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Short Trade on INIT

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31 Oct 2026 at 11:15:16 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 510.51 INIT at 0.17$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1663 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1862 (9.21 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 11:15 → 17:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1705$

Qty 510.5056 INIT

Size 87.0616$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1663 (+2.46%)

TP $ 2.14$

SL 0.1862 (-9.21%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.27

Status loss PnL -1.92% / -1.67$ MAE -4.55% MFE +2.38% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 237858)
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0314

Quality Score
0.242
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.09×ATR
4h near -0.77×ATR
1d clear 2.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.26
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 11:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

31/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7444
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.055
Δ 4h
▲+0.355
Δ 12h
▲+0.103
Δ 24h
▲+0.445

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 45.0%
4h 77.5%
24h 65.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.0% +0.02%
4h 60.0% +0.26%
24h 55.0% +0.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.5%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.068
Universe : 40 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 11:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8571 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148
Volume 20% 0.6421 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9913 ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.2415
Score SMA
0.5607
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0314
Rank Norm SMA
0.6171
Calculé le
31/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0170 r1h: -2.591% · r4h: -4.666% · r1d: -13.64% · r3d: -21.43% · ema21_slope: -0.5204% · dist_ema21: -7.577%
Force Relative 25% 0.0497 rs_1h: -2.467% · rs_4h: -4.681% · rs_1d: -13.85% · rs_3d: -17.47% · beta_24h: -1.780
Volume 20% 0.3566 rvol_20: 1.71× · zscore_50: -0.548 · trend: -58.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6379 ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6847 ATR%: 3.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3049
Score SMA
0.6140
Rank
#66 / 67
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2943
Rank Norm SMA
0.8176
Calculé le
31/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4001 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.701% · r1d: -20.47% · r3d: -20.44% · ema21_slope: 0.2776% · dist_ema21: -10.513%
Force Relative 25% 0.2500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -7.052% · rs_1d: -20.79% · rs_3d: -15.87% · beta_24h: 1.101
Volume 20% 0.1518 rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.724 · trend: -57.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6134 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.939% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.208% (0.0157)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.364% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.381% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.381% 0.3R -1.103% 0.1R 2.2× 48
6h ★ +2.381% 0.3R -4.546% 0.5R 0.5× 72
8h +2.381% 0.3R -4.546% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +2.991% 0.3R -10.053% 1.1R 0.3× 144
24h +2.991% 0.3R -18.833% 2.1R 0.2× 288
48h +14.956% 1.6R -18.833% 2.1R 0.8× 576
72h +25.097% 2.7R -18.833% 2.1R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 709 min MAE in 1244 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% mid near -0.8ATR — 0.17 bear_high -3.96% +0.11 31/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% late near -0.1ATR — 0.14 bear_medium -1.83% -0.76 31/10 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 52% late — — 0.09 range_low -0.13% -0.60 31/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466354
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.717 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 39% mid 2b 1.2ATR — — 1.54 98% ↑ +0.93 value -3.01 inside #220891 0.35 range_high -0.57% +1.00
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:31
4h
#470952
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.503 expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% mid 12b -1.1ATR near -0.8ATR — 0.17 74% ↓ -0.82 value -6.24 — #222848 0.17 bear_high -3.96% +0.11
31/10 04:00
upd 31/10 08:19
1h anchor
#471967
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.741 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% late 18b -2.8ATR near -0.1ATR — 1.71 40% ↑ +0.24 below_value -7.24 inside #223311 0.14 bear_medium -1.83% -0.76
31/10 10:00
upd 31/10 11:10
15m
#471900
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.743 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 52% late 8b -2.4ATR — — 0.91 29% ↔ +0.03 value -6.17 — #223181 0.09 range_low -0.13% -0.60
31/10 10:45
upd 31/10 11:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.628×ATR p10 +1.246×ATR p70
4h ↓ down mid 12b — 3.474×ATR p50 -1.057×ATR p60
1h ↓ down late 18b — 3.521×ATR p60 -2.763×ATR p97
15m ↓ down late 8b — 4.244×ATR p88 -2.4×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.18621074
  2. tp_price: 0.1662765
  3. atr: 0.0062683
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-31T21:15:16+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 67
  3. score: 0.0172
  4. delta_2h: -0.1341
  5. extension_atr: -1.73
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0314
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1705 0.1862 0.1663 0.27 0.1372
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1705
  • Stop Loss: 0.1862
  • Take Profit: 0.1663

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1862 - 0.1705 = 0.0157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1705 - 0.1663 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0157 = 0.2675

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
87.0616 87.0616 510.5056 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0157

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0157 = 509.55

Taille de position USD = 509.55 x 0.1705 = 86.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 509.55 avec un stoploss a 0.1862

Avec un position size USD de 86.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 509.55 x 0.0157 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 509.55 x 0.0042 = 2.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 509.55
  • Taille de position USD 86.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2675

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.46 % 2.14 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.21 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-1.67 $ -1.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.5455 % 49.36 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1705 0.1862 0.1663 0.27 0.1372
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1705
  • Stop Loss: 0.1862
  • Take Profit: 0.1663

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1862 - 0.1705 = 0.0157

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1705 - 0.1663 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0157 = 0.2675

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.208% (0.0157)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.364% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.381% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.381% 0.3R -1.103% 0.1R 2.2× 48
6h ★ +2.381% 0.3R -4.546% 0.5R 0.5× 72
8h +2.381% 0.3R -4.546% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +2.991% 0.3R -10.053% 1.1R 0.3× 144
24h +2.991% 0.3R -18.833% 2.1R 0.2× 288
48h +14.956% 1.6R -18.833% 2.1R 0.8× 576
72h +25.097% 2.7R -18.833% 2.1R 1.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 709 min MAE in 1244 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.