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Long Trade on XPL

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30 Oct 2026 at 23:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1682.2 XPL at 0.0817$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.077 (5.81 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Oct 2026 23:15 → 02:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08175$

Qty 1682.1954 XPL

Size 137.5279$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 137.52$

SL 0.077 (-5.81%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.27% / -1.74$ MAE -1.44% MFE +0.41% 0.1R expires 31 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 236844)
#2 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9663

Quality Score
0.635
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.75×ATR
4h clear 1.57×ATR
1d clear 1.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.38
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
16.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/10 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7396
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 54.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.185
Δ 4h
▼-0.237
Δ 12h
▲+0.342
Δ 24h
▲+0.253

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 32.1%
1h 17.0%
4h 66.0%
24h 86.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 32.1% -0.02%
4h 49.1% +0.38%
24h 86.8% +3.76%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion : 0.142
Universe : 53 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 30/10 23:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4608 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.7962 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918
Volume 20% 0.5757 rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4283 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6351
Score SMA
0.5501
Rank
#2 / 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9663
Rank Norm SMA
0.6030
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7234 r1h: 0.629% · r4h: 0.903% · r1d: 7.42% · r3d: 9.44% · ema21_slope: 0.3232% · dist_ema21: 3.033%
Force Relative 25% 0.7373 rs_1h: 0.581% · rs_4h: 0.276% · rs_1d: 7.40% · rs_3d: 13.78% · beta_24h: 1.256
Volume 20% 0.2548 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.312 · trend: -36.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6124 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.007% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6550
Score SMA
0.5056
Rank
#6 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9716
Rank Norm SMA
0.5500
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6883 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.178% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: 0.1964% · dist_ema21: 6.167%
Force Relative 25% 0.8092 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.707% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.483
Volume 20% 0.3904 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: 0.202 · trend: 52.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6519 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7039 ATR%: 3.888% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.810% (0.0048)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.409% 0.1R -0.253% 0.0R 1.6× 12
2h +0.409% 0.1R -1.039% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.409% 0.1R -1.443% 0.3R 0.3× 36
4h +0.409% 0.1R -1.609% 0.3R 0.3× 48
8h +0.409% 0.1R -2.613% 0.5R 0.2× 96
12h +0.409% 0.1R -2.960% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +1.716% 0.3R -2.960% 0.5R 0.6× 288
48h +5.726% 1.0R -15.072% 2.6R 0.4× 576
72h +5.726% 1.0R -23.547% 4.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1009 min MAE in 639 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.4
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late near 0.2ATR — 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.57 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% +0.88 30/10 16:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.69 bear_medium -2.28% +0.61 30/10 22:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near 0.4ATR 0.66 range_low -0.29% +0.02 30/10 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466375
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.629 normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late 35b 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 2.21 88% ↔ -0.03 above_value +4.51 — #220895 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
4h
#466352
 ↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.779 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 42% mid 6b 1.2ATR — — 0.75 69% ↑ +0.67 above_value +4.51 — #220895 0.57 bear_high_confirmed -4.53% +0.88
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:31
1h anchor
#467526
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.362 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid 10b 1.5ATR — — 0.86 83% ↑ +0.44 above_value +4.93 — #221457 0.69 bear_medium -2.28% +0.61
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:12
15m
#467453
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.372 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% mid 4b 1.3ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.43 26% ↑ +0.22 above_value +4.53 — #221311 0.66 range_low -0.29% +0.02
30/10 22:45
upd 30/10 23:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 6.114×ATR p88 +0.332×ATR p19
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 4.421×ATR p65 +1.248×ATR p71
1h ↑ up mid 10b — 2.888×ATR p58 +1.469×ATR p78
15m ↑ up mid 4b — 1.783×ATR p4 +1.344×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07699931
  2. atr: 0.00158523
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T06:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.7286
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08175 0.077 0.06378
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08175
  • Stop Loss: 0.077
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.077 - 0.08175 = -0.00475

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08175 - = 0.08175

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08175 / -0.00475 = -17.2105

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
137.5279 100 1682.1954 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00475

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00475 = -1684.21

Taille de position USD = -1684.21 x 0.08175 = -137.68

Donc, tu peux acheter -1684.21 avec un stoploss a 0.077

Avec un position size USD de -137.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1684.21 x -0.00475 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1684.21 x 0.08175 = -137.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -137.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1684.21
  • Taille de position USD -137.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -137.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -17.2105

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 137.52 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.81 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.74 $ -1.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4434 % 24.84 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08175 0.077 0.06378
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08175
  • Stop Loss: 0.077
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.077 - 0.08175 = -0.00475

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08175 - = 0.08175

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08175 / -0.00475 = -17.2105

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08175
            [stop_loss] => 0.076525
            [rr_ratio] => 15.65
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08175
            [stop_loss] => 0.07605
            [rr_ratio] => 14.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08175
            [stop_loss] => 0.075575
            [rr_ratio] => 13.24
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08175
            [stop_loss] => 0.074625
            [rr_ratio] => 11.47
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.810% (0.0048)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.409% 0.1R -0.253% 0.0R 1.6× 12
2h +0.409% 0.1R -1.039% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.409% 0.1R -1.443% 0.3R 0.3× 36
4h +0.409% 0.1R -1.609% 0.3R 0.3× 48
8h +0.409% 0.1R -2.613% 0.5R 0.2× 96
12h +0.409% 0.1R -2.960% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +1.716% 0.3R -2.960% 0.5R 0.6× 288
48h +5.726% 1.0R -15.072% 2.6R 0.4× 576
72h +5.726% 1.0R -23.547% 4.1R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1009 min MAE in 639 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Commentaires

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