30 Oct 2026 at 20:15:19 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 480.54 ONDO at 0.416$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4261 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.399 (4.02 %)

ONDO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 20:15 → 02:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4157$

Qty 480.5379 ONDO

Size 199.7548$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4261 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5$

SL 0.399 (-4.02%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -0.76% / -1.53$ MAE -2.81% MFE +1.68% 0.4R expires 31 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236412)
#10 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8176

Quality Score
0.605
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#10 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.16×ATR
4h near 0.47×ATR
1d clear 6.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.17
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
13.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 20:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

28/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

30/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/10 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7384
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.032
Δ 4h
▲+0.398
Δ 12h
▲+0.123
Δ 24h
▲+0.683

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 48.5%
1h 93.9%
4h 80.3%
24h 81.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 34.9% +0.00%
4h 66.7% +1.17%
24h 86.4% +3.49%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.1%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.181
Universe : 66 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 20:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2583
Score SMA
0.2858
Rank
#60 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3059
Rank Norm SMA
0.2512
Calculé le
29/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1215 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.88% · r3d: -8.54% · ema21_slope: -0.6156% · dist_ema21: -12.608%
Force Relative 25% 0.2633 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.73% · rs_3d: -5.84% · beta_24h: 2.254
Volume 20% 0.4108 rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: -0.022 · trend: -33.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4926 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6046
Score SMA
0.5192
Rank
#10 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8176
Rank Norm SMA
0.5157
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6652 r1h: 0.496% · r4h: 2.717% · r1d: 9.15% · r3d: -1.43% · ema21_slope: 0.1452% · dist_ema21: 3.527%
Force Relative 25% 0.6931 rs_1h: -0.030% · rs_4h: 2.188% · rs_1d: 9.93% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 1.525
Volume 20% 0.1670 rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.495 · trend: -63.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5987 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.694% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5881
Score SMA
0.4796
Rank
#12 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7971
Rank Norm SMA
0.5003
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5355 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.717% · r1d: 9.15% · r3d: -1.43% · ema21_slope: -0.2077% · dist_ema21: 2.006%
Force Relative 25% 0.7189 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.188% · rs_1d: 9.93% · rs_3d: 2.96% · beta_24h: 2.159
Volume 20% 0.2642 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.154 · trend: 5.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6558 ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 30.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8794 ATR%: 3.362% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.017% (0.0167)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.366% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.684% 0.4R -0.320% 0.1R 5.3× 24
4h +1.684% 0.4R -2.095% 0.5R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 72
8h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 96
12h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 144
24h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 288
48h +1.684% 0.4R -4.027% 1.0R 0.4× 576
72h +1.684% 0.4R -8.403% 2.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 84 min MAE in 269 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.58 range_high +0.21% -0.95 28/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.5ATR 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.28 30/10 12:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.81 bear_high -3.07% +0.74 30/10 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 51% mid — — 0.82 range_low -0.48% +0.32 30/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#454101
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.642 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late 31b -1.9ATR — — 1.69 86% ↓ -0.63 below_value -3.98 — #215747 0.58 range_high +0.21% -0.95
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 20:25
4h
#464235
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.261 expansion_after_compression bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.1ATR — near 0.5ATR 0.50 32% ↑ +0.72 value -1.60 — #220031 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -5.11% +0.28
30/10 12:00
upd 30/10 16:23
1h anchor
#465646
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.531 compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% late 4b 2.2ATR — — 0.46 65% ↓ -0.48 above_value -0.37 — #220686 0.81 bear_high -3.07% +0.74
30/10 18:00
upd 30/10 19:12
15m
#466018
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.376 compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 51% mid 12b 1.9ATR — — 0.21 13% ↓ -0.50 above_value -0.37 — #220686 0.82 range_low -0.48% +0.32
30/10 19:45
upd 30/10 20:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 31b — 6.905×ATR p89 -1.931×ATR p89
4h ↑ up early 4b — 3.115×ATR p45 -0.119×ATR p6
1h ↑ up late 4b — 2.865×ATR p51 +2.161×ATR p88
15m ↑ up mid 12b — 4.355×ATR p73 +1.906×ATR p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.39904199
  2. tp_price: 0.42608225
  3. atr: 0.0066592
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T06:15:19+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 91
  3. score: 0.682
  4. delta_2h: 0.0421
  5. extension_atr: 1.98
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8176
  9. confidence: 0.933

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 20:15 0.41569000 -0.002%
2 22:15 0.41793000 +0.536%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4157 0.399 0.4261 0.62 0.4043
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4157
  • Stop Loss: 0.399
  • Take Profit: 0.4261

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.399 - 0.4157 = -0.0167

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4157 - 0.4261 = -0.0104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0104 / -0.0167 = 0.6228

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
199.7548 100 480.5379 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0167

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0167 = -479.04

Taille de position USD = -479.04 x 0.4157 = -199.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -479.04 avec un stoploss a 0.399

Avec un position size USD de -199.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -479.04 x -0.0167 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -479.04 x -0.0104 = 4.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -479.04
  • Taille de position USD -199.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6228

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.02 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-1.53 $ -0.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8145 % 70.06 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4157 0.399 0.4261 0.62 0.4043
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4157
  • Stop Loss: 0.399
  • Take Profit: 0.4261

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.399 - 0.4157 = -0.0167

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4157 - 0.4261 = -0.0104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0104 / -0.0167 = 0.6228

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.017% (0.0167)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.366% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.684% 0.4R -0.320% 0.1R 5.3× 24
4h +1.684% 0.4R -2.095% 0.5R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 72
8h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 96
12h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 144
24h +1.684% 0.4R -2.815% 0.7R 0.6× 288
48h +1.684% 0.4R -4.027% 1.0R 0.4× 576
72h +1.684% 0.4R -8.403% 2.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 84 min MAE in 269 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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