Long Trade on BCH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.05 BCH at 289.34$ per unit. Take profit: 308.31 (6.56 %) & Stop Loss: 281.752 (2.62 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 17:27:47
hyperliquid
BCH
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 17:27
→ 05:25
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 289.34$
Qty 1.0543 BCH
Size 305.0502$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 308.31 (+6.56%)
TP $ 20$
SL 281.752 (-2.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.42%
/ -1.29$
MAE -0.68%
MFE +2.91%
1.1R
expires
31 Oct 05:27
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236112)
#13 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 17:00
score du 30/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9146
Quality Score
0.555
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#13 / 94
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.71×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 17:15
30/10 17:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7373
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
60.6%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.166
Δ 1h
▲+0.051
Δ 4h
▲+0.086
Δ 12h
▲+0.192
Δ 24h
▲+0.532
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.9% |
| 1h | 54.9% |
| 4h | 64.8% |
| 24h | 47.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.8% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 77.5% | +0.37% |
| 24h | 76.1% | -0.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.4%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
71
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 17:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4026
Score SMA
0.4081
Rank
#18
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.7248
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4172 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.33% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0337% · dist_ema21: -3.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4905 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.18% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.794 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4319 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: -0.051 · trend: -15.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4368 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0291 | ATR%: 5.913% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5545
Score SMA
0.5580
Rank
#13
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9146
Rank Norm SMA
0.6816
Calculé le
30/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5509 | r1h: -0.159% · r4h: -0.375% · r1d: 6.76% · r3d: 0.11% · ema21_slope: 0.1394% · dist_ema21: 1.353% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6544 | rs_1h: -0.117% · rs_4h: 0.159% · rs_1d: 9.21% · rs_3d: 4.90% · beta_24h: 1.624 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2083 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.499 · trend: -33.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5600 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5690
Score SMA
0.5599
Rank
#10
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9411
Rank Norm SMA
0.8005
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5125 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.055% · r1d: 1.09% · r3d: 0.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0435% · dist_ema21: 1.605% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6576 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.216% · rs_1d: 5.90% · rs_3d: 4.95% · beta_24h: 1.346 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3098 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: 14.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6285 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9457 | ATR%: 3.163% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.623%
(7.5880)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.438% | 0.6R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.684% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -1.808% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -2.682% | 1.0R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -3.422% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -5.758% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 177 min
MAE in 1897 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 10 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.44 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | +0.61 | 30/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.60 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -1.57% | -0.07 | 30/10 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#453997
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.652 | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 14b -0.7ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 1.69 | 88% | ↔ -0.06 | below_value | -0.96 | — | #215723 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.21% | +0.44 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#464147
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.784 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.66 | 58% | ↔ +0.14 | above_value | +2.21 | — | #220005 | 0.55 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | +0.61 |
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #464675
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.608 | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 5b 0.8ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | 59% | ↔ -0.05 | above_value | +2.20 | — | #220290 | 0.73 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.60 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 17:11
|
|
15m
#464771
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.596 | compression | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 9b 0.0ATR | — | — | 4.44 | 92% | ↔ -0.04 | above_value | +2.20 | — | #220290 | 0.70 | bear_medium | -1.57% | -0.07 |
30/10 17:00
upd 30/10 17:16
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.066×ATR | p0 | -0.662×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.902×ATR | p25 | +0.442×ATR | p26 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.629×ATR | p8 | +0.799×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.903×ATR | p17 | +0.026×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6536
- reason: up_bo width=1.96×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 281.75200185
- tp_price: 308.30999539
- atr:
- score: 0.65357195422012
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:27:39.079582
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.65357195422012
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0077
- obi_top10 : 0.0137
- micro_price : 289.36804878
- spread_pct : 0.013824
- mid_price : 289.37
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 293
- ask_wall_size : 2885.25
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0078
- obi_top5_std : 0.0035
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7063
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
286.85
- balance_zone_bottom:
277.6
- balance_zone_mid:
282.225
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793242800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793394000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9556
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6536
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793386800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
286.85
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6047
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5264
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.72998154 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.6047
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5264
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:27 | 289.34000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:41 | 289.73000000 | +0.135% |
| 3 | 17:54 | 289.73000000 | +0.135% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7063ms
Confidence avant OB :
65%
→
65%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.008
avg 0.008
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
289.3700
Micro Price
289.3680
Spread
0.0138%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
293.0000
Size
2,885.25
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.34 | 281.752 | 308.31 | 2.5 | 275.17 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 289.34
- Stop Loss: 281.752
- Take Profit: 308.31
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.752 - 289.34 = -7.588
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 289.34 - 308.31 = -18.97
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.97 / -7.588 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 305.0502 | 100 | 1.0543 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.588
Taille de position = 8 / -7.588 = -1.05
Taille de position USD = -1.05 x 289.34 = -303.81
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.05 avec un stoploss a 281.752
Avec un position size USD de -303.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.05 x -7.588 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.05 x -18.97 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.05
- Taille de position USD -303.81
- Perte potentielle 7.97
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.56 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.29 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6843 % | 26.09 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.34 | 281.752 | 308.31 | 2.5 | 275.17 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 289.34
- Stop Loss: 281.752
- Take Profit: 308.31
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.752 - 289.34 = -7.588
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 289.34 - 308.31 = -18.97
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.97 / -7.588 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.623%
(7.5880)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.283% | 0.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.438% | 0.6R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 4.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.315% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.910% | 1.1R | -0.684% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -1.808% | 0.7R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -2.682% | 1.0R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -3.422% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.910% | 1.1R | -5.758% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 177 min
MAE in 1897 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 10 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.