Short Trade on STRK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4906.17 STRK at 0.0429$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04187 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04457 (3.8 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 03:15:06
hyperliquid
STRK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 03:15
→ 08:40
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04294$
Qty 4906.1695 STRK
Size 210.6709$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04187 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.25$
SL 0.04457 (-3.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Status
loss
PnL
-3.80%
/ -8$
MAE -3.84%
MFE +0.35%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 09:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237168)
#62 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 03:00
score du 31/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1503
Quality Score
0.384
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.00×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.69
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 03:01
31/10 03:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7412
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
27.3%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
▲+0.162
Δ 4h
▼-0.274
Δ 12h
▲+0.080
Δ 24h
▼-0.435
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 86.0% |
| 4h | 12.0% |
| 24h | 44.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.0% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 24.0% | -0.69% |
| 24h | 68.0% | -0.46% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.28
Tail ↓
+0.31
Dispersion :
0.081
Universe :
50
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 03:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3852
Score SMA
0.3516
Rank
#44
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5114
Rank Norm SMA
0.5461
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3869 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.80% · r3d: -4.24% · ema21_slope: -1.7003% · dist_ema21: -17.982% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5780 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 0.15% · beta_24h: 4.256 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1705 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.443 · trend: -62.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6037 | ADX: 29.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.580% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3837
Score SMA
0.4714
Rank
#62
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1503
Rank Norm SMA
0.3059
Calculé le
31/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3245 | r1h: -0.441% · r4h: -2.146% · r1d: -4.97% · r3d: -8.42% · ema21_slope: -0.0696% · dist_ema21: -2.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3564 | rs_1h: -0.589% · rs_4h: -2.058% · rs_1d: -3.36% · rs_3d: -4.10% · beta_24h: 0.352 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2018 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.431 · trend: -70.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3871 | ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 67.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3749
Score SMA
0.3468
Rank
#60
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1457
Rank Norm SMA
0.0650
Calculé le
31/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2532 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.557% · r1d: 2.27% · r3d: -6.87% · ema21_slope: -0.3047% · dist_ema21: -3.579% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4612 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.275% · rs_1d: 3.66% · rs_3d: -1.96% · beta_24h: 1.789 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1565 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.652 · trend: -60.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6089 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 42.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6099 | ATR%: 4.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.796%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -0.536% | 0.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -1.118% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -2.375% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.349% | 0.1R | -3.843% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -5.892% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.097% | 0.8R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.824% | 1.8R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 499 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
choppy 48% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.33 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.24 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -2.17% | -0.34 | 31/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.20 | 31/10 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466256
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.679 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
choppy 48% | late 19b -1.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.17 | 85% | ↓ -0.93 | value | -2.83 | — | #220868 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#467904
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.752 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 6b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 13% | ↔ -0.03 | below_value | -3.85 | — | #221576 | 0.33 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.24 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor #469011
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.722 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 10b -1.8ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.69 | 11% | ↓ -0.31 | below_value | -5.46 | — | #222064 | 0.47 | bear_medium | -2.17% | -0.34 |
31/10 02:00
upd 31/10 03:10
|
|
15m
#468940
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.724 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 25b -2.3ATR | — | — | 1.86 | 57% | ↓ -0.22 | below_value | -4.83 | — | #221924 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.23% | -0.20 |
31/10 02:45
upd 31/10 03:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 10.051×ATR | p95 | -1.742×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.023×ATR | p3 | -0.802×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 2.865×ATR | p64 | -1.828×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 8.287×ATR | p96 | -2.34×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0445706
- tp_price: 0.0418665
- atr: 0.00065224
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T13:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 69
- score: 0.335
- delta_2h: -0.0079
- extension_atr: -1.22
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1595
- confidence: 0.912
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04294 | 0.04457 | 0.04187 | 0.66 | 0.04221 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04294
- Stop Loss: 0.04457
- Take Profit: 0.04187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04457 - 0.04294 = 0.00163
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04294 - 0.04187 = 0.00107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00107 / 0.00163 = 0.6564
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 210.6709 | 100 | 4906.1695 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00163
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00163 = 4907.98
Taille de position USD = 4907.98 x 0.04294 = 210.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 4907.98 avec un stoploss a 0.04457
Avec un position size USD de 210.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4907.98 x 0.00163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4907.98 x 0.00107 = 5.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4907.98
- Taille de position USD 210.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6564
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.25 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8426 % | 101.23 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04294 | 0.04457 | 0.04187 | 0.66 | 0.04221 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04294
- Stop Loss: 0.04457
- Take Profit: 0.04187
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04457 - 0.04294 = 0.00163
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04294 - 0.04187 = 0.00107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00107 / 0.00163 = 0.6564
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.796%
(0.0016)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -0.536% | 0.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -1.118% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -2.375% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.349% | 0.1R | -3.843% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -5.892% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.349% | 0.1R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.097% | 0.8R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.824% | 1.8R | -7.336% | 1.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 499 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.