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Long Trade on XPL

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30 Oct 2026 at 20:15:10 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1426.39 XPL at 0.0815$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07587 (6.89 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08148$

Qty 1426.3885 XPL

Size 116.2221$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 116.22$

SL 0.07587 (-6.89%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.23% / +0.27$ MAE -0.75% MFE +1.18% 0.2R expires 30 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236439)
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9566

Quality Score
0.630
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.00×ATR
4h clear 1.49×ATR
1d clear 3.09×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.17
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
24.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 20:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/10 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7384
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.032
Δ 4h
▲+0.398
Δ 12h
▲+0.123
Δ 24h
▲+0.683

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.5%
1h 93.9%
4h 80.3%
24h 81.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 34.9% +0.00%
4h 66.7% +1.17%
24h 86.4% +3.49%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.1%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.181
Universe : 66 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 20:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3530
Score SMA
0.2629
Rank
#22 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7529
Rank Norm SMA
0.1882
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1579 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.41% · r3d: -0.39% · ema21_slope: -0.7486% · dist_ema21: -8.195%
Force Relative 25% 0.4338 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: 2.32% · beta_24h: 1.988
Volume 20% 0.6613 rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.506 · trend: -7.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4331 ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6301
Score SMA
0.5478
Rank
#6 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9566
Rank Norm SMA
0.5967
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7174 r1h: 0.805% · r4h: -0.178% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: 0.3000% · dist_ema21: 3.939%
Force Relative 25% 0.7464 rs_1h: 0.279% · rs_4h: -0.707% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.008
Volume 20% 0.1931 rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.467 · trend: -31.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6220 ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.146% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6473
Score SMA
0.5054
Rank
#4 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9716
Rank Norm SMA
0.5505
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6883 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.178% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: 0.1964% · dist_ema21: 6.167%
Force Relative 25% 0.8092 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.707% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.483
Volume 20% 0.3904 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: 0.202 · trend: 52.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6519 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7039 ATR%: 3.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.885% (0.0056)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.176% 0.2R -0.074% 0.0R 16.0× 12
2h +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 24
3h ★ +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 36
4h +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 48
8h +1.176% 0.2R -1.463% 0.2R 0.8× 96
12h +1.176% 0.2R -2.350% 0.3R 0.5× 144
24h +2.053% 0.3R -2.639% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +6.076% 0.9R -14.790% 2.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.076% 0.9R -18.918% 2.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1189 min MAE in 819 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% late near -0.1ATR — 0.54 range_high +0.21% -0.74 28/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.57 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.93 30/10 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.69 bear_high -3.07% +0.60 30/10 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.66 range_low -0.48% +0.27 30/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454217
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.393 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% late 34b -1.1ATR near -0.1ATR — 2.82 92% ↔ -0.08 above_value -0.54 — #215773 0.54 range_high +0.21% -0.74
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:32
4h
#464323
 ↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.784 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 44% mid 5b 1.4ATR — — 1.44 84% ↑ +0.68 above_value +4.30 — #220061 0.57 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.93
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:27
1h anchor
#465674
 ↑ up transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.503 compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% late 6b 1.6ATR — — 0.77 83% ↑ +0.46 above_value +4.03 — #220714 0.69 bear_high -3.07% +0.60
30/10 18:00
upd 30/10 19:14
15m
#466047
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.372 compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid 13b 1.5ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.40 44% ↓ -0.72 above_value +4.03 — #220714 0.66 range_low -0.48% +0.27
30/10 19:45
upd 30/10 20:05
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 34b — 7.717×ATR p96 -1.095×ATR p66
4h ↑ up mid 5b — 4.384×ATR p65 +1.4×ATR p78
1h ↑ up late 6b — 2.222×ATR p38 +1.64×ATR p81
15m ↑ up mid 13b — 2.472×ATR p33 +1.495×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07587143
  2. atr: 0.00186952
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T03:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 91
  3. score: 0.7139
  4. confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08148 0.07587 0.06093
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08148
  • Stop Loss: 0.07587
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07587 - 0.08148 = -0.00561

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08148 - = 0.08148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08148 / -0.00561 = -14.5241

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
116.2221 100 1426.3885 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00561

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00561 = -1426.02

Taille de position USD = -1426.02 x 0.08148 = -116.19

Donc, tu peux acheter -1426.02 avec un stoploss a 0.07587

Avec un position size USD de -116.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1426.02 x -0.00561 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1426.02 x 0.08148 = -116.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -116.19$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1426.02
  • Taille de position USD -116.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -116.19
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -14.5241

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 116.22 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.89 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.27 $ 0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7499 % 10.89 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08148 0.07587 0.06093
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08148
  • Stop Loss: 0.07587
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07587 - 0.08148 = -0.00561

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08148 - = 0.08148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08148 / -0.00561 = -14.5241

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.885% (0.0056)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.176% 0.2R -0.074% 0.0R 16.0× 12
2h +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 24
3h ★ +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 36
4h +1.176% 0.2R -0.750% 0.1R 1.6× 48
8h +1.176% 0.2R -1.463% 0.2R 0.8× 96
12h +1.176% 0.2R -2.350% 0.3R 0.5× 144
24h +2.053% 0.3R -2.639% 0.4R 0.8× 288
48h +6.076% 0.9R -14.790% 2.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.076% 0.9R -18.918% 2.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1189 min MAE in 819 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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