Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 443.27 JTO at 0.367$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3577 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3849 (4.91 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 14:15:18
hyperliquid
JTO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 14:15
→ 20:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3669$
Qty 443.2661 JTO
Size 162.6166$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3577 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.08$
SL 0.3849 (-4.91%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.51
Status
loss
PnL
-4.07%
/ -6.62$
MAE -4.70%
MFE +1.81%
0.4R
expires
30 Oct 20:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235759)
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 14:00
score du 30/10/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0801
Quality Score
0.346
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#86 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.01
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 14:01
30/10 14:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7360
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
▼-0.129
Δ 4h
→-0.007
Δ 12h
▼-0.241
Δ 24h
▼-0.339
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.0% |
| 1h | 30.3% |
| 4h | 50.0% |
| 24h | 9.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 30.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 48.7% | +0.01% |
| 24h | 34.2% | -6.00% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.3%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion :
0.153
Universe :
76
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 14:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1767
Score SMA
0.2967
Rank
#84
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0235
Rank Norm SMA
0.1456
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0321 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.09% · r3d: -13.76% · ema21_slope: -0.8348% · dist_ema21: -18.353% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1003 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.95% · rs_3d: -11.06% · beta_24h: 2.434 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3432 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: -52.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4893 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.743% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3459
Score SMA
0.4877
Rank
#86
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0801
Rank Norm SMA
0.3891
Calculé le
30/10/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2204 | r1h: -0.477% · r4h: -0.791% · r1d: -11.68% · r3d: -15.04% · ema21_slope: -0.2420% · dist_ema21: -2.187% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2933 | rs_1h: -0.261% · rs_4h: -0.792% · rs_1d: -7.08% · rs_3d: -10.90% · beta_24h: 2.483 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1681 | rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.479 · trend: -79.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4120 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 79.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.043% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3256
Score SMA
0.4423
Rank
#88
/ 96
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0838
Rank Norm SMA
0.3375
Calculé le
30/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1697 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.038% · r1d: -13.13% · r3d: -14.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5319% · dist_ema21: -7.968% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2109 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.352% · rs_1d: -8.04% · rs_3d: -10.56% · beta_24h: 2.464 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2782 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.357 · trend: 26.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7303 | ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 27.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5682 | ATR%: 4.295% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.906%
(0.0180)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -1.262% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -2.726% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.865% | 0.8R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 34 min
MAE in 334 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 13 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.99 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.84 | 30/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -2.98% | -0.04 | 30/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.34% | -0.11 | 30/10 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454091
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.503 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 32b -2.6ATR | — | — | 1.52 | 42% | ↓ -0.49 | below_value | -5.86 | inside | #215745 | 0.41 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.99 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#462208
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.513 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 17% | ↑ +0.73 | below_value | -7.56 | inside | #219170 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | -0.84 |
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:23
|
|
1h
anchor #462686
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.733 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 16b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.08 | 14% | ↓ -0.92 | below_value | -8.00 | — | #219458 | 0.77 | bear_high | -2.98% | -0.04 |
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 13:14
|
|
15m
#463078
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.623 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 10b -0.9ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.13 | 2% | ↓ -0.79 | below_value | -8.00 | — | #219458 | 0.82 | bear_medium | -1.34% | -0.11 |
30/10 13:45
upd 30/10 14:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 6.765×ATR | p89 | -2.564×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.784×ATR | p43 | -1.687×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 2.611×ATR | p57 | -1.176×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.298×ATR | p68 | -0.895×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.38490785
- tp_price: 0.3576885
- atr: 0.00721914
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T00:15:18+00:00
Details
- rank: 90
- total: 96
- score: 0.2367
- delta_2h: -0.0126
- extension_atr: -1.03
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0841
- confidence: 0.937
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3669 | 0.3849 | 0.3577 | 0.51 | 0.3473 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3669
- Stop Loss: 0.3849
- Take Profit: 0.3577
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3849 - 0.3669 = 0.018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3669 - 0.3577 = 0.0092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.018 = 0.5111
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162.6166 | 100 | 443.2661 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.018
Taille de position = 8 / 0.018 = 444.44
Taille de position USD = 444.44 x 0.3669 = 163.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.3849
Avec un position size USD de 163.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 444.44 x 0.018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 444.44 x 0.0092 = 4.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position 444.44
- Taille de position USD 163.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5111
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.91 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.62 $ | -4.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.6961 % | 95.72 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3669 | 0.3849 | 0.3577 | 0.51 | 0.3473 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3669
- Stop Loss: 0.3849
- Take Profit: 0.3577
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3849 - 0.3669 = 0.018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3669 - 0.3577 = 0.0092
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.018 = 0.5111
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.906%
(0.0180)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -1.262% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -2.726% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.807% | 0.4R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.865% | 0.8R | -4.696% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 34 min
MAE in 334 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 13 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.