30 Oct 2026 at 20:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_score)

With 421.91 CRV at 0.288$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3071 (6.59 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2881$

Qty 421.9078 CRV

Size 121.5643$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 121.55$

SL 0.3071 (-6.59%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status win PnL +0.61% / +0.75$ MAE -0.98% MFE +0.84% 0.1R expires 30 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236384)
#88 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0974

Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#88 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#88 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.61×ATR
1d near -1.17×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.17
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
26.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 20:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7384
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.032
Δ 4h
▲+0.398
Δ 12h
▲+0.123
Δ 24h
▲+0.683

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.5%
1h 93.9%
4h 80.3%
24h 81.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 34.9% +0.00%
4h 66.7% +1.17%
24h 86.4% +3.49%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.1%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.181
Universe : 66 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 20:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2709
Score SMA
0.3490
Rank
#53 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3882
Rank Norm SMA
0.5366
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2131 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -10.57% · ema21_slope: -0.1526% · dist_ema21: -12.673%
Force Relative 25% 0.2440 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.12% · rs_3d: -7.87% · beta_24h: 2.168
Volume 20% 0.3427 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.013 · trend: -25.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5160 ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3944
Score SMA
0.4758
Rank
#88 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0974
Rank Norm SMA
0.3112
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3331 r1h: 0.372% · r4h: 1.408% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -15.09% · ema21_slope: -0.1804% · dist_ema21: 0.046%
Force Relative 25% 0.3613 rs_1h: -0.155% · rs_4h: 0.879% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: -10.70% · beta_24h: -0.112
Volume 20% 0.2656 rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.175 · trend: -59.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4763 ADX: 38.0 (trend) · Chop: 80.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.030% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3791
Score SMA
0.4313
Rank
#81 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1100
Rank Norm SMA
0.3050
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2263 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.408% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -15.09% · ema21_slope: -0.7162% · dist_ema21: -7.570%
Force Relative 25% 0.2789 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.879% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: -10.70% · beta_24h: 1.389
Volume 20% 0.2850 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.208 · trend: 24.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8112 ADX: 37.3 (trend) · Chop: 20.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6209 ATR%: 4.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.595% (0.0190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.358% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.4× 12
2h +0.607% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.840% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.9× 36
4h +0.840% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.9× 48
8h +1.892% 0.3R -0.975% 0.2R 1.9× 96
12h +1.892% 0.3R -0.975% 0.2R 1.9× 144
24h +2.173% 0.3R -1.093% 0.2R 2.0× 288
48h +5.422% 0.8R -1.093% 0.2R 5.0× 576
72h +8.803% 1.3R -1.093% 0.2R 8.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1244 min MAE in 949 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late near -1.2ATR — 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% -0.83 30/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.44 bear_high -3.07% +0.51 30/10 18:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.44 range_low -0.48% +0.11 30/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#453980
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.440 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 43% late 7b -1.8ATR near -1.2ATR — 1.20 81% ↓ -0.19 below_value -5.23 — #215719 0.64 range_high +0.21% -0.77
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:19
4h
#464131
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.516 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 45% late 4b -2.1ATR — — 0.47 38% ↑ +0.78 below_value -8.45 — #220001 0.50 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% -0.83
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:18
1h anchor
#465617
↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading 0.764 compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b -0.2ATR — — 0.17 18% ↓ -0.69 below_value -8.20 — #220657 0.44 bear_high -3.07% +0.51
30/10 18:00
upd 30/10 19:11
15m
#465990
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.508 compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 43% mid 13b 1.2ATR — — 8.38 93% ↑ +0.16 below_value -8.20 — #220657 0.44 range_low -0.48% +0.11
30/10 19:45
upd 30/10 20:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 7b — 3.839×ATR p50 -1.8×ATR p87
4h ↑ up late 4b — 1.863×ATR p0 -2.09×ATR p94
1h ↓ down early 7b — 0.711×ATR p0 -0.191×ATR p8
15m ↑ up mid 13b — 3.087×ATR p56 +1.205×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.30709149
  2. atr: 0.0063205
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T03:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 90
  2. total: 91
  3. score: 0.3308
  4. confidence: 0.989

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2881 0.3071 0.2622
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2881
  • Stop Loss: 0.3071
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3071 - 0.2881 = 0.019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2881 - = 0.2881

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2881 / 0.019 = 15.1632

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
121.5643 100 421.9078 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.019 = 421.05

Taille de position USD = 421.05 x 0.2881 = 121.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.3071

Avec un position size USD de 121.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 421.05 x 0.019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 421.05 x 0.2881 = 121.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 121.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 421.05
  • Taille de position USD 121.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 121.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.1632

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 121.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.59 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
0.75 $ 0.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9754 % 14.79 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2881 0.3071 0.2622
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2881
  • Stop Loss: 0.3071
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3071 - 0.2881 = 0.019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2881 - = 0.2881

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2881 / 0.019 = 15.1632

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.595% (0.0190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.358% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.4× 12
2h +0.607% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.840% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.9× 36
4h +0.840% 0.1R -0.975% 0.2R 0.9× 48
8h +1.892% 0.3R -0.975% 0.2R 1.9× 96
12h +1.892% 0.3R -0.975% 0.2R 1.9× 144
24h +2.173% 0.3R -1.093% 0.2R 2.0× 288
48h +5.422% 0.8R -1.093% 0.2R 5.0× 576
72h +8.803% 1.3R -1.093% 0.2R 8.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1244 min MAE in 949 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Commentaires

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