31 Oct 2026 at 04:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 563.2 XTEN at 0.28$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2868 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2656 (5.08 %)

XTEN LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 04:15 → 10:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2798$

Qty 563.2006 XTEN

Size 157.5892$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2868 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.94$

SL 0.2656 (-5.08%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.49

Status win PnL +0.11% / +0.17$ MAE -0.97% MFE +1.04% 0.2R expires 31 Oct 10:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237272)
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9161

Quality Score
0.609
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.68×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.54
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 04:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : unknown (0)

30/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 02:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7416
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.9%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.044
Δ 4h
▼-0.136
Δ 12h
▼-0.126
Δ 24h
▼-0.328

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 54.9%
1h 13.7%
4h 23.5%
24h 58.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 54.9% +0.00%
4h 15.7% -0.54%
24h 72.6% +0.42%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion : 0.107
Universe : 51 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 04:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5098
Score SMA
0.4699
Rank
#19 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7955
Rank Norm SMA
0.7666
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6331 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.43% · r3d: 10.35% · ema21_slope: 0.0000% · dist_ema21: 8.860%
Force Relative 25% 0.7004 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.21% · rs_3d: 14.74% · beta_24h: 1.000
Volume 20% 0.2953 rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -38.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5712 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 0.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6087
Score SMA
0.5119
Rank
#1 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9161
Rank Norm SMA
0.4704
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4969 r1h: -2.956% · r4h: -2.192% · r1d: 1.94% · r3d: 10.19% · ema21_slope: 0.1629% · dist_ema21: -1.231%
Force Relative 25% 0.4883 rs_1h: -2.917% · rs_4h: -2.448% · rs_1d: 3.00% · rs_3d: 14.80% · beta_24h: 0.586
Volume 20% 0.1918 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.123 · trend: -66.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6013 ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.167% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5139
Score SMA
0.5061
Rank
#16 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5956
Rank Norm SMA
0.5073
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5466 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.192% · r1d: 1.94% · r3d: 10.19% · ema21_slope: 0.2578% · dist_ema21: 1.053%
Force Relative 25% 0.6098 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.448% · rs_1d: 3.00% · rs_3d: 14.80% · beta_24h: 1.219
Volume 20% 0.2506 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -12.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5712 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.193% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.075% (0.0142)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 72
8h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 96
12h +1.944% 0.4R -1.876% 0.4R 1.0× 144
24h +1.944% 0.4R -1.876% 0.4R 1.0× 281
48h +1.944% 0.4R -10.615% 2.1R 0.2× 576
72h +1.944% 0.4R -27.402% 5.4R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 699 min MAE in 619 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↔ — — — — — — unknown
39%
noisy_chop 35% late — — — bear_high -4.70% +0.82 30/10 20:00
1h ↔ — — — — — — bull_high
47%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near -0.7ATR — bear_medium -2.17% +0.33 31/10 02:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 52% late — — 0.38 range_low -0.24% -0.22 31/10 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#468013
↔ — — — — — — unknown
39%
noisy_chop 35% late 8b 0.6ATR — — 0.06 8% ↓ -0.54 above_value +1.07 — #221612 — bear_high -4.70% +0.82
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:21
1h anchor
#469047
↔ — — — — — — bull_high
47%
noisy_chop 37% mid 9b 0.7ATR — near -0.7ATR 0.04 16% ↓ -0.52 above_value +1.39 — #222100 — bear_medium -2.17% +0.33
31/10 02:00
upd 31/10 03:12
15m
#469335
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.639 volatile_reversal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 52% late 1b -2.9ATR — — 2.82 79% ↑ +0.89 above_value +1.39 — #222100 0.38 range_low -0.24% -0.22
31/10 03:45
upd 31/10 04:05
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 8b — 1.104×ATR — +0.644×ATR p82
1h ↑ up mid 9b — 2.251×ATR p50 +0.69×ATR p76
15m ↑ up late 1b — 2.469×ATR p33 -2.893×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.26560547
  2. tp_price: 0.28680525
  3. atr: 0.00568181
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T14:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 69
  3. score: 0.6858
  4. delta_2h: 0.0441
  5. extension_atr: -0.35
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.951
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2798 0.2656 0.2868 0.49 0.2413
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2798
  • Stop Loss: 0.2656
  • Take Profit: 0.2868

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2798 = -0.0142

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2798 - 0.2868 = -0.007

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.007 / -0.0142 = 0.493

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
157.5892 100 563.2006 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0142

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0142 = -563.38

Taille de position USD = -563.38 x 0.2798 = -157.63

Donc, tu peux acheter -563.38 avec un stoploss a 0.2656

Avec un position size USD de -157.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -563.38 x -0.0142 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -563.38 x -0.007 = 3.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -563.38
  • Taille de position USD -157.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.493

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.08 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.17 $ 0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9721 % 19.15 % 21
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2798 0.2656 0.2868 0.49 0.2413
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2798
  • Stop Loss: 0.2656
  • Take Profit: 0.2868

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2798 = -0.0142

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2798 - 0.2868 = -0.007

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.007 / -0.0142 = 0.493

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.075% (0.0142)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 72
8h +1.037% 0.2R -0.972% 0.2R 1.1× 96
12h +1.944% 0.4R -1.876% 0.4R 1.0× 144
24h +1.944% 0.4R -1.876% 0.4R 1.0× 281
48h +1.944% 0.4R -10.615% 2.1R 0.2× 576
72h +1.944% 0.4R -27.402% 5.4R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 699 min MAE in 619 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.