Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 201.9 GRASS at 0.611$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5954 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6503 (6.5 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 12:15:11
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 12:15
→ 14:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.6106$
Qty 201.8971 GRASS
Size 123.2844$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5954 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.07$
SL 0.6503 (-6.5%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.38
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +3.07$
MAE -0.16%
MFE +4.75%
0.7R
expires
30 Oct 18:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235488)
#81 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 12:00
score du 30/10/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3149
Quality Score
0.405
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#81 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#81 / 96
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.94×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.71×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.13
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 12:02
30/10 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7352
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
49.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.288
Δ 4h
▼-0.136
Δ 12h
▲+0.065
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.6% |
| 1h | 66.2% |
| 4h | 55.8% |
| 24h | 7.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.9% | -0.18% |
| 4h | 49.4% | +0.13% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -7.58% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.227
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 12:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3519
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#23
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7412
Rank Norm SMA
0.8831
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5004 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.59% · r3d: -14.19% · ema21_slope: 0.3276% · dist_ema21: -11.215% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1893 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.44% · rs_3d: -11.49% · beta_24h: 3.321 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3758 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.147 · trend: -1.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5287 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 63.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4049
Score SMA
0.5428
Rank
#81
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3149
Rank Norm SMA
0.5454
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2175 | r1h: 0.600% · r4h: -1.199% · r1d: -10.74% · r3d: -15.29% · ema21_slope: -0.2364% · dist_ema21: -1.133% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3069 | rs_1h: 0.141% · rs_4h: -1.513% · rs_1d: -5.65% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 2.353 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2012 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.353 · trend: -31.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7168 | ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3151
Score SMA
0.5199
Rank
#93
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1670
Rank Norm SMA
0.5983
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2026 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.199% · r1d: -10.74% · r3d: -15.29% · ema21_slope: -0.6659% · dist_ema21: -8.270% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2631 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.513% · rs_1d: -5.65% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 2.100 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2765 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.164 · trend: 10.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7136 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 30.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2485 | ATR%: 5.254% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.502%
(0.0397)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.317% | 0.4R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 14.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.317% | 0.4R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 14.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.409% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 40.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.409% | 1.0R | -0.676% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.869% | 1.1R | -0.676% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1064 min
MAE in 59 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.47 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | -0.68 | 30/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.20% | -0.37 | 30/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.18 | 30/10 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454144
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.605 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 11b -1.0ATR | — | — | 1.13 | 93% | ↓ -0.28 | below_value | -7.67 | — | #215757 | 0.44 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.47 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#460201
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.422 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 2b -1.7ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.78 | 53% | ↑ +0.16 | below_value | -6.71 | — | #218310 | 0.40 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.79% | -0.68 |
30/10 04:00
upd 30/10 08:28
|
|
1h
anchor #461645
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.413 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 4b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.91 | 90% | ↓ -0.85 | below_value | -7.80 | — | #218992 | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.20% | -0.37 |
30/10 10:00
upd 30/10 11:14
|
|
15m
#462042
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.707 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 2b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.23 | 15% | ↑ +0.47 | below_value | -7.80 | — | #218992 | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.97% | -0.18 |
30/10 11:45
upd 30/10 12:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 0.372×ATR | p5 | -0.95×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.608×ATR | p0 | -1.699×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.602×ATR | p9 | -0.756×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.31×ATR | p3 | +0.312×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.65025415
- tp_price: 0.59536425
- atr: 0.01584966
- expires_at: 2026-10-30T22:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 91
- total: 96
- score: 0.2422
- delta_2h: -0.0076
- extension_atr: 0.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3201
- confidence: 0.947
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6106 | 0.6503 | 0.5954 | 0.38 | 0.5663 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6106
- Stop Loss: 0.6503
- Take Profit: 0.5954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6503 - 0.6106 = 0.0397
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6106 - 0.5954 = 0.0152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0152 / 0.0397 = 0.3829
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123.2844 | 100 | 201.8971 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0397
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0397 = 201.51
Taille de position USD = 201.51 x 0.6106 = 123.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 201.51 avec un stoploss a 0.6503
Avec un position size USD de 123.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 201.51 x 0.0397 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 201.51 x 0.0152 = 3.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 201.51
- Taille de position USD 123.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3829
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.5 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.07 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1589 % | 2.44 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6106 | 0.6503 | 0.5954 | 0.38 | 0.5663 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6106
- Stop Loss: 0.6503
- Take Profit: 0.5954
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6503 - 0.6106 = 0.0397
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6106 - 0.5954 = 0.0152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0152 / 0.0397 = 0.3829
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.502%
(0.0397)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.317% | 0.4R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 14.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.317% | 0.4R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 14.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.754% | 0.7R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 29.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.409% | 1.0R | -0.159% | 0.0R | 40.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.409% | 1.0R | -0.676% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.869% | 1.1R | -0.676% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1064 min
MAE in 59 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.