Short Trade on TRX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 828.87 TRX at 0.327$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3034 (7.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3371 (2.93 %)
30 Oct 2026 at 23:42:47
hyperliquid
TRX
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Oct 2026 23:42
→ 11:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.3275$
Qty 828.8704 TRX
Size 271.4385$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3034 (+7.36%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.3371 (-2.93%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+4.47%
/ +12.14$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +4.54%
1.6R
expires
31 Oct 11:42
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236808)
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
score du 30/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1778
Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#66 / 72
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.06×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
30.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/10 23:30
30/10 23:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7398
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.165
Δ 4h
▼-0.301
Δ 12h
▼-0.247
Δ 24h
▲+0.077
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 45.3% |
| 1h | 34.0% |
| 4h | 34.0% |
| 24h | 67.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.1% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 34.0% | -0.40% |
| 24h | 81.1% | +1.98% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.42
Tail ↓
+0.25
Dispersion :
0.125
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
30/10 23:31
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5643
Rank
#4
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4405 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0049% · dist_ema21: -1.147% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5059 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.71× · zscore_50: 4.604 · trend: 346.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6318 | ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 17.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4299
Score SMA
0.5127
Rank
#66
/ 72
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1778
Rank Norm SMA
0.4424
Calculé le
30/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3824 | r1h: 0.228% · r4h: -0.888% · r1d: -7.60% · r3d: -1.49% · ema21_slope: -0.1678% · dist_ema21: -1.962% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4044 | rs_1h: 0.180% · rs_4h: -1.514% · rs_1d: -7.62% · rs_3d: 2.85% · beta_24h: -0.291 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1756 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.366 · trend: -53.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5266 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5290
Score SMA
0.5576
Rank
#31
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7973
Rank Norm SMA
0.7402
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4444 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.118% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1108% · dist_ema21: -1.588% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4505 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.647% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3739 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: 0.006 · trend: 80.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7221 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 8.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.931%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.457% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.457% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.771% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.536% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.541% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1172 min
MAE in min
computed 9 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.34 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.57 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | -0.05 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.41 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.02 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.22 | 30/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.14 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.18 | 30/10 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466168
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.673 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 1b -0.5ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 6.71 | 100% | ↑ +0.70 | value | -0.53 | — | #220847 | 0.34 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.57 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#466150
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.810 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 6b -0.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.44 | 97% | ↑ +0.96 | value | -0.53 | — | #220847 | -0.05 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | +0.41 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:21
|
|
1h
anchor #467489
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.488 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 15b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.37 | 88% | ↓ -0.79 | below_value | -1.29 | inside | #221420 | 0.02 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.22 |
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:10
|
|
15m
#467637
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.376 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 7b -0.3ATR | — | — | 0.13 | 24% | ↓ -0.31 | below_value | -1.29 | — | #221420 | 0.14 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.18 |
30/10 23:15
upd 30/10 23:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 4.593×ATR | p44 | -0.507×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.952×ATR | p86 | -0.692×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 3.733×ATR | p73 | -1.989×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.026×ATR | p0 | -0.31×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6215
- reason: down_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=59b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.33713169
- tp_price: 0.30335078
- atr:
- score: 0.62152039083118
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T15:42:39.713924
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.62152039083118
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2099
- obi_top10 : 0.059
- micro_price : 0.32744815
- spread_pct : 0.006108
- mid_price : 0.32744
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.332
- ask_wall_size : 1393677
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1354
- obi_top5_std : 0.1634
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7149
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34321
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.330165
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3366875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793206800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793415600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9368
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
59
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6215
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793397600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.330165
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6102
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6045
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
18
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0044419 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
59
inside_close_ratio
0.6102
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6045
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:42 | 0.32748000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 23:55 | 0.32748000 | -0.006% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7149ms
Confidence avant OB :
62%
→
62%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.210
avg 0.135
± 0.163
OBI Top 10
0.059
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3274
Micro Price
0.3274
Spread
0.0061%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3320
Size
1,393,677.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3275 | 0.3371 | 0.3034 | 2.51 | 0.3221 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3275
- Stop Loss: 0.3371
- Take Profit: 0.3034
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3371 - 0.3275 = 0.0096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3275 - 0.3034 = 0.0241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0241 / 0.0096 = 2.5104
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 271.4385 | 100 | 828.8704 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0096
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0096 = 833.33
Taille de position USD = 833.33 x 0.3275 = 272.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 833.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3371
Avec un position size USD de 272.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 833.33 x 0.0096 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 833.33 x 0.0241 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 833.33
- Taille de position USD 272.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5104
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.36 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.93 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 12.14 $ | 4.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3275 | 0.3371 | 0.3034 | 2.51 | 0.3221 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3275
- Stop Loss: 0.3371
- Take Profit: 0.3034
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3371 - 0.3275 = 0.0096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3275 - 0.3034 = 0.0241
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0241 / 0.0096 = 2.5104
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.931%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.457% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.457% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.771% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.536% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.541% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 36h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 432 |
| 48h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +8.208% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1172 min
MAE in min
computed 9 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.