Short Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5471.69 MEGA at 0.0441$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04304 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0456 (3.31 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 07:15:08
hyperliquid
MEGA
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 07:15
→ 13:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04414$
Qty 5471.6942 MEGA
Size 241.5151$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04304 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.02$
SL 0.0456 (-3.31%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.75
Status
loss
PnL
-1.01%
/ -2.44$
MAE -2.68%
MFE +0.65%
0.2R
expires
31 Oct 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237538)
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 07:00
score du 31/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0644
Quality Score
0.381
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#63 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.30
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 07:02
31/10 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7428
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.190
Δ 4h
→+0.022
Δ 12h
▼-0.489
Δ 24h
▼-0.156
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 20.5% |
| 1h | 77.3% |
| 4h | 31.8% |
| 24h | 36.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.5% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 20.5% | -0.30% |
| 24h | 43.2% | -1.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
2.3%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.47
Dispersion :
0.094
Universe :
44
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 07:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5316
Score SMA
0.5507
Rank
#12
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.7930
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6859 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: -7.46% · ema21_slope: 0.3001% · dist_ema21: -0.225% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5871 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.53% · rs_3d: -3.07% · beta_24h: 2.092 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4942 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.439 · trend: 24.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5345 | ADX: 31.0 (trend) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.478% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3808
Score SMA
0.5489
Rank
#63
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0644
Rank Norm SMA
0.5959
Calculé le
31/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3127 | r1h: -0.258% · r4h: -0.343% · r1d: -5.88% · r3d: -11.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1566% · dist_ema21: -1.559% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3613 | rs_1h: -0.188% · rs_4h: -0.382% · rs_1d: -5.33% · rs_3d: -6.76% · beta_24h: 1.080 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1422 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.867 · trend: -65.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4481 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 64.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.412% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3852
Score SMA
0.5716
Rank
#57
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2279
Rank Norm SMA
0.7020
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2966 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.575% · r1d: -4.86% · r3d: -11.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2851% · dist_ema21: -5.421% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3901 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.831% · rs_1d: -3.81% · rs_3d: -6.58% · beta_24h: 1.095 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1924 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.861 · trend: -12.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6229 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6679 | ATR%: 3.996% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.308%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.1R | -0.585% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -0.816% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -0.816% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.653% | 0.2R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.958% | 0.3R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.958% | 0.3R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.847% | 3.3R | -3.623% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.847% | 3.3R | -7.642% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 569 min
MAE in 309 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.40 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.86 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.38% | -0.63 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.98% | -0.26 | 31/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.53 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.07 | 31/10 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466405
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 22b 0.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.53 | 73% | ↔ +0.06 | above_value | +0.55 | — | #220901 | 0.40 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.86 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:34
|
|
4h
#469483
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.552 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b -1.4ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.29 | 22% | ↔ +0.09 | below_value | -1.72 | — | #222230 | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.38% | -0.63 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:20
|
|
1h
anchor #470542
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.507 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 11b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.32 | 15% | ↓ -0.81 | below_value | -1.94 | — | #222720 | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.98% | -0.26 |
31/10 06:00
upd 31/10 07:12
|
|
15m
#470471
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.617 | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 10b -0.4ATR | near -0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.04 | 1% | ↓ -0.24 | value | -1.81 | — | #222580 | 0.53 | range_low | -0.14% | -0.07 |
31/10 06:45
upd 31/10 07:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 22b | — | 1.52×ATR | p0 | -0.024×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.118×ATR | p3 | -1.359×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 2.784×ATR | p59 | -1.603×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.996×ATR | p14 | -0.358×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04560107
- tp_price: 0.04303552
- atr: 0.00058483
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T17:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 64
- total: 70
- score: 0.3153
- delta_2h: -0.0156
- extension_atr: -0.97
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0644
- confidence: 0.913
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04414 | 0.0456 | 0.04304 | 0.75 | 0.04712 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04414
- Stop Loss: 0.0456
- Take Profit: 0.04304
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0456 - 0.04414 = 0.00146
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04414 - 0.04304 = 0.0011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0011 / 0.00146 = 0.7534
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241.5151 | 100 | 5471.6942 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00146
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00146 = 5479.45
Taille de position USD = 5479.45 x 0.04414 = 241.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 5479.45 avec un stoploss a 0.0456
Avec un position size USD de 241.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5479.45 x 0.00146 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5479.45 x 0.0011 = 6.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5479.45
- Taille de position USD 241.86
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7534
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.31 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.44 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6778 % | 80.96 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04414 | 0.0456 | 0.04304 | 0.75 | 0.04712 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04414
- Stop Loss: 0.0456
- Take Profit: 0.04304
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0456 - 0.04414 = 0.00146
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04414 - 0.04304 = 0.0011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0011 / 0.00146 = 0.7534
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.308%
(0.0015)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.1R | -0.585% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -0.816% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -0.816% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.653% | 0.2R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.653% | 0.2R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.958% | 0.3R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.958% | 0.3R | -2.678% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.847% | 3.3R | -3.623% | 1.1R | 3.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.847% | 3.3R | -7.642% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 569 min
MAE in 309 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.