Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1791.44 XPL at 0.0817$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08371 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0772 (5.46 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 18:15:08
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 00:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.08166$
Qty 1791.4405 XPL
Size 146.2962$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08371 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.67$
SL 0.0772 (-5.46%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.46
Status
win
PnL
+0.11%
/ +0.16$
MAE -1.05%
MFE +0.95%
0.2R
expires
31 Oct 00:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236258)
#4 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 18:00
score du 30/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9507
Quality Score
0.707
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 91
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.09×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.97
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
32.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 18:03
30/10 18:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7376
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.6%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.256
Δ 4h
▲+0.262
Δ 12h
▲+0.295
Δ 24h
▲+0.612
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.9% |
| 1h | 85.5% |
| 4h | 76.8% |
| 24h | 52.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 42.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 84.1% | +0.97% |
| 24h | 78.3% | +0.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
7.3%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion :
0.155
Universe :
69
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3530
Score SMA
0.2629
Rank
#22
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7529
Rank Norm SMA
0.1882
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1579 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.7486% · dist_ema21: -8.195% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: 2.32% · beta_24h: 1.988 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6613 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.506 · trend: -7.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4331 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7072
Score SMA
0.5473
Rank
#4
/ 91
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9507
Rank Norm SMA
0.5953
Calculé le
30/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8158 | r1h: 0.585% · r4h: 4.035% · r1d: 14.15% · r3d: 9.54% · ema21_slope: 0.2365% · dist_ema21: 4.069% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8807 | rs_1h: 0.870% · rs_4h: 4.638% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 14.74% · beta_24h: 1.073 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2907 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.279 · trend: -3.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5822 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.278% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7387
Score SMA
0.5017
Rank
#1
/ 94
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9684
Rank Norm SMA
0.5401
Calculé le
30/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.711% · r1d: 6.22% · r3d: 10.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1647% · dist_ema21: 7.016% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.551% · rs_1d: 11.03% · rs_3d: 15.01% · beta_24h: 1.514 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5804 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.884 · trend: 78.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6609 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 35.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6817 | ATR%: 3.955% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.462%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.323% | 0.1R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.335% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -2.506% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.828% | 0.3R | -2.853% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.843% | 1.1R | -14.978% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.843% | 1.1R | -19.096% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1309 min
MAE in 939 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 11 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | +0.93 | 30/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.68 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_low | -1.47% | +0.50 | 30/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#454217
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.393 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 34b -1.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 2.82 | 92% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | -0.54 | — | #215773 | 0.54 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.74 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#464323
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.784 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 5b 1.4ATR | — | — | 1.44 | 84% | ↑ +0.68 | above_value | +4.30 | — | #220061 | 0.57 | bear_high_confirmed | -5.11% | +0.93 |
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:27
|
|
1h
anchor #464731
|
↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.502 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 4b 1.8ATR | — | — | 1.20 | 92% | ↑ +0.18 | above_value | +3.68 | — | #220346 | 0.69 | bear_high | -3.24% | +0.68 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 17:14
|
|
15m
#465111
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.496 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 5b 1.5ATR | — | — | 0.54 | 63% | ↓ -0.20 | above_value | +3.68 | — | #220346 | 0.66 | bear_low | -1.47% | +0.50 |
30/10 17:45
upd 30/10 18:08
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 7.717×ATR | p96 | -1.095×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 4.384×ATR | p65 | +1.4×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.954×ATR | p26 | +1.797×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.522×ATR | p4 | +1.471×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07719832
- tp_price: 0.0837056
- atr: 0.00178627
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T04:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 95
- score: 0.829
- delta_2h: 0.0121
- extension_atr: 1.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9493
- confidence: 0.989
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:15 | 0.08166400 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 0.08142500 | -0.288% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08166 | 0.0772 | 0.08371 | 0.46 | 0.06372 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08166
- Stop Loss: 0.0772
- Take Profit: 0.08371
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0772 - 0.08166 = -0.00446
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08166 - 0.08371 = -0.00205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00205 / -0.00446 = 0.4596
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146.2962 | 100 | 1791.4405 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00446
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00446 = -1793.72
Taille de position USD = -1793.72 x 0.08166 = -146.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -1793.72 avec un stoploss a 0.0772
Avec un position size USD de -146.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1793.72 x -0.00446 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1793.72 x -0.00205 = 3.68
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.68$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1793.72
- Taille de position USD -146.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.68
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4596
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.46 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.16 $ | 0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0531 % | 19.28 % | 26 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08166 | 0.0772 | 0.08371 | 0.46 | 0.06372 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08166
- Stop Loss: 0.0772
- Take Profit: 0.08371
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0772 - 0.08166 = -0.00446
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08166 - 0.08371 = -0.00205
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00205 / -0.00446 = 0.4596
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.462%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.323% | 0.1R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.053% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -1.335% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.953% | 0.2R | -2.506% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.828% | 0.3R | -2.853% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.843% | 1.1R | -14.978% | 2.7R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.843% | 1.1R | -19.096% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1309 min
MAE in 939 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 11 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.