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Long Trade on RUNE

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31 Oct 2026 at 01:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 243.28 RUNE at 0.676$ per unit. Take profit: 0.693 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6433 (4.85 %)

RUNE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 01:15 → 07:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.6761$

Qty 243.2767 RUNE

Size 164.4891$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.693 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.11$

SL 0.6433 (-4.85%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.52

Status loss PnL -0.34% / -0.56$ MAE -2.88% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 31 Oct 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237019)
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7967

Quality Score
0.601
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.02×ATR
4h clear 0.93×ATR
1d clear 2.75×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.55
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 01:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7404
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.2%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.172
Δ 4h
▼-0.677
Δ 12h
▼-0.370
Δ 24h
▼-0.395

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 53.9%
1h 9.6%
4h 7.7%
24h 51.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 59.6% +0.01%
4h 15.4% -1.55%
24h 71.2% +0.27%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
1.9%
Expansion
1.9%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion : 0.105
Universe : 52 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 01:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5686
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#10 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8977
Rank Norm SMA
0.8491
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4754 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3272% · dist_ema21: 0.266%
Force Relative 25% 0.6340 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.396
Volume 20% 0.9487 rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 2.231 · trend: 115.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5184 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.6012
Score SMA
0.5437
Rank
#2 / 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7967
Rank Norm SMA
0.6098
Calculé le
31/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6860 r1h: 2.162% · r4h: 2.925% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 7.69% · ema21_slope: 0.0593% · dist_ema21: 3.624%
Force Relative 25% 0.7390 rs_1h: 2.115% · rs_4h: 3.415% · rs_1d: -1.89% · rs_3d: 12.40% · beta_24h: 0.266
Volume 20% 0.1682 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.477 · trend: -68.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5131 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5887
Score SMA
0.5973
Rank
#5 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9138
Rank Norm SMA
0.7962
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6024 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.120% · r1d: -2.29% · r3d: 5.12% · ema21_slope: 0.1568% · dist_ema21: 3.973%
Force Relative 25% 0.6819 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.402% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 10.04% · beta_24h: 0.641
Volume 20% 0.3072 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.058 · trend: 33.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6194 ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 17.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8314 ATR%: 3.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.851% (0.0328)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.433% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +6.075% 1.3R -2.883% 0.6R 2.1× 96
12h +8.373% 1.7R -2.883% 0.6R 2.9× 144
24h +8.373% 1.7R -11.336% 2.3R 0.7× 288
48h +8.373% 1.7R -26.884% 5.5R 0.3× 576
⏱ MFE in 644 min MAE in 1184 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 46 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.84
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% early — — 0.68 range_high -0.57% +0.13 29/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.60 bear_high -4.70% +0.76 30/10 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 38% late — near 0.0ATR 0.50 bear_medium -2.50% +0.22 31/10 00:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.47 range_low -0.52% +0.42 31/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466185
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.690 expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 33% early 1b 0.0ATR — — 4.69 99% ↑ +0.51 value +1.40 — #220851 0.68 range_high -0.57% +0.13
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:23
4h
#467880
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.647 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b 0.9ATR — — 0.44 76% ↑ +0.97 above_value +2.54 — #221565 0.60 bear_high -4.70% +0.76
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:14
1h anchor
#468282
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.656 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 38% late 13b 2.0ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.29 72% ↓ -0.77 above_value +3.52 — #221773 0.50 bear_medium -2.50% +0.22
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 01:10
15m
#468212
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.617 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 47% late 5b 2.7ATR — — 0.81 45% ↓ -0.23 above_value +2.54 — #221565 0.47 range_low -0.52% +0.42
31/10 00:45
upd 31/10 01:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 1b — 1.534×ATR p0 +0.04×ATR p4
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.718×ATR p31 +0.852×ATR p44
1h ↑ up late 13b — 3.749×ATR p63 +1.969×ATR p90
15m ↑ up late 5b — 3.62×ATR p58 +2.737×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.64325563
  2. tp_price: 0.6930435
  3. atr: 0.01315375
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T11:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 72
  3. score: 0.686
  4. delta_2h: 0.1011
  5. extension_atr: 1.5
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7985
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6761 0.6433 0.693 0.52 0.5533
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6761
  • Stop Loss: 0.6433
  • Take Profit: 0.693

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6433 - 0.6761 = -0.0328

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6761 - 0.693 = -0.0169

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0169 / -0.0328 = 0.5152

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
164.4891 100 243.2767 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0328

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0328 = -243.9

Taille de position USD = -243.9 x 0.6761 = -164.9

Donc, tu peux acheter -243.9 avec un stoploss a 0.6433

Avec un position size USD de -164.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -243.9 x -0.0328 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -243.9 x -0.0169 = 4.12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.12$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -243.9
  • Taille de position USD -164.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.12
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5152

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.85 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-0.56 $ -0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8827 % 59.42 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6761 0.6433 0.693 0.52 0.5533
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6761
  • Stop Loss: 0.6433
  • Take Profit: 0.693

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6433 - 0.6761 = -0.0328

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6761 - 0.693 = -0.0169

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0169 / -0.0328 = 0.5152

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.851% (0.0328)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.433% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -2.883% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +6.075% 1.3R -2.883% 0.6R 2.1× 96
12h +8.373% 1.7R -2.883% 0.6R 2.9× 144
24h +8.373% 1.7R -11.336% 2.3R 0.7× 288
48h +8.373% 1.7R -26.884% 5.5R 0.3× 576
⏱ MFE in 644 min MAE in 1184 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 46 minutes ago

Commentaires

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