Short Trade on GRASS (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 388.09 GRASS at 0.58$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5282 (8.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6003 (3.55 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 01:16:53
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 01:16
→ 13:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.5797$
Qty 388.0939 GRASS
Size 224.9897$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5282 (+8.88%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.6003 (-3.55%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.06%
/ -2.38$
MAE -2.95%
MFE +1.42%
0.4R
expires
31 Oct 13:16
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237036)
#61 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 01:00
score du 31/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0778
Quality Score
0.378
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#61 / 68
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 01:01
31/10 01:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7405
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.6%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.043
Δ 4h
▼-0.582
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.450
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 49.0% |
| 1h | 68.6% |
| 4h | 11.8% |
| 24h | 47.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.8% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 17.7% | -1.07% |
| 24h | 66.7% | -0.32% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.24
Dispersion :
0.099
Universe :
51
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 01:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3665
Score SMA
0.5028
Rank
#53
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4091
Rank Norm SMA
0.8073
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4956 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: -21.31% · ema21_slope: 0.2346% · dist_ema21: -9.039% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3443 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.31% · rs_3d: -16.92% · beta_24h: 3.333 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2717 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -7.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5161 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3781
Score SMA
0.5301
Rank
#61
/ 68
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0778
Rank Norm SMA
0.4962
Calculé le
31/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2374 | r1h: -1.594% · r4h: -2.362% · r1d: 0.98% · r3d: -23.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1103% · dist_ema21: -2.528% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2970 | rs_1h: -1.640% · rs_4h: -1.872% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: -18.41% · beta_24h: 2.099 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2812 | rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: -0.199 · trend: -53.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5181 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 65.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3328
Score SMA
0.5061
Rank
#66
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0334
Rank Norm SMA
0.5476
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2103 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.822% · r1d: 1.86% · r3d: -22.26% · ema21_slope: -0.7567% · dist_ema21: -7.279% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3681 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.540% · rs_1d: 3.24% · rs_3d: -17.35% · beta_24h: 2.013 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1714 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.654 · trend: -38.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7094 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 37.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3697 | ATR%: 4.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0206)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.702% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -1.751% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.420% | 0.4R | -2.946% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -2.946% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -6.043% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -6.043% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 283 min
MAE in 1663 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 17 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.51 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.96 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_medium | -2.50% | -0.05 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.22 | 31/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466292
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.662 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 2b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.71 | 81% | ↓ -0.39 | below_value | -8.02 | — | #220877 | 0.44 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.51 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:28
|
|
4h
#467922
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.358 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid 6b -1.5ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.22 | 7% | ↓ -0.28 | below_value | -9.76 | — | #221582 | 0.39 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.96 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor #468300
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.732 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 12b -1.2ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 1.09 | 67% | ↓ -0.54 | below_value | -10.46 | — | #221790 | 0.58 | bear_medium | -2.50% | -0.05 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 01:10
|
|
15m
#468229
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.624 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 10b -2.4ATR | — | — | 2.58 | 75% | ↑ +0.83 | below_value | -9.76 | — | #221582 | 0.60 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.22 |
31/10 00:45
upd 31/10 01:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.147×ATR | p5 | -0.768×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.299×ATR | p0 | -1.544×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.78×ATR | p58 | -1.209×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.021×ATR | p79 | -2.43×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7983
- reason: down_bo width=2.59×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.60034357
- tp_price: 0.52819607
- atr:
- score: 0.79831887728746
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T17:16:45.411379
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79831887728746
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0575
- obi_top10 : 0.1315
- micro_price : 0.57743352
- spread_pct : 0.053701
- mid_price : 0.577425
- bid_wall_price : 0.569
- bid_wall_size : 120455
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1119
- obi_top5_std : 0.0739
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7069
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.61482
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.583445
- balance_zone_mid:
0.5991325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793304000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793422800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5907
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7983
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793419200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.583445
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7059
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3068
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0121107 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.7059
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3068
Signaux confirmants (20)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:16 | 0.57973000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 01:29 | 0.57973000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 01:43 | 0.57734000 | -0.407% |
| 4 | 01:56 | 0.57734000 | -0.407% |
| 5 | 02:14 | 0.58046000 | +0.131% |
| 6 | 02:29 | 0.58046000 | +0.131% |
| 7 | 02:43 | 0.57918000 | -0.09% |
| 8 | 02:56 | 0.57918000 | -0.09% |
| 9 | 03:11 | 0.58089000 | +0.205% |
| 10 | 03:24 | 0.58089000 | +0.205% |
| 11 | 03:39 | 0.57706000 | -0.455% |
| 12 | 03:52 | 0.57706000 | -0.455% |
| 13 | 04:09 | 0.57706000 | -0.455% |
| 14 | 04:25 | 0.57745000 | -0.388% |
| 15 | 04:40 | 0.57843000 | -0.219% |
| 16 | 04:53 | 0.57843000 | -0.219% |
| 17 | 05:08 | 0.58259000 | +0.499% |
| 18 | 05:21 | 0.58259000 | +0.499% |
| 19 | 05:41 | 0.57966000 | -0.007% |
| 20 | 05:54 | 0.57966000 | -0.007% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7069ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.058
avg 0.112
± 0.074
OBI Top 10
0.132
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5774
Micro Price
0.5774
Spread
0.0537%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.5690
Size
120,455.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5797 | 0.6003 | 0.5282 | 2.5 | 0.5587 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5797
- Stop Loss: 0.6003
- Take Profit: 0.5282
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6003 - 0.5797 = 0.0206
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5797 - 0.5282 = 0.0515
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0515 / 0.0206 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 224.9897 | 100 | 388.0939 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0206
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0206 = 388.35
Taille de position USD = 388.35 x 0.5797 = 225.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 388.35 avec un stoploss a 0.6003
Avec un position size USD de 225.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 388.35 x 0.0206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 388.35 x 0.0515 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 388.35
- Taille de position USD 225.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.88 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.38 $ | -1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9464 % | 82.91 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5797 | 0.6003 | 0.5282 | 2.5 | 0.5587 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5797
- Stop Loss: 0.6003
- Take Profit: 0.5282
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6003 - 0.5797 = 0.0206
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5797 - 0.5282 = 0.0515
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0515 / 0.0206 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.554%
(0.0206)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.675% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.702% | 0.2R | -0.828% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -1.751% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.420% | 0.4R | -2.946% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -2.946% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -6.043% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.420% | 0.4R | -6.043% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 283 min
MAE in 1663 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 17 minutes ago
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