Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.77 AAVE at 135.52$ per unit. Take profit: 138.908 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 131.0088 (3.33 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 13:15:07
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 13:15
→ 19:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 135.52$
Qty 1.7734 AAVE
Size 240.3244$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 138.908 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.01$
SL 131.0088 (-3.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.75
Status
loss
PnL
-1.07%
/ -2.57$
MAE -1.79%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
31 Oct 19:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238022)
#11 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
score du 31/10/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9248
Quality Score
0.620
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
contracting
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.44
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 13:00
31/10 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7452
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
71.1%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.184
Δ 4h
→+0.021
Δ 12h
▲+0.518
Δ 24h
▲+0.148
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 55.3% |
| 1h | 47.4% |
| 4h | 68.4% |
| 24h | 76.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.5% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 65.8% | +0.44% |
| 24h | 68.4% | +1.25% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
7.9%
Down ≥1σ
5.3%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.52
Dispersion :
0.128
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 13:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4251
Score SMA
0.3191
Rank
#30
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6705
Rank Norm SMA
0.4046
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2953 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.20% · r3d: -3.60% · ema21_slope: -0.8948% · dist_ema21: -10.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5334 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.98% · rs_3d: 0.79% · beta_24h: 1.934 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5095 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.187 · trend: 22.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6749 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.945% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.6204
Score SMA
0.5158
Rank
#11
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9248
Rank Norm SMA
0.4760
Calculé le
31/10/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6617 | r1h: 0.037% · r4h: 0.917% · r1d: 7.94% · r3d: 2.63% · ema21_slope: 0.2490% · dist_ema21: 2.682% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6660 | rs_1h: 0.011% · rs_4h: 0.835% · rs_1d: 7.59% · rs_3d: 6.39% · beta_24h: 1.233 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2712 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.327 · trend: -23.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6740 | ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.380% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5716
Score SMA
0.4517
Rank
#11
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8903
Rank Norm SMA
0.3545
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4649 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.317% · r1d: 7.84% · r3d: 2.02% · ema21_slope: -0.2295% · dist_ema21: 3.390% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6929 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.353% · rs_1d: 7.87% · rs_3d: 5.71% · beta_24h: 2.444 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3284 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: 0.191 · trend: 2.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6461 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9633 | ATR%: 3.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.329%
(4.5112)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.731% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.893% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -4.605% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -8.641% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 704 min
MAE in 224 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.96 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.41 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.75 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.51 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.76 | range_low | +0.08% | +0.13 | 31/10 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466160
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.641 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 28b -1.6ATR | — | — | 1.75 | 84% | ↔ -0.03 | value | -3.02 | — | #220845 | 0.69 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.96 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#472287
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.783 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 9b 0.9ATR | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.79 | 75% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | +1.75 | — | #223410 | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.41 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:13
|
|
1h
anchor #472664
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.506 | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 12b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.86 | 74% | ↑ +0.45 | above_value | +1.81 | — | #223602 | 0.75 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.51 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 13:09
|
|
15m
#472599
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.595 | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 7b 0.7ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.36 | 38% | ↓ -0.45 | above_value | +1.75 | — | #223410 | 0.76 | range_low | +0.08% | +0.13 |
31/10 12:45
upd 31/10 13:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 5.737×ATR | p70 | -1.57×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 4.814×ATR | p73 | +0.87×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.516×ATR | p65 | +2.039×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.664×ATR | p4 | +0.729×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 131.00876439
- tp_price: 138.908
- atr: 1.80449424
- expires_at: 2026-10-31T23:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 66
- score: 0.6617
- delta_2h: 0.0191
- extension_atr: 1.74
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9288
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135.52 | 131.0088 | 138.908 | 0.75 | 131.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 135.52
- Stop Loss: 131.0088
- Take Profit: 138.908
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 131.0088 - 135.52 = -4.5112
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 135.52 - 138.908 = -3.388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.388 / -4.5112 = 0.751
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240.3244 | 100 | 1.7734 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.5112
Taille de position = 8 / -4.5112 = -1.77
Taille de position USD = -1.77 x 135.52 = -239.87
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.77 avec un stoploss a 131.0088
Avec un position size USD de -239.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.77 x -4.5112 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.77 x -3.388 = 6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.77
- Taille de position USD -239.87
- Perte potentielle 7.98
- Gain potentiel 6
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.751
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.57 $ | -1.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7931 % | 53.87 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135.52 | 131.0088 | 138.908 | 0.75 | 131.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 135.52
- Stop Loss: 131.0088
- Take Profit: 138.908
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 131.0088 - 135.52 = -4.5112
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 135.52 - 138.908 = -3.388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.388 / -4.5112 = 0.751
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.329%
(4.5112)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.731% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.893% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -1.793% | 0.5R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -4.605% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.911% | 1.2R | -8.641% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 704 min
MAE in 224 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.