Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 268.54 RUNE at 0.685$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7022 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6553 (4.35 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 08:15:15
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 09:15
· 59 minutes
Position
Entry 0.6851$
Qty 268.5382 RUNE
Size 183.9782$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7022 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.59$
SL 0.6553 (-4.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.57
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.59$
MAE -1.11%
MFE +6.95%
1.6R
expires
31 Oct 14:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237501)
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 07:00
score du 31/10/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8400
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 69
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.00
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
815,301 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 08:00
31/10 08:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7432
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
45.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.005
Δ 1h
▲+0.154
Δ 4h
▲+0.221
Δ 12h
▼-0.303
Δ 24h
▼-0.180
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.5% |
| 1h | 79.1% |
| 4h | 48.8% |
| 24h | 58.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 58.1% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 41.9% | -0.00% |
| 24h | 58.1% | +0.44% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
2.3%
Tail ↑
+0.47
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.116
Universe :
43
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 08:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5686
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#10
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8977
Rank Norm SMA
0.8491
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4754 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3272% · dist_ema21: 0.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6340 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9487 | rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 2.231 · trend: 115.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5184 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5855
Score SMA
0.5394
Rank
#1
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8400
Rank Norm SMA
0.6056
Calculé le
31/10/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6587 | r1h: 1.061% · r4h: 2.110% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: 6.56% · ema21_slope: 0.1561% · dist_ema21: 2.081% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7119 | rs_1h: 1.131% · rs_4h: 2.071% · rs_1d: 2.00% · rs_3d: 11.60% · beta_24h: -0.069 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1884 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.465 · trend: -75.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4815 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.842% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5491
Score SMA
0.5915
Rank
#7
/ 69
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9265
Rank Norm SMA
0.7960
Calculé le
31/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5564 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.434% · r1d: -1.86% · r3d: 4.91% · ema21_slope: 0.2118% · dist_ema21: 3.192% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6132 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.690% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: 9.52% · beta_24h: 0.629 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2625 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.166 · trend: 5.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6264 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 20.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8240 | ATR%: 3.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.350%
(0.0298)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.681% | 1.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 22.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.791% | 1.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 23.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -1.106% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.949% | 1.6R | -1.106% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -2.576% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -9.781% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -12.500% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -27.844% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -27.844% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 224 min
MAE in 764 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.73 | 31/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.98% | +0.28 | 31/10 06:00 |
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466185
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.690 | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 1b 0.0ATR | — | — | 4.69 | 99% | ↑ +0.51 | value | +1.40 | — | #220851 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#469380
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.817 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 69% | ↑ +0.96 | value | +2.35 | — | #222192 | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.38% | +0.73 |
31/10 00:00
upd 31/10 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor #470504
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.501 | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 4b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.62 | 77% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +3.49 | — | #222682 | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.98% | +0.28 |
31/10 06:00
upd 31/10 07:10
|
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.534×ATR | p0 | +0.04×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.489×ATR | p0 | +0.662×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.26×ATR | p2 | +1.341×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.65531908
- tp_price: 0.70223775
- atr: 0.01191637
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T18:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 69
- score: 0.6587
- delta_2h: 0.1139
- extension_atr: 1.82
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.84
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | 0.68511000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 09:15 | 0.69063000 | +0.807% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6851 | 0.6553 | 0.7022 | 0.57 | 0.6053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6851
- Stop Loss: 0.6553
- Take Profit: 0.7022
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6553 - 0.6851 = -0.0298
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6851 - 0.7022 = -0.0171
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0171 / -0.0298 = 0.5738
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183.9782 | 100 | 268.5382 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0298
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0298 = -268.46
Taille de position USD = -268.46 x 0.6851 = -183.92
Donc, tu peux acheter -268.46 avec un stoploss a 0.6553
Avec un position size USD de -183.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -268.46 x -0.0298 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -268.46 x -0.0171 = 4.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position -268.46
- Taille de position USD -183.92
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5738
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.59 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2058 % | 4.73 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6851 | 0.6553 | 0.7022 | 0.57 | 0.6053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6851
- Stop Loss: 0.6553
- Take Profit: 0.7022
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6553 - 0.6851 = -0.0298
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6851 - 0.7022 = -0.0171
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0171 / -0.0298 = 0.5738
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.350%
(0.0298)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.681% | 1.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 22.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.791% | 1.1R | -0.206% | 0.1R | 23.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -1.106% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.949% | 1.6R | -1.106% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -2.576% | 0.6R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -9.781% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -12.500% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -27.844% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.949% | 1.6R | -27.844% | 6.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 224 min
MAE in 764 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.