +0.41 | 30/10 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454217
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.393 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 34b -1.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 2.82 | 92% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | -0.54 | — | #215773 | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#460267
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.287 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b 0.0ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.25 | 25% | ↑ +0.74 | value | +1.01 | — | #218329 | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.67 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:32
|
|
1h
anchor #461664
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.797 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 18b 1.3ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 1.00 | 96% | ↓ -0.83 | above_value | +2.54 | — | #219011 | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.59 |
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:15
|
|
15m
#461762
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.468 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 4b 2.1ATR | — | near -1.1ATR | 1.04 | 69% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +2.54 | — | #219011 | 0.66 | bear_medium | -0.86% | +0.41 |
30/10 11:00
upd 30/10 11:19
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 7.717×ATR | p96 | -1.095×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.637×ATR | p23 | -0.047×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.902×ATR | p90 | +1.268×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.212×ATR | p68 | +2.078×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7912
- reason: up_bo width=2.25×ATR dur=49b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.07579644
- tp_price: 0.0873414
- atr:
- score: 0.79117512994934
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T03:21:44.428711
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79117512994934
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2786
- obi_top10 : 0.1852
- micro_price : 0.07884473
- spread_pct : 0.025371
- mid_price : 0.07884
- bid_wall_price : 0.0779
- bid_wall_size : 988406.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0802
- ask_wall_size : 952192.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0203
- obi_top5_std : 0.1461
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6989
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0779595
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.073986
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07597275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793199600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793372400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2537
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
49
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7912
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793368800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0779595
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7959
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.644
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00176308 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
49
inside_close_ratio
0.7959
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.644
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:21 | 0.07909500 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 11:34 | 0.07909500 | +0.006% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6989ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.279
avg 0.020
± 0.146
OBI Top 10
0.185
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0788
Micro Price
0.0788
Spread
0.0254%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0779
Size
988,406.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0802
Size
952,192.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07909 | 0.0758 | 0.08734 | 2.51 | 0.06487 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07909
- Stop Loss: 0.0758
- Take Profit: 0.08734
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0758 - 0.07909 = -0.00329
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07909 - 0.08734 = -0.00825
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00825 / -0.00329 = 2.5076
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191.8292 | 100 | 2425.3007 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00329
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00329 = -2431.61
Taille de position USD = -2431.61 x 0.07909 = -192.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -2431.61 avec un stoploss a 0.0758
Avec un position size USD de -192.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2431.61 x -0.00329 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2431.61 x -0.00825 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2431.61
- Taille de position USD -192.32
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5076
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.43 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.16 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.57 $ | 3.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8183 % | 67.75 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07909 | 0.0758 | 0.08734 | 2.51 | 0.06487 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07909
- Stop Loss: 0.0758
- Take Profit: 0.08734
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0758 - 0.07909 = -0.00329
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07909 - 0.08734 = -0.00825
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00825 / -0.00329 = 2.5076
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.160%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.453% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.053% | 0.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.719% | 0.9R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.233% | 1.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.233% | 1.0R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +5.137% | 1.2R | -2.818% | 0.7R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.282% | 2.2R | -12.215% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.282% | 2.2R | -13.069% | 3.1R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1723 min
MAE in 78 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.