30 Oct 2026 at 21:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 370.31 INIT at 0.185$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1804 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2067 (11.73 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 21:15 → 01:40 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.185$

Qty 370.3143 INIT

Size 68.5267$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1804 (+2.49%)

TP $ 1.7$

SL 0.2067 (-11.73%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 0.21

Status win PnL +2.49% / +1.7$ MAE -1.31% MFE +3.71% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 03:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236694)
#78 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1299

Quality Score
0.387
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#78 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#78 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.73×ATR
4h near 0.08×ATR
1d clear 2.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.45
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/10 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7388
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.90

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 86.9%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
▲+0.117
Δ 4h
▲+0.429
Δ 12h
▲+0.257
Δ 24h
▲+0.756

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 33.9%
1h 80.4%
4h 96.4%
24h 89.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.05%
4h 82.1% +1.45%
24h 89.3% +5.32%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
10.7%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
10.7%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion : 0.162
Universe : 56 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 21:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8571 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148
Volume 20% 0.6421 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9913 ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3866
Score SMA
0.5843
Rank
#78 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1299
Rank Norm SMA
0.6813
Calculé le
30/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2806 r1h: -1.491% · r4h: 0.902% · r1d: -17.64% · r3d: 13.40% · ema21_slope: -0.7861% · dist_ema21: -5.969%
Force Relative 25% 0.4287 rs_1h: -1.747% · rs_4h: 0.074% · rs_1d: -18.05% · rs_3d: 17.35% · beta_24h: 0.512
Volume 20% 0.1108 rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -1.339 · trend: -76.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7211 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3464 ATR%: 4.961% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4982
Score SMA
0.6326
Rank
#46 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6690
Rank Norm SMA
0.8627
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7227 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.221% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 0.9914% · dist_ema21: -4.210%
Force Relative 25% 0.5885 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.750% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.291
Volume 20% 0.1845 rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.733 · trend: -24.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6490 ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.730% (0.0217)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.687% 0.1R -1.232% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +1.757% 0.2R -1.232% 0.1R 1.4× 24
4h +1.757% 0.2R -1.232% 0.1R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +3.714% 0.3R -1.308% 0.1R 2.8× 72
8h +3.714% 0.3R -1.308% 0.1R 2.8× 96
12h +7.481% 0.6R -1.308% 0.1R 5.7× 144
24h +10.032% 0.9R -1.308% 0.1R 7.7× 288
48h +10.595% 0.9R -9.519% 0.8R 1.1× 576
72h +28.287% 2.4R -9.519% 0.8R 3.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 909 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00 29/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 30% early near 0.1ATR — 0.18 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% +0.94 30/10 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.15 bear_high -2.22% -0.92 30/10 20:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% late — near 0.4ATR 0.08 range_low -0.20% -0.34 30/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466354
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.717 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid 2b 1.2ATR — — 1.54 98% ↑ +0.93 value -3.01 inside #220891 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
4h
#466331
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.585 volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 30% early 9b -0.4ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.14 74% ↓ -0.41 value -3.01 — #220891 0.18 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% +0.94
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:30
1h anchor
#466739
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.364 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% mid 8b -1.2ATR — — 0.14 9% ↓ -0.69 value -3.41 — #221156 0.15 bear_high -2.22% -0.92
30/10 20:00
upd 30/10 21:12
15m
#466651
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.757 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% late 3b -1.4ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.30 2% ↓ -0.50 value -3.01 — #220891 0.08 range_low -0.20% -0.34
30/10 20:45
upd 30/10 21:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.628×ATR p10 +1.246×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 9b — 2.361×ATR p19 -0.377×ATR p26
1h ↑ up mid 8b — 1.275×ATR p2 -1.202×ATR p70
15m ↓ down late 3b — 1.918×ATR p17 -1.36×ATR p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.20665327
  2. tp_price: 0.18042375
  3. atr: 0.00864131
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T07:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 89
  2. total: 91
  3. score: 0.3257
  4. delta_2h: -0.1052
  5. extension_atr: -1.26
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1315
  9. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:15 0.18505000 +0.027%
2 22:15 0.18466000 -0.184%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.185 0.2067 0.1804 0.21 0.1315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.185
  • Stop Loss: 0.2067
  • Take Profit: 0.1804

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2067 - 0.185 = 0.0217

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.185 - 0.1804 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0217 = 0.212

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.5267 68.5267 370.3143 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0217

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0217 = 368.66

Taille de position USD = 368.66 x 0.185 = 68.2

Donc, tu peux acheter 368.66 avec un stoploss a 0.2067

Avec un position size USD de 68.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 368.66 x 0.0217 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 368.66 x 0.0046 = 1.7

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.7$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 368.66
  • Taille de position USD 68.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.7
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.212

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 1.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.73 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
1.7 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2324 % 10.51 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.185 0.2067 0.1804 0.21 0.1315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.185
  • Stop Loss: 0.2067
  • Take Profit: 0.1804

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2067 - 0.185 = 0.0217

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.185 - 0.1804 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0217 = 0.212

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.730% (0.0217)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.687% 0.1R -1.232% 0.1R 0.6× 12
2h +1.757% 0.2R -1.232% 0.1R 1.4× 24
4h +1.757% 0.2R -1.232% 0.1R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +3.714% 0.3R -1.308% 0.1R 2.8× 72
8h +3.714% 0.3R -1.308% 0.1R 2.8× 96
12h +7.481% 0.6R -1.308% 0.1R 5.7× 144
24h +10.032% 0.9R -1.308% 0.1R 7.7× 288
48h +10.595% 0.9R -9.519% 0.8R 1.1× 576
72h +28.287% 2.4R -9.519% 0.8R 3.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 909 min MAE in 349 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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