Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)
With 670.41 PONS at 0.227$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.239 (5.29 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 11:15:07
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 11:15
→ 14:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.227$
Qty 670.4115 PONS
Size 152.1968$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 152.18$
SL 0.239 (-5.29%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-0.14%
/ -0.21$
MAE -2.43%
MFE +0.43%
0.1R
expires
31 Oct 14:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237873)
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 11:00
score du 31/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0548
Quality Score
0.360
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.26
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 11:02
31/10 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7444
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.055
Δ 4h
▲+0.355
Δ 12h
▲+0.103
Δ 24h
▲+0.445
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.0% |
| 1h | 45.0% |
| 4h | 77.5% |
| 24h | 65.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 60.0% | +0.26% |
| 24h | 55.0% | +0.62% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.5%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.068
Universe :
40
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 11:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2401
Score SMA
0.2589
Rank
#88
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0114
Rank Norm SMA
0.2007
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1676 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: -12.47% · ema21_slope: -1.9104% · dist_ema21: -20.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3583 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: -8.08% · beta_24h: 3.638 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -61.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4016 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 75.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 20.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3603
Score SMA
0.5354
Rank
#62
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0548
Rank Norm SMA
0.4963
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2849 | r1h: 0.605% · r4h: -0.546% · r1d: -6.82% · r3d: -19.73% · ema21_slope: -0.2692% · dist_ema21: -1.688% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3058 | rs_1h: 0.729% · rs_4h: -0.560% · rs_1d: -7.03% · rs_3d: -15.76% · beta_24h: 1.644 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1605 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.739 · trend: -46.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5049 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3084
Score SMA
0.4556
Rank
#63
/ 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0377
Rank Norm SMA
0.3825
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1965 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.484% · r1d: -3.17% · r3d: -21.86% · ema21_slope: -0.6793% · dist_ema21: -7.528% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3808 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.134% · rs_1d: -3.49% · rs_3d: -17.29% · beta_24h: 3.014 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.472 · trend: -18.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6717 | ADX: 23.0 (weak) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1125 | ATR%: 5.662% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -5.286%
(0.0120)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.432% | 0.1R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -3.344% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -4.903% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.621% | 3.3R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 164 min
MAE in 1059 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.97 | 31/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.83% | -0.33 | 31/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.71 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.05 | 31/10 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466458
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | — | — | — | 0.83 | 23% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | -0.55 | inside | #220912 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#471000
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.468 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 8b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.39 | 22% | ↓ -0.49 | above_value | -2.31 | — | #222864 | 0.40 | bear_high | -3.96% | -0.97 |
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor #471982
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.754 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 13b -1.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.53 | 35% | ↑ +0.45 | above_value | -3.11 | — | #223326 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.83% | -0.33 |
31/10 10:00
upd 31/10 11:11
|
|
15m
#471915
|
↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | 0.524 | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 6b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.44 | 15% | ↓ -0.29 | above_value | -3.06 | — | #223196 | 0.71 | range_low | -0.13% | -0.05 |
31/10 10:45
upd 31/10 11:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 0.787×ATR | p0 | -1.385×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.02×ATR | p68 | -1.086×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.529×ATR | p0 | +0.286×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.227 | 0.239 | 0.1871 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.227
- Stop Loss: 0.239
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.239 - 0.227 = 0.012
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.227 - = 0.227
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.227 / 0.012 = 18.9167
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152.1968 | 100 | 670.4115 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.012
Taille de position = 8 / 0.012 = 666.67
Taille de position USD = 666.67 x 0.227 = 151.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.239
Avec un position size USD de 151.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 666.67 x 0.012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 666.67 x 0.227 = 151.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 151.33$
Résumé
- Taille de position 666.67
- Taille de position USD 151.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 151.33
- Risk-Reward Ratio 18.9167
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 152.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.29 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.21 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4273 % | 45.92 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.227 | 0.239 | 0.1871 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.227
- Stop Loss: 0.239
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.239 - 0.227 = 0.012
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.227 - = 0.227
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.227 / 0.012 = 18.9167
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -5.286%
(0.0120)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.432% | 0.1R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -2.427% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -3.344% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -4.903% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.432% | 0.1R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.621% | 3.3R | -9.339% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 164 min
MAE in 1059 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.