Short Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4215.78 MEGA at 0.0445$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04344 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04645 (4.26 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 00:15:13
hyperliquid
MEGA
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04455$
Qty 4215.785 MEGA
Size 187.8217$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04344 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.68$
SL 0.04645 (-4.26%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.58
Status
win
PnL
+1.13%
/ +2.13$
MAE -0.25%
MFE +1.73%
0.4R
expires
31 Oct 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 236918)
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 00:00
score du 31/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2811
Quality Score
0.355
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#68 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.51
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 00:03
31/10 00:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/10 22:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7400
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
36.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.182
Δ 4h
▼-0.388
Δ 12h
▼-0.129
Δ 24h
▼-0.064
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.1% |
| 1h | 26.4% |
| 4h | 28.3% |
| 24h | 62.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.3% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 32.1% | -0.51% |
| 24h | 83.0% | +1.61% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
1.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
1.9%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion :
0.126
Universe :
53
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 00:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5316
Score SMA
0.5507
Rank
#12
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.7930
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: -7.46% · ema21_slope: 0.3001% · dist_ema21: -0.225% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5871 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.07% · beta_24h: 2.092 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4942 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.439 · trend: 24.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5345 | ADX: 31.0 (trend) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.478% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3550
Score SMA
0.5625
Rank
#68
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2811
Rank Norm SMA
0.6272
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2984 | r1h: -0.346% · r4h: -2.483% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: -9.14% · ema21_slope: -0.1466% · dist_ema21: -1.822% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4065 | rs_1h: 0.035% · rs_4h: -2.201% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -4.22% · beta_24h: 1.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1352 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.972 · trend: -52.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3040 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 77.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4250
Score SMA
0.5811
Rank
#47
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4181
Rank Norm SMA
0.7210
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3522 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.483% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: -9.14% · ema21_slope: -0.2542% · dist_ema21: -4.425% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4274 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.201% · rs_1d: -1.11% · rs_3d: -4.22% · beta_24h: 1.118 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2449 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.549 · trend: 11.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6516 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 41.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6381 | ATR%: 4.086% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.265%
(0.0019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.672% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.731% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.731% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.731% | 0.4R | -1.428% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.870% | 0.4R | -1.733% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.787% | 0.9R | -1.733% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.668% | 2.7R | -5.811% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 989 min
MAE in 729 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.40 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.86 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.07 | 30/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.34 | 30/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.61% | -0.20 | 30/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466405
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 22b 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.53 | 73% | ↔ +0.06 | above_value | +0.55 | — | #220901 | 0.40 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.86 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:34
|
|
4h
#466383
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.662 | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b -0.6ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.76 | 70% | ↑ +0.23 | above_value | +0.55 | — | #220901 | 0.44 | bear_high_confirmed | -4.53% | -0.07 |
30/10 16:00
upd 30/10 20:33
|
|
1h
anchor #467531
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.494 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b -0.9ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.34 | 37% | ↓ -0.35 | above_value | -0.55 | — | #221462 | 0.43 | bear_medium | -2.28% | -0.34 |
30/10 22:00
upd 30/10 23:13
|
|
15m
#467823
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.626 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 16b -1.9ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.04 | 1% | ↓ -0.65 | above_value | -0.55 | — | #221462 | 0.53 | range_low | -0.61% | -0.20 |
30/10 23:45
upd 31/10 00:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 1.52×ATR | p0 | -0.024×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.454×ATR | p3 | -0.584×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.459×ATR | p0 | -0.933×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.014×ATR | p87 | -1.947×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04644963
- tp_price: 0.0434382
- atr: 0.00075905
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T10:15:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 68
- total: 72
- score: 0.2877
- delta_2h: -0.1209
- extension_atr: -1.03
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2774
- confidence: 0.944
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04455 | 0.04645 | 0.04344 | 0.58 | 0.04431 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04455
- Stop Loss: 0.04645
- Take Profit: 0.04344
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04645 - 0.04455 = 0.0019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04455 - 0.04344 = 0.00111
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00111 / 0.0019 = 0.5842
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.8217 | 100 | 4215.785 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0019
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0019 = 4210.53
Taille de position USD = 4210.53 x 0.04455 = 187.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.04645
Avec un position size USD de 187.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4210.53 x 0.00111 = 4.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4210.53
- Taille de position USD 187.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5842
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.68 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.26 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.13 $ | 1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2469 % | 5.79 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04455 | 0.04645 | 0.04344 | 0.58 | 0.04431 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04455
- Stop Loss: 0.04645
- Take Profit: 0.04344
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04645 - 0.04455 = 0.0019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04455 - 0.04344 = 0.00111
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00111 / 0.0019 = 0.5842
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.265%
(0.0019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.938% | 0.2R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.672% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.731% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.731% | 0.4R | -0.247% | 0.1R | 7.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.731% | 0.4R | -1.428% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.870% | 0.4R | -1.733% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.787% | 0.9R | -1.733% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.668% | 2.7R | -5.811% | 1.4R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 989 min
MAE in 729 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.