Long Trade on MORPHO (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 40.74 MORPHO at 2.344$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2625 (3.49 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 12:29:34
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 12:29
→ 10:59
· 23 hours
Position
Entry 2.3444$
Qty 40.7378 MORPHO
Size 95.5057$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 95.51$
SL 2.2625 (-3.49%)
SL $ 3.34$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-2.93%
/ -2.79$
MAE -0.42%
MFE +3.54%
1.0R
Exit
trailing_ma:4h:9
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 237920)
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 12:00
score du 31/10/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8489
Quality Score
0.806
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 12:17
31/10 12:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7449
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.3%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
▼-0.202
Δ 1h
→+0.009
Δ 4h
▲+0.166
Δ 12h
▲+0.454
Δ 24h
▲+0.208
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.4% |
| 1h | 68.4% |
| 4h | 65.8% |
| 24h | 76.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.4% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 60.5% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 73.7% | +1.62% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
18.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
18.4%
Tail ↑
+0.84
Tail ↓
+0.55
Dispersion :
0.154
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 12:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3582
Score SMA
0.2955
Rank
#61
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3182
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6152 | rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5383 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8062
Score SMA
0.5314
Rank
#1
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8489
Rank Norm SMA
0.5558
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8261 | r1h: 2.525% · r4h: 7.135% · r1d: 11.21% · r3d: 5.27% · ema21_slope: 0.2524% · dist_ema21: 7.127% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9206 | rs_1h: 2.303% · rs_4h: 7.171% · rs_1d: 11.24% · rs_3d: 8.96% · beta_24h: 0.695 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7535 | rvol_20: 3.98× · zscore_50: 0.249 · trend: 52.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7369 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.594% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6597
Score SMA
0.4935
Rank
#3
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8297
Rank Norm SMA
0.5526
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6391 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 7.135% · r1d: 11.21% · r3d: 5.27% · ema21_slope: -0.1457% · dist_ema21: 7.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8980 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 7.171% · rs_1d: 11.24% · rs_3d: 8.96% · beta_24h: 1.303 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4644 | rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.860 · trend: -3.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6856 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 36.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9401 | ATR%: 3.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.493%
(0.0819)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.884% | 0.8R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -1.907% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -3.417% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -6.825% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -11.402% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 80 min
MAE in 1320 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 6.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.69 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
choppy 58% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.58% | +0.77 | 31/10 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
76%
|
ranging_calm 60% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.71 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466329
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.661 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 35b -1.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.13 | 90% | ↑ +0.23 | value | -2.63 | — | #220886 | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
|
|
4h
#472342
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.657 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 9b 1.8ATR | — | — | 1.41 | 87% | ↔ -0.08 | above_value | +3.69 | — | #223436 | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.69 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:15
|
|
1h
anchor #472340
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.387 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
choppy 58% | late 10b 4.4ATR | — | — | 3.98 | 92% | ↑ +0.91 | above_value | +3.69 | — | #223436 | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.58% | +0.77 |
31/10 11:00
upd 31/10 12:15
|
|
15m
#472424
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.733 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
76%
|
ranging_calm 60% | late 12b 4.0ATR | — | — | 6.18 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | above_value | +3.69 | — | #223436 | 0.53 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.71 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 12:20
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 5.682×ATR | p84 | -1.373×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.683×ATR | p81 | +1.806×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.724×ATR | p98 | +4.392×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 7.508×ATR | p92 | +3.981×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout
- stop_price: 2.14802222
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0725
- obi_top10 : -0.0165
- micro_price : 2.34333824
- spread_pct : 0.055477
- mid_price : 2.34395
- bid_wall_price : 2.28
- bid_wall_size : 10365
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.35
- ask_wall_size : 11350.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.064
- obi_top5_std : 0.0099
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6963
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 2.3174
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-31T12:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 2.14802222
- entry_price : 2.3444 ¸
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:29 | 2.34440000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:57 | 2.34440000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6963ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.073
avg 0.064
± 0.010
OBI Top 10
-0.017
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3440
Micro Price
2.3433
Spread
0.0555%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.2800
Size
10,365.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.3500
Size
11,350.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3444 | 2.2625 | 2.244 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3444
- Stop Loss: 2.2625
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2625 - 2.3444 = -0.0819
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3444 - = 2.3444
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3444 / -0.0819 = -28.6252
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5057 | 95.5057 | 40.7378 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0819
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0819 = -97.68
Taille de position USD = -97.68 x 2.3444 = -229
Donc, tu peux acheter -97.68 avec un stoploss a 2.2625
Avec un position size USD de -229$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -97.68 x -0.0819 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -97.68 x 2.3444 = -229
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -229$
Résumé
- Taille de position -97.68
- Taille de position USD -229
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -229
- Risk-Reward Ratio -28.6252
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 95.51 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.49 % | 3.34 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.79 $ | -2.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4167 % | 97.8 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3444 | 2.2625 | 2.244 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3444
- Stop Loss: 2.2625
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2625 - 2.3444 = -0.0819
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3444 - = 2.3444
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3444 / -0.0819 = -28.6252
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.3444
[stop_loss] => 2.25431
[rr_ratio] => 26.02
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 16:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.3444
[stop_loss] => 2.24612
[rr_ratio] => 23.85
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 16:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.3444
[stop_loss] => 2.23793
[rr_ratio] => 22.02
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 16:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 2.3444
[stop_loss] => 2.22155
[rr_ratio] => 19.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 16:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.493%
(0.0819)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.884% | 0.8R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -0.422% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -1.907% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -3.417% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -6.825% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.545% | 1.0R | -11.402% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 80 min
MAE in 1320 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.