Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1778.94 XPL at 0.0775$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07942 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07299 (5.8 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 12:15:10
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 12:15
→ 15:45
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.07748$
Qty 1778.94 XPL
Size 137.8412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07942 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.45$
SL 0.07299 (-5.8%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.45$
MAE -0.80%
MFE +5.87%
1.0R
expires
30 Oct 18:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235506)
#9 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 12:00
score du 30/10/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8615
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 96
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.00×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.13
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
40.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 12:02
30/10 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7352
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
49.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.288
Δ 4h
▼-0.136
Δ 12h
▲+0.065
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.6% |
| 1h | 66.2% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 7.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.9% | -0.18% |
| 4h | 49.4% | +0.13% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -7.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.227
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 12:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3530
Score SMA
0.2629
Rank
#22
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7529
Rank Norm SMA
0.1882
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1579 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.7486% · dist_ema21: -8.195% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: 2.32% · beta_24h: 1.988 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6613 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.506 · trend: -7.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4331 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5755
Score SMA
0.5412
Rank
#9
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8615
Rank Norm SMA
0.5788
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6479 | r1h: -0.377% · r4h: 3.444% · r1d: -1.36% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1324% · dist_ema21: 2.083% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6542 | rs_1h: -0.837% · rs_4h: 3.129% · rs_1d: 3.73% · rs_3d: 9.27% · beta_24h: 2.581 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2168 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.336 · trend: -20.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5021 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.404% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6629
Score SMA
0.4957
Rank
#3
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8382
Rank Norm SMA
0.5298
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6081 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.444% · r1d: -1.36% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1438% · dist_ema21: 2.923% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7167 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.129% · rs_1d: 3.73% · rs_3d: 9.27% · beta_24h: 1.675 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5338 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.633 · trend: 81.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6595 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6748 | ATR%: 3.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.795%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.688% | 0.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.177% | 0.2R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.538% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.874% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.874% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.399% | 1.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.399% | 1.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.553% | 2.0R | -10.391% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.553% | 2.0R | -11.262% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 514 min
MAE in 24 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.58
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.67 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.59 | 30/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_medium | -1.15% | +0.25 | 30/10 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454217
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.393 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 34b -1.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 2.82 | 92% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | -0.54 | — | #215773 | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#460267
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.287 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b 0.0ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.25 | 25% | ↑ +0.74 | value | +1.01 | — | #218329 | 0.59 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | +0.67 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:32
|
|
1h
anchor #461664
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.797 | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 18b 1.3ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 1.00 | 96% | ↓ -0.83 | above_value | +2.54 | — | #219011 | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.20% | +0.59 |
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:15
|
|
15m
#461962
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.647 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 1b 0.1ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.61 | 60% | ↑ +0.74 | above_value | +2.54 | — | #219011 | 0.66 | bear_medium | -1.15% | +0.25 |
30/10 11:30
upd 30/10 11:49
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 7.717×ATR | p96 | -1.095×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.637×ATR | p23 | -0.047×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 5.902×ATR | p90 | +1.268×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.28×ATR | p37 | +0.141×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07748 | 0.07299 | 0.07942 | 0.43 | 0.06344 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07748
- Stop Loss: 0.07299
- Take Profit: 0.07942
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07299 - 0.07748 = -0.00449
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07748 - 0.07942 = -0.00194
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00194 / -0.00449 = 0.4321
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137.8412 | 100 | 1778.94 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00449
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00449 = -1781.74
Taille de position USD = -1781.74 x 0.07748 = -138.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -1781.74 avec un stoploss a 0.07299
Avec un position size USD de -138.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1781.74 x -0.00449 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1781.74 x -0.00194 = 3.46
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.46$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1781.74
- Taille de position USD -138.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.46
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4321
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.45 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.8 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.45 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7989 % | 13.79 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07748 | 0.07299 | 0.07942 | 0.43 | 0.06344 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07748
- Stop Loss: 0.07299
- Take Profit: 0.07942
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07299 - 0.07748 = -0.00449
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07748 - 0.07942 = -0.00194
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00194 / -0.00449 = 0.4321
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.795%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.688% | 0.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.177% | 0.2R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.538% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.874% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.874% | 1.0R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.399% | 1.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.399% | 1.1R | -0.799% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.553% | 2.0R | -10.391% | 1.8R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.553% | 2.0R | -11.262% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 514 min
MAE in 24 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.