Long Trade on XPL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1760.85 XPL at 0.081$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09238 (14.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07648 (5.6 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 16:25:40
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 16:25
→ 04:25
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.08102$
Qty 1760.8463 XPL
Size 142.6638$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09238 (+14.02%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.07648 (-5.6%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.50%
/ -2.14$
MAE -1.70%
MFE +1.75%
0.3R
expires
31 Oct 04:25
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 235979)
#5 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
score du 30/10/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9405
Quality Score
0.573
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
43.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 16:18
30/10 16:18
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 14:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7369
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.199
Δ 1h
▲+0.234
Δ 4h
▲+0.069
Δ 12h
▲+0.238
Δ 24h
▲+0.463
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 63.6% |
| 1h | 54.6% |
| 4h | 52.0% |
| 24h | 55.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.1% | +0.08% |
| 4h | 74.0% | +0.03% |
| 24h | 79.2% | +0.32% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.6%
Tail ↑
+0.52
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.132
Universe :
77
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 16:17
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3530
Score SMA
0.2629
Rank
#22
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7529
Rank Norm SMA
0.1882
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1579 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.7486% · dist_ema21: -8.195% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: 2.32% · beta_24h: 1.988 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6613 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.506 · trend: -7.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4331 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5731
Score SMA
0.5436
Rank
#5
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9405
Rank Norm SMA
0.5905
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8169 | r1h: 3.971% · r4h: 4.711% · r1d: 6.22% · r3d: 10.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1722% · dist_ema21: 5.745% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9906 | rs_1h: 3.564% · rs_4h: 5.551% · rs_1d: 11.03% · rs_3d: 15.01% · beta_24h: 2.600 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5088 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.426 · trend: 21.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5539 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6313
Score SMA
0.4991
Rank
#4
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9684
Rank Norm SMA
0.5394
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.711% · r1d: 6.22% · r3d: 10.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1647% · dist_ema21: 7.016% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.551% · rs_1d: 11.03% · rs_3d: 15.01% · beta_24h: 1.514 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5804 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.884 · trend: 78.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6609 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 35.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6817 | ATR%: 3.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.604%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.215% | 0.0R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.248% | 0.2R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.248% | 0.2R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.750% | 0.3R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.750% | 0.3R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.633% | 0.5R | -2.086% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -14.306% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -14.306% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -18.457% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1919 min
MAE in 1929 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 12 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.58 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | +0.79 | 30/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.70 | bear_high | -3.72% | +0.77 | 30/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.27 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454217
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.393 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 34b -1.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 2.82 | 92% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | -0.54 | — | #215773 | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#462307
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.755 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 4b 0.6ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 1.23 | 79% | ↑ +0.66 | above_value | +2.32 | — | #219203 | 0.58 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.41% | +0.79 |
30/10 08:00
upd 30/10 12:27
|
|
1h
anchor #463690
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.667 | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 3b 1.2ATR | — | near -1.2ATR | 1.24 | 96% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | +2.81 | — | #219871 | 0.70 | bear_high | -3.72% | +0.77 |
30/10 14:00
upd 30/10 15:14
|
|
15m
#464100
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.605 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 14b 2.5ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 72% | ↑ +0.78 | above_value | +4.30 | — | #220061 | 0.66 | bear_medium | -1.29% | +0.27 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 16:16
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 7.717×ATR | p96 | -1.095×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 3.381×ATR | p48 | +0.611×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 0.639×ATR | p0 | +1.237×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.005×ATR | p67 | +2.522×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8855
- reason: up_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.07647673
- tp_price: 0.09237817
- atr:
- score: 0.81546567686858
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T08:25:32.658408
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81546567686858
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1586
- obi_top10 : 0.1121
- micro_price : 0.08026359
- spread_pct : 0.024919
- mid_price : 0.08027
- bid_wall_price : 0.0789
- bid_wall_size : 1018752
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0809
- ask_wall_size : 797502
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1708
- obi_top5_std : 0.011
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7001
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0793305
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.073986
- balance_zone_mid:
0.07665825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793214000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793390400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9443
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8155
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793386800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0793305
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.86
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9308
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00181518 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.86
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9308
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:25 | 0.08102000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:41 | 0.08033700 | -0.843% |
| 3 | 16:53 | 0.08033700 | -0.843% |
| 4 | 17:09 | 0.08033700 | -0.843% |
| 5 | 17:22 | 0.08018000 | -1.037% |
| 6 | 17:36 | 0.08018000 | -1.037% |
| 7 | 17:49 | 0.08129700 | +0.342% |
| 8 | 18:03 | 0.08129700 | +0.342% |
| 9 | 18:20 | 0.08166400 | +0.795% |
| 10 | 18:34 | 0.08166400 | +0.795% |
| 11 | 18:48 | 0.08144600 | +0.526% |
| 12 | 19:03 | 0.08144600 | +0.526% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7001ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.159
avg 0.171
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.112
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0803
Micro Price
0.0803
Spread
0.0249%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0789
Size
1,018,752.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0809
Size
797,502.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08102 | 0.07648 | 0.09238 | 2.5 | 0.06402 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08102
- Stop Loss: 0.07648
- Take Profit: 0.09238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07648 - 0.08102 = -0.00454
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08102 - 0.09238 = -0.01136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01136 / -0.00454 = 2.5022
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142.6638 | 100 | 1760.8463 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00454
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00454 = -1762.11
Taille de position USD = -1762.11 x 0.08102 = -142.77
Donc, tu peux acheter -1762.11 avec un stoploss a 0.07648
Avec un position size USD de -142.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1762.11 x -0.00454 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1762.11 x -0.01136 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1762.11
- Taille de position USD -142.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5022
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.02 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.6 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.14 $ | -1.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6983 % | 30.31 % | 38 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08102 | 0.07648 | 0.09238 | 2.5 | 0.06402 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08102
- Stop Loss: 0.07648
- Take Profit: 0.09238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07648 - 0.08102 = -0.00454
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08102 - 0.09238 = -0.01136
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01136 / -0.00454 = 2.5022
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.604%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.215% | 0.0R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.248% | 0.2R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.248% | 0.2R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.750% | 0.3R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.750% | 0.3R | -1.698% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.633% | 0.5R | -2.086% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -14.306% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -14.306% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.679% | 1.2R | -18.457% | 3.3R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1919 min
MAE in 1929 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 12 hours ago
Commentaires
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