Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3994.63 CHIP at 0.0431$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04201 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04509 (4.64 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 04:15:10
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 10:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04309$
Qty 3994.6272 CHIP
Size 172.1205$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04201 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.31$
SL 0.04509 (-4.64%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.54
Status
win
PnL
+1.09%
/ +1.88$
MAE -1.39%
MFE +1.39%
0.3R
expires
31 Oct 10:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237267)
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 04:00
score du 31/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1049
Quality Score
0.365
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.18×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.54
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 04:03
31/10 04:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7416
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
22.9%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.004
Δ 1h
→-0.044
Δ 4h
▼-0.136
Δ 12h
▼-0.126
Δ 24h
▼-0.328
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.9% |
| 1h | 13.7% |
| 4h | 23.5% |
| 24h | 58.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.9% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 15.7% | -0.54% |
| 24h | 72.6% | +0.42% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion :
0.107
Universe :
51
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 04:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3863
Score SMA
0.4669
Rank
#43
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5227
Rank Norm SMA
0.7602
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4657 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.84% · r3d: -18.20% · ema21_slope: -0.2086% · dist_ema21: -6.515% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5092 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.63% · rs_3d: -13.81% · beta_24h: 3.282 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2638 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: 14.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4437 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 15.900% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3652
Score SMA
0.5394
Rank
#65
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1049
Rank Norm SMA
0.5140
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2699 | r1h: -1.483% · r4h: -2.248% · r1d: 1.84% · r3d: -21.03% · ema21_slope: 0.0006% · dist_ema21: -1.919% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2988 | rs_1h: -1.444% · rs_4h: -2.504% · rs_1d: 2.89% · rs_3d: -16.42% · beta_24h: 1.891 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1658 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.513 · trend: -86.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3918 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.987% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3270
Score SMA
0.5012
Rank
#62
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0735
Rank Norm SMA
0.4972
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1980 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.248% · r1d: 1.84% · r3d: -21.03% · ema21_slope: -0.6054% · dist_ema21: -6.823% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4017 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.504% · rs_1d: 2.89% · rs_3d: -16.42% · beta_24h: 2.402 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1598 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -71.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6460 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1316 | ATR%: 5.605% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.641%
(0.0020)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.304% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.750% | 0.2R | -0.304% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.750% | 0.2R | -1.390% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.395% | 0.3R | -1.390% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.395% | 0.3R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.592% | 0.3R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.896% | 0.6R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.439% | 0.7R | -3.467% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.274% | 2.2R | -3.467% | 0.8R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1094 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.47
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.93 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -2.17% | +0.01 | 31/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.24% | -0.26 | 31/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466447
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.635 | expansion | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 12b -0.5ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.54 | 60% | ↔ -0.08 | below_value | -6.76 | — | #220909 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#467998
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.370 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 9b -1.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.15 | 12% | ↓ -0.62 | below_value | -7.85 | — | #221607 | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.70% | -0.93 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 00:21
|
|
1h
anchor #469042
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.520 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 9b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.16 | 4% | ↓ -0.89 | below_value | -9.17 | — | #222095 | 0.52 | bear_medium | -2.17% | +0.01 |
31/10 02:00
upd 31/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#469330
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.554 | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 7b -2.0ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.96 | 23% | ↓ -0.42 | below_value | -9.17 | — | #222095 | 0.66 | range_low | -0.24% | -0.26 |
31/10 03:45
upd 31/10 04:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 0.791×ATR | p0 | -0.468×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 3.493×ATR | p47 | -1.007×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.432×ATR | p2 | -0.384×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.924×ATR | p48 | -1.988×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04509069
- tp_price: 0.0420108
- atr: 0.00080108
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T14:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 69
- score: 0.3068
- delta_2h: -0.029
- extension_atr: -0.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1067
- confidence: 0.941
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04309 | 0.04509 | 0.04201 | 0.54 | 0.04235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04309
- Stop Loss: 0.04509
- Take Profit: 0.04201
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04509 - 0.04309 = 0.002
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04309 - 0.04201 = 0.00108
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00108 / 0.002 = 0.54
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172.1205 | 100 | 3994.6272 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.002
Taille de position = 8 / 0.002 = 4000
Taille de position USD = 4000 x 0.04309 = 172.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 4000 avec un stoploss a 0.04509
Avec un position size USD de 172.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4000 x 0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4000 x 0.00108 = 4.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.32$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4000
- Taille de position USD 172.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.32
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.54
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.64 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.88 $ | 1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3901 % | 29.95 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04309 | 0.04509 | 0.04201 | 0.54 | 0.04235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04309
- Stop Loss: 0.04509
- Take Profit: 0.04201
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04509 - 0.04309 = 0.002
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04309 - 0.04201 = 0.00108
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00108 / 0.002 = 0.54
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.641%
(0.0020)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.304% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.750% | 0.2R | -0.304% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.750% | 0.2R | -1.390% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.395% | 0.3R | -1.390% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.395% | 0.3R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.592% | 0.3R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.896% | 0.6R | -1.492% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.439% | 0.7R | -3.467% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.274% | 2.2R | -3.467% | 0.8R | 3.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1094 min
MAE in 474 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.