31 Oct 2026 at 11:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2107.51 XPL at 0.0804$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07659 (4.73 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 11:15 → 14:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08039$

Qty 2107.5093 XPL

Size 169.4227$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 169.42$

SL 0.07659 (-4.73%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +0.32% / +0.54$ MAE -0.00% MFE +1.46% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 14:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237861)
#6 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8953

Quality Score
0.558
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.52×ATR
4h clear 2.01×ATR
1d clear 1.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.26
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
15.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 11:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

31/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

31/10 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7444
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.055
Δ 4h
▲+0.355
Δ 12h
▲+0.103
Δ 24h
▲+0.445

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 45.0%
4h 77.5%
24h 65.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.0% +0.02%
4h 60.0% +0.26%
24h 55.0% +0.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.5%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 40 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4608 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.7962 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918
Volume 20% 0.5757 rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4283 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5584
Score SMA
0.5581
Rank
#6 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8953
Rank Norm SMA
0.6366
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6533 r1h: 0.987% · r4h: 0.732% · r1d: 2.83% · r3d: 6.30% · ema21_slope: 0.0959% · dist_ema21: 0.488%
Force Relative 25% 0.6796 rs_1h: 1.111% · rs_4h: 0.718% · rs_1d: 2.62% · rs_3d: 10.27% · beta_24h: 0.730
Volume 20% 0.1730 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.528 · trend: -43.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4038 ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 74.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.670% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6032
Score SMA
0.5205
Rank
#2 / 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9704
Rank Norm SMA
0.5934
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6309 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.333% · r1d: 7.13% · r3d: 5.49% · ema21_slope: 0.2976% · dist_ema21: 3.758%
Force Relative 25% 0.7410 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.018% · rs_1d: 6.81% · rs_3d: 10.06% · beta_24h: 1.423
Volume 20% 0.2598 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -1.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6273 ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 37.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8258 ATR%: 3.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.727% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +3.437% 0.7R -0.720% 0.2R 4.8× 96
12h +3.437% 0.7R -0.720% 0.2R 4.8× 144
24h +7.515% 1.6R -13.635% 2.9R 0.6× 288
48h +7.515% 1.6R -14.474% 3.1R 0.5× 576
72h +7.515% 1.6R -22.640% 4.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 789 min MAE in 799 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late near 0.2ATR — 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.57 bear_high -3.96% +0.84 31/10 04:00
1h ↑ up range range strong explosive compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.68 bear_medium -1.83% +0.14 31/10 10:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced normal range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.2ATR — 0.63 range_low -0.13% +0.07 31/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466375
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.629 normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 34% late 35b 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 2.21 88% ↔ -0.03 above_value +4.51 — #220895 0.54 range_high -0.57% +0.01
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
4h
#470962
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.781 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% mid 9b 0.8ATR — — 0.47 54% ↑ +0.19 above_value +4.87 — #222851 0.57 bear_high -3.96% +0.84
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:20
1h anchor
#471970
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.709 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 2b 0.4ATR — — 0.38 54% ↓ -0.40 above_value +5.07 — #223314 0.68 bear_medium -1.83% +0.14
31/10 10:00
upd 31/10 11:11
15m
#471903
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.634 normal range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 41% early 4b 0.1ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.09 1% ↓ -0.34 above_value +5.33 — #223184 0.63 range_low -0.13% +0.07
31/10 10:45
upd 31/10 11:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 6.114×ATR p88 +0.332×ATR p19
4h ↑ up mid 9b — 4.661×ATR p68 +0.843×ATR p50
1h ↓ down early 2b — 0.983×ATR p0 +0.352×ATR p18
15m ↑ up early 4b — 2.266×ATR p32 +0.052×ATR p3

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07659405
  2. atr: 0.00126532
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-31T18:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 67
  3. score: 0.6517
  4. confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08039 0.07659 0.05953
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08039
  • Stop Loss: 0.07659
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.08039 = -0.0038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08039 - = 0.08039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08039 / -0.0038 = -21.1553

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
169.4227 100 2107.5093 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0038

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0038 = -2105.26

Taille de position USD = -2105.26 x 0.08039 = -169.24

Donc, tu peux acheter -2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.07659

Avec un position size USD de -169.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0038 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2105.26 x 0.08039 = -169.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -169.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2105.26
  • Taille de position USD -169.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -169.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -21.1553

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 169.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.73 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.54 $ 0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08039 0.07659 0.05953
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08039
  • Stop Loss: 0.07659
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.08039 = -0.0038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08039 - = 0.08039

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08039 / -0.0038 = -21.1553

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.727% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +1.455% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +3.437% 0.7R -0.720% 0.2R 4.8× 96
12h +3.437% 0.7R -0.720% 0.2R 4.8× 144
24h +7.515% 1.6R -13.635% 2.9R 0.6× 288
48h +7.515% 1.6R -14.474% 3.1R 0.5× 576
72h +7.515% 1.6R -22.640% 4.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 789 min MAE in 799 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.