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Long Trade on XPL

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31 Oct 2026 at 02:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1974.42 XPL at 0.0809$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07684 (5.01 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08089$

Qty 1974.4165 XPL

Size 159.7145$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 159.71$

SL 0.07684 (-5.01%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.80% / -1.28$ MAE -1.58% MFE +1.06% 0.2R expires 31 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237119)
#4 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9602

Quality Score
0.596
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.50×ATR
4h clear 1.48×ATR
1d clear 1.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.25
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 02:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7408
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.1%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.006
Δ 1h
▼-0.081
Δ 4h
▼-0.621
Δ 12h
▼-0.323
Δ 24h
▼-0.564

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 41.2%
1h 51.0%
4h 2.0%
24h 47.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.2% -0.04%
4h 9.8% -1.25%
24h 70.6% -0.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
3.9%
Expansion
3.9%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.092
Universe : 51 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 02:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4608 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.7962 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918
Volume 20% 0.5757 rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4283 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5959
Score SMA
0.5524
Rank
#4 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9602
Rank Norm SMA
0.6106
Calculé le
31/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6665 r1h: -0.722% · r4h: -0.411% · r1d: 5.16% · r3d: 8.48% · ema21_slope: 0.3388% · dist_ema21: 1.295%
Force Relative 25% 0.6543 rs_1h: -0.822% · rs_4h: -0.223% · rs_1d: 6.80% · rs_3d: 12.98% · beta_24h: 1.296
Volume 20% 0.2138 rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.353 · trend: -41.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6030 ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6365
Score SMA
0.5106
Rank
#2 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9642
Rank Norm SMA
0.5649
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6441 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.540% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 9.58% · ema21_slope: 0.2528% · dist_ema21: 6.090%
Force Relative 25% 0.8166 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.822% · rs_1d: 7.86% · rs_3d: 14.49% · beta_24h: 1.464
Volume 20% 0.3332 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: 0.078 · trend: 30.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6447 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 35.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7574 ATR%: 3.728% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.007% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.873% 0.2R -0.563% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +1.057% 0.2R -0.744% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.057% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.7× 36
4h +1.057% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.7× 48
8h +1.139% 0.2R -1.929% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +1.139% 0.2R -1.929% 0.4R 0.6× 144
24h +6.850% 1.4R -14.169% 2.8R 0.5× 288
48h +6.850% 1.4R -14.169% 2.8R 0.5× 576
72h +6.850% 1.4R -23.118% 4.6R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1329 min MAE in 1339 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 8 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late near 0.2ATR — 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.57 bear_high -4.70% +0.90 30/10 20:00
1h ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.69 bear_medium -2.36% +0.59 31/10 01:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_medium
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid near -0.7ATR — 0.64 range_low -0.39% -0.10 31/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466375
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.629 normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late 35b 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 2.21 88% ↔ -0.03 above_value +4.51 — #220895 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
4h
#467967
 ↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.780 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid 7b 1.3ATR — — 0.63 62% ↑ +0.64 above_value +5.29 — #221597 0.57 bear_high -4.70% +0.90
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:19
1h anchor
#468672
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.503 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid 13b 0.8ATR — — 0.66 77% ↔ +0.09 above_value +4.92 — #221945 0.69 bear_medium -2.36% +0.59
31/10 01:00
upd 31/10 02:13
15m
#468601
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.449 compression bull_medium
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid 10b -1.2ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.77 47% ↓ -0.19 above_value +5.04 — #221805 0.64 range_low -0.39% -0.10
31/10 01:45
upd 31/10 02:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 6.114×ATR p88 +0.332×ATR p19
4h ↑ up mid 7b — 4.731×ATR p68 +1.285×ATR p72
1h ↑ up mid 13b — 2.614×ATR p54 +0.759×ATR p40
15m ↓ down mid 10b — 2.798×ATR p46 -1.22×ATR p62

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07684017
  2. atr: 0.00135061
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T09:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 70
  3. score: 0.6775
  4. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08089 0.07684 0.06367
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08089
  • Stop Loss: 0.07684
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07684 - 0.08089 = -0.00405

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08089 - = 0.08089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08089 / -0.00405 = -19.9728

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
159.7145 100 1974.4165 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00405

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00405 = -1975.31

Taille de position USD = -1975.31 x 0.08089 = -159.78

Donc, tu peux acheter -1975.31 avec un stoploss a 0.07684

Avec un position size USD de -159.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1975.31 x -0.00405 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1975.31 x 0.08089 = -159.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -159.78$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1975.31
  • Taille de position USD -159.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -159.78
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -19.9728

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 159.71 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.01 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.28 $ -0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5775 % 31.51 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08089 0.07684 0.06367
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08089
  • Stop Loss: 0.07684
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07684 - 0.08089 = -0.00405

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08089 - = 0.08089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08089 / -0.00405 = -19.9728

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08089
            [stop_loss] => 0.076435
            [rr_ratio] => 18.16
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08089
            [stop_loss] => 0.07603
            [rr_ratio] => 16.64
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08089
            [stop_loss] => 0.075625
            [rr_ratio] => 15.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.08089
            [stop_loss] => 0.074815
            [rr_ratio] => 13.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-31 06:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.007% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.873% 0.2R -0.563% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +1.057% 0.2R -0.744% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.057% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.7× 36
4h +1.057% 0.2R -1.578% 0.3R 0.7× 48
8h +1.139% 0.2R -1.929% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +1.139% 0.2R -1.929% 0.4R 0.6× 144
24h +6.850% 1.4R -14.169% 2.8R 0.5× 288
48h +6.850% 1.4R -14.169% 2.8R 0.5× 576
72h +6.850% 1.4R -23.118% 4.6R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1329 min MAE in 1339 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 8 hours ago

Commentaires

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