Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 35.68 LIT at 2.711$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6434 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9354 (8.27 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 17:15:17
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 17:15
→ 23:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.7112$
Qty 35.6761 LIT
Size 96.725$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6434 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.42$
SL 2.9354 (-8.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.3
Status
loss
PnL
-1.80%
/ -1.74$
MAE -3.07%
MFE +1.13%
0.1R
expires
30 Oct 23:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236178)
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 17:00
score du 30/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1332
Quality Score
0.320
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#93 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.16
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
57.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 17:02
30/10 17:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7372
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
44.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.015
Δ 1h
▲+0.085
Δ 4h
▼-0.123
Δ 12h
▲+0.081
Δ 24h
▲+0.372
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 56.9% |
| 1h | 25.0% |
| 4h | 44.4% |
| 24h | 52.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 55.6% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 55.6% | -0.16% |
| 24h | 76.4% | +0.20% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.8%
Tail ↑
+0.54
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion :
0.138
Universe :
72
(-5 vs prev)
noisy
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-5 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 17:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2890
Score SMA
0.2495
Rank
#44
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4941
Rank Norm SMA
0.1688
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0382 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.09% · r3d: -10.49% · ema21_slope: -0.7307% · dist_ema21: -17.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1839 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -7.79% · beta_24h: 2.510 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7694 | rvol_20: 2.98× · zscore_50: 1.441 · trend: 7.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5180 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3202
Score SMA
0.4791
Rank
#93
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1332
Rank Norm SMA
0.3116
Calculé le
30/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1702 | r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -2.152% · r1d: -9.63% · r3d: -11.09% · ema21_slope: -0.2741% · dist_ema21: -3.721% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2619 | rs_1h: -1.493% · rs_4h: -1.618% · rs_1d: -7.18% · rs_3d: -6.30% · beta_24h: 1.538 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1501 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.748 · trend: -54.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4888 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8546 | ATR%: 3.436% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2687
Score SMA
0.3977
Rank
#94
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0368
Rank Norm SMA
0.1893
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1303 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.369% · r1d: -10.12% · r3d: -10.84% · ema21_slope: -0.3659% · dist_ema21: -6.239% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2860 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.530% · rs_1d: -5.31% · rs_3d: -6.06% · beta_24h: 3.631 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3234 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.018 · trend: 28.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6226 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 35.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.414% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.269%
(0.2242)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -0.701% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -1.534% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -2.947% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -16.277% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -22.739% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -22.739% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 44 min
MAE in 1369 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 8 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | -0.41 | 30/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -3.24% | -0.02 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_low | -1.30% | -0.30 | 30/10 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454275
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.501 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 2.98 | 93% | ↔ +0.14 | below_value | -2.63 | — | #215784 | 0.42 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.98 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:35
|
|
4h
#464345
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.286 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.62 | 65% | ↑ +0.68 | below_value | -3.43 | inside | #220072 | 0.52 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | -0.41 |
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:28
|
|
1h
anchor #464742
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.616 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.26 | 34% | ↓ -0.49 | below_value | -3.95 | — | #220357 | 0.47 | bear_high | -3.24% | -0.02 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 17:14
|
|
15m
#464649
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.607 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 3b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.65 | 29% | ↓ -0.30 | below_value | -3.95 | — | #220357 | 0.53 | bear_low | -1.30% | -0.30 |
30/10 16:45
upd 30/10 17:10
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.603×ATR | p50 | -1.675×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.079×ATR | p0 | -0.854×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.399×ATR | p32 | -1.27×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.825×ATR | p15 | -1.044×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.93543979
- tp_price: 2.64342
- atr: 0.08969592
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T03:15:17+00:00
Details
- rank: 93
- total: 94
- score: 0.1929
- delta_2h: -0.0293
- extension_atr: -1.06
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1345
- confidence: 0.989
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7112 | 2.9354 | 2.6434 | 0.3 | 3.1135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7112
- Stop Loss: 2.9354
- Take Profit: 2.6434
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9354 - 2.7112 = 0.2242
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7112 - 2.6434 = 0.0678
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0678 / 0.2242 = 0.3024
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96.725 | 96.725 | 35.6761 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.2242
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2242 = 35.68
Taille de position USD = 35.68 x 2.7112 = 96.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 35.68 avec un stoploss a 2.9354
Avec un position size USD de 96.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 35.68 x 0.2242 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 35.68 x 0.0678 = 2.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.42$
Résumé
- Taille de position 35.68
- Taille de position USD 96.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.42
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3024
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.74 $ | -1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0724 % | 37.15 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7112 | 2.9354 | 2.6434 | 0.3 | 3.1135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7112
- Stop Loss: 2.9354
- Take Profit: 2.6434
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9354 - 2.7112 = 0.2242
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7112 - 2.6434 = 0.0678
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0678 / 0.2242 = 0.3024
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.269%
(0.2242)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -0.701% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -1.534% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -2.947% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -3.072% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -16.277% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -22.739% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.132% | 0.1R | -22.739% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 44 min
MAE in 1369 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 8 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.