Short Trade on UNI

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Oct 2026 at 14:13:22 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 38.43 UNI at 6.949$ per unit. Take profit: 6.4281 (7.49 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1567 (3 %)

UNI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 14:13 → 19:30 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 6.9485$

Qty 38.4327 UNI

Size 267.0498$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.4281 (+7.49%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.1567 (-3%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.00% / -8$ MAE -4.01% MFE +1.60% 0.5R expires 31 Oct 02:13

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 235742)

#25 / 94

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7712

Quality Score

0.482

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#25 / 94

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

82 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.00 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#25 / 94

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

82 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.00 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	3.74×ATR
4h	clear	1.68×ATR
1d	near	-0.85×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

121.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 14:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 30/10 12:00 Score : +2 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

30/10 12:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7360

Voir snapshot →

range ranging range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	range 0
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	bear 0.90	transition +1
Micro	bear 0.55	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.67

Transition risk : 0.33

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 43.4%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state deteriorating

Δ 15m

→-0.003

Δ 1h

▼-0.129

Δ 4h

→-0.007

Δ 12h

▼-0.241

Δ 24h

▼-0.339

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.0%
1h	30.3%
4h	50.0%
24h	9.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	30.3%	-0.07%
4h	48.7%	+0.01%
24h	34.2%	-6.00%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

1.3%

Down ≥1σ

2.6%

Expansion

4.0%

Tail ↑

+0.41

Tail ↓

+0.37

Dispersion : 0.153

Universe : 76 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -1 removed

Regime confidence : 0.55

Snapshot évalué : 30/10 14:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3477

Score SMA

0.3039

Rank

#27 / 86

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6941

Rank Norm SMA

0.3552

Calculé le

29/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1269	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5421% · dist_ema21: -11.137%
Force Relative	25%	0.2532	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.63% · rs_3d: -6.88% · beta_24h: 2.806
Volume	20%	0.8325	rvol_20: 4.99× · zscore_50: 1.712 · trend: 38.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5321	ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 64.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.130% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.4822

Score SMA

0.5356

Rank

#25 / 94

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7712

Rank Norm SMA

0.6047

Calculé le

30/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4842	r1h: -0.218% · r4h: 1.319% · r1d: -4.17% · r3d: -2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.0484% · dist_ema21: 1.219%
Force Relative	25%	0.5497	rs_1h: -0.002% · rs_4h: 1.318% · rs_1d: 0.42% · rs_3d: 2.04% · beta_24h: 1.745
Volume	20%	0.2022	rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.389 · trend: -28.92%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4783	ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.312% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.5661

Score SMA

0.4973

Rank

#11 / 96

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8536

Rank Norm SMA

0.5983

Calculé le

30/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4525	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.977% · r1d: -6.10% · r3d: -3.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0928% · dist_ema21: -0.587%
Force Relative	25%	0.5206	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.663% · rs_1d: -1.01% · rs_3d: 0.66% · beta_24h: 2.199
Volume	20%	0.7071	rvol_20: 1.99× · zscore_50: 1.035 · trend: 139.55%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6333	ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 32.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6379	ATR%: 4.086% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.996% (0.2082)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.105%	0.0R	15.2×	12
2h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.800%	0.3R	2.0×	24
4h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.800%	0.3R	2.0×	48
8h	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	96
12h ★	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	288
36h	+1.599%	0.5R	-5.195%	1.7R	0.3×	432
48h	+1.599%	0.5R	-6.637%	2.2R	0.2×	576
72h	+1.599%	0.5R	-6.637%	2.2R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 16 min MAE in 2156 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 10 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.97

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 37%	late	near -0.8ATR	—	0.65	range_high	+0.21%	-0.58	28/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.63	bear_high_confirmed	-4.41%	+0.11	30/10 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	range_high	44%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.71	bear_high	-2.98%	+0.63	30/10 12:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	early	near 0.4ATR	—	0.73	bear_medium	-1.34%	+0.05	30/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #454017	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.676	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 37%	late 36b -1.6ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	4.99	98%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-2.64	—	#215728	0.65	range_high	+0.21%	-0.58	28/10 20:00 upd 29/10 20:21
4h #462153	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.233	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.99	97%	↑ +0.89	above_value	-0.10	—	#219152	0.63	bear_high_confirmed	-4.41%	+0.11	30/10 08:00 upd 30/10 12:20
1h anchor #462668	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.547	normal	range_high	44%	noisy_chop 41%	early 1b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.25	86%	↓ -0.71	above_value	+0.08	—	#219440	0.71	bear_high	-2.98%	+0.63	30/10 12:00 upd 30/10 13:13
15m #463061	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.683	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b 0.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.22	42%	↓ -0.79	above_value	+0.08	—	#219440	0.73	bear_medium	-1.34%	+0.05	30/10 13:45 upd 30/10 14:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	36b	—	7.585×ATR	p81	-1.606×ATR	p71
4h	↑ up	early	4b	—	2.48×ATR	p14	-0.126×ATR	p12
1h	↓ down	early	1b	—	1.052×ATR	p2	+0.734×ATR	p47
15m	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.173×ATR	p0	+0.204×ATR	p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.8197
reason: down_bo width=2.24×ATR dur=70b phase=fresh
stop_price: 7.1566559
tp_price: 6.42811026
atr:
score: 0.81968630396785
exit_rules:
expires_at: 2026-10-31T06:13:14.339018
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.81968630396785

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1513
obi_top10 : 0.0508
micro_price : 6.94389045
spread_pct : 0.028806
mid_price : 6.944
bid_wall_price : 6.9
bid_wall_size : 60596.2
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 6.98
ask_wall_size : 47789.8
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1453
obi_top5_std : 0.004
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7003
aggregation_tick : 0.01
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
7.31175
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
6.97115
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
7.14145
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1793134800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1793383200
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.2399
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
70
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: stretched
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8197
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1793379600
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
6.97115
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.6571
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.149
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
6
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
11
```
regime : bear_high
atr_entry : 0.15205898

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.6571

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.149

Signaux confirmants (15)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	14:13	6.94850000	0%
2	14:27	6.94850000	0%
3	14:41	6.86420000	-1.213%
4	14:53	6.86420000	-1.213%
5	15:08	6.90580000	-0.615%
6	15:21	6.90580000	-0.615%
7	15:34	6.90580000	-0.615%
8	15:46	6.91850000	-0.432%
9	15:58	6.91850000	-0.432%
10	16:47	6.93390000	-0.21%
11	17:00	6.93390000	-0.21%
12	17:15	6.94390000	-0.066%
13	17:28	6.94390000	-0.066%
14	17:42	6.97040000	+0.315%
15	17:54	6.97040000	+0.315%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7003ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.151

avg 0.145 ± 0.004

OBI Top 10 0.051

Microstructure

Mid Price

6.9440

Micro Price

6.9439

Spread

0.0288%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

6.9000

Size

60,596.20

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

6.9800

Size

47,789.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
6.9485	7.1567	6.4281	2.5	7.0072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 6.9485
Stop Loss: 7.1567
Take Profit: 6.4281

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 7.1567 - 6.9485 = 0.2082
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 6.9485 - 6.4281 = 0.5204
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5204 / 0.2082 = 2.4995

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
267.0498	100	38.4327	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.2082

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2082 = 38.42

Taille de position USD = 38.42 x 6.9485 = 266.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.42 avec un stoploss a 7.1567

Avec un position size USD de 266.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.42 x 0.2082 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.42 x 0.5204 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 38.42
Taille de position USD 266.96
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
7.49 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-3.00

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.3043 %	110.28 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
6.9485	7.1567	6.4281	2.5	7.0072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 6.9485
Stop Loss: 7.1567
Take Profit: 6.4281

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 7.1567 - 6.9485 = 0.2082
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 6.9485 - 6.4281 = 0.5204
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5204 / 0.2082 = 2.4995

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.4281
            [entry_price] => 6.9485
            [stop_loss] => 7.17752
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-30 23:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.996% (0.2082)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.105%	0.0R	15.2×	12
2h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.800%	0.3R	2.0×	24
4h	+1.599%	0.5R	-0.800%	0.3R	2.0×	48
8h	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	96
12h ★	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	144
24h	+1.599%	0.5R	-4.014%	1.3R	0.4×	288
36h	+1.599%	0.5R	-5.195%	1.7R	0.3×	432
48h	+1.599%	0.5R	-6.637%	2.2R	0.2×	576
72h	+1.599%	0.5R	-6.637%	2.2R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 16 min MAE in 2156 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 10 hours ago

Commentaires

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