31 Oct 2026 at 05:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 302.89 GRASS at 0.583$ per unit. Take profit: 0.568 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.609 (4.53 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 05:15 → 11:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.5826$

Qty 302.8919 GRASS

Size 176.4618$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.568 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.42$

SL 0.609 (-4.53%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.55

Status loss PnL -0.56% / -0.99$ MAE -1.24% MFE +1.91% 0.4R expires 31 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237381)
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0983

Quality Score
0.373
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.74×ATR
4h near -1.64×ATR
1d clear 0.83×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 05:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7420
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 29.3%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h mixed Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.065
Δ 4h
▲+0.101
Δ 12h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h
▼-0.065

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 74.0%
1h 10.0%
4h 40.0%
24h 46.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 74.0% +0.07%
4h 28.0% -0.20%
24h 62.0% -0.05%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.63
Dispersion : 0.110
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 05:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3665
Score SMA
0.5028
Rank
#53 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4091
Rank Norm SMA
0.8073
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4956 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: -21.31% · ema21_slope: 0.2346% · dist_ema21: -9.039%
Force Relative 25% 0.3443 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.31% · rs_3d: -16.92% · beta_24h: 3.333
Volume 20% 0.2717 rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -7.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5161 ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3733
Score SMA
0.5286
Rank
#63 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0983
Rank Norm SMA
0.4883
Calculé le
31/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3103 r1h: 0.085% · r4h: 0.461% · r1d: -1.17% · r3d: -20.37% · ema21_slope: -0.1348% · dist_ema21: -1.424%
Force Relative 25% 0.3804 rs_1h: 0.088% · rs_4h: 0.256% · rs_1d: -0.29% · rs_3d: -15.27% · beta_24h: 1.679
Volume 20% 0.1695 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.457 · trend: -59.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4095 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 80.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3139
Score SMA
0.5048
Rank
#63 / 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0662
Rank Norm SMA
0.5424
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1715 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.224% · r1d: -0.42% · r3d: -21.33% · ema21_slope: -0.7727% · dist_ema21: -7.708%
Force Relative 25% 0.3265 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.479% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: -16.72% · beta_24h: 1.980
Volume 20% 0.1826 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.416 · trend: -42.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6813 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4214 ATR%: 4.736% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.531% (0.0264)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.910% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.910% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.910% 0.4R -1.244% 0.3R 1.5× 48
6h ★ +1.910% 0.4R -1.244% 0.3R 1.5× 72
8h +1.910% 0.4R -2.434% 0.5R 0.8× 96
12h +1.910% 0.4R -2.434% 0.5R 0.8× 144
24h +1.910% 0.4R -5.515% 1.2R 0.4× 288
48h +1.910% 0.4R -5.515% 1.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.907% 1.5R -5.515% 1.2R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 1424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.44 range_high -0.57% -0.51 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
54%
choppy 50% mid near -1.6ATR — 0.40 bear_high -4.38% -0.97 31/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — 0.58 bear_medium -2.13% -0.23 31/10 04:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.60 range_low -0.22% -0.14 31/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466292
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.662 expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early 2b -0.8ATR — — 0.71 81% ↓ -0.39 below_value -8.02 — #220877 0.44 range_high -0.57% -0.51
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:28
4h
#469423
↓ down range range strong grind 0.353 compression bear_high
54%
choppy 50% mid 7b -1.7ATR near -1.6ATR — 0.49 24% ↓ -0.20 below_value -11.67 — #222210 0.40 bear_high -4.38% -0.97
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:17
1h anchor
#469805
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.734 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% mid 16b -0.9ATR — — 0.39 22% ↓ -0.52 below_value -11.81 — #222420 0.58 bear_medium -2.13% -0.23
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 05:10
15m
#469734
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.481 compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 36% early 4b -0.4ATR — — 0.32 16% ↓ -0.65 below_value -11.67 — #222210 0.60 range_low -0.22% -0.14
31/10 04:45
upd 31/10 05:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 2b — 2.147×ATR p5 -0.768×ATR p41
4h ↑ up mid 7b — 1.096×ATR p0 -1.711×ATR p80
1h ↓ down mid 16b — 2.964×ATR p67 -0.94×ATR p51
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.172×ATR p6 -0.361×ATR p25

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.60900206
  2. tp_price: 0.56802525
  3. atr: 0.01056482
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T15:15:13+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 65
  2. total: 69
  3. score: 0.2947
  4. delta_2h: -0.0045
  5. extension_atr: -0.44
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1002
  9. confidence: 0.941

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5826 0.609 0.568 0.55 0.5819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5826
  • Stop Loss: 0.609
  • Take Profit: 0.568

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.609 - 0.5826 = 0.0264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5826 - 0.568 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.0264 = 0.553

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
176.4618 100 302.8919 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0264

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0264 = 303.03

Taille de position USD = 303.03 x 0.5826 = 176.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 303.03 avec un stoploss a 0.609

Avec un position size USD de 176.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0264 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0146 = 4.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.42$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 303.03
  • Taille de position USD 176.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.42
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.553

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 4.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.53 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.99 $ -0.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2444 % 27.46 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5826 0.609 0.568 0.55 0.5819
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5826
  • Stop Loss: 0.609
  • Take Profit: 0.568

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.609 - 0.5826 = 0.0264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5826 - 0.568 = 0.0146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.0264 = 0.553

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.531% (0.0264)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.910% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.910% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.910% 0.4R -1.244% 0.3R 1.5× 48
6h ★ +1.910% 0.4R -1.244% 0.3R 1.5× 72
8h +1.910% 0.4R -2.434% 0.5R 0.8× 96
12h +1.910% 0.4R -2.434% 0.5R 0.8× 144
24h +1.910% 0.4R -5.515% 1.2R 0.4× 288
48h +1.910% 0.4R -5.515% 1.2R 0.4× 576
72h +6.907% 1.5R -5.515% 1.2R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 1424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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