31 Oct 2026 at 14:15:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 444.34 STX at 0.327$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3356 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3094 (5.5 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 14:15 → 14:25 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3274$

Qty 444.3413 STX

Size 145.4818$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3356 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.64$

SL 0.3094 (-5.5%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.64$ MAE -2.30% MFE +3.72% 0.7R expires 31 Oct 20:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238082)
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7971

Quality Score
0.783
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.22×ATR
4h near -0.85×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.62
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 14:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 13:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7456
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 76.3%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.053
Δ 4h
▲+0.058
Δ 12h
▲+0.652
Δ 24h
▲+0.329

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 57.9%
1h 26.3%
4h 81.6%
24h 81.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.5% +0.01%
4h 76.3% +0.62%
24h 71.1% +1.48%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
10.5%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
13.2%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 14:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7829
Score SMA
0.5365
Rank
#2 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7971
Rank Norm SMA
0.5213
Calculé le
31/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8545 r1h: 0.546% · r4h: 3.367% · r1d: 15.59% · r3d: 9.54% · ema21_slope: 0.5207% · dist_ema21: 5.714%
Force Relative 25% 0.8201 rs_1h: 0.429% · rs_4h: 3.126% · rs_1d: 14.91% · rs_3d: 13.45% · beta_24h: 0.741
Volume 20% 0.4178 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: 102.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9195 ADX: 50.3 (trend) · Chop: 27.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.274% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7428
Score SMA
0.5180
Rank
#2 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5948
Rank Norm SMA
0.5093
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5593 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.730% · r1d: 11.99% · r3d: 5.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0826% · dist_ema21: 7.292%
Force Relative 25% 0.8022 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.766% · rs_1d: 12.02% · rs_3d: 9.59% · beta_24h: 1.991
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 8.65× · zscore_50: 6.355 · trend: 283.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6593 ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 29.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7554 ATR%: 3.734% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.498% (0.0180)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.723% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.723% 0.7R -0.968% 0.2R 3.9× 24
4h +3.723% 0.7R -1.995% 0.4R 1.9× 48
6h ★ +3.723% 0.7R -2.300% 0.4R 1.6× 72
8h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 144
24h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 288
48h +3.723% 0.7R -3.876% 0.7R 1.0× 576
72h +3.723% 0.7R -3.876% 0.7R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 459 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 13 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.82
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.9ATR 0.45 bear_high -3.92% +0.76 31/10 08:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 50% late — near -0.2ATR 0.56 bear_medium -1.38% +0.86 31/10 13:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.60 range_low +0.19% -0.13 31/10 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#472281
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.759 expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 38% mid 9b 1.7ATR — near -0.9ATR 8.65 97% ↑ +0.65 value +1.96 — #223407 0.45 bear_high -3.92% +0.76
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:13
1h anchor
#472985
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.698 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
71%
noisy_chop 50% late 3b 2.1ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.58 90% ↑ +0.95 value +2.96 — #223725 0.56 bear_medium -1.38% +0.86
31/10 13:00
upd 31/10 14:10
15m
#472922
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.358 compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid 15b 1.5ATR — — 0.20 78% ↓ -0.81 value +2.67 — #223599 0.60 range_low +0.19% -0.13
31/10 13:45
upd 31/10 14:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up mid 9b — 4.248×ATR p73 +1.717×ATR p78
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.189×ATR p32 +2.103×ATR p83
15m ↑ up mid 15b — 3.459×ATR p54 +1.481×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.30940582
  2. tp_price: 0.33559525
  3. atr: 0.00720167
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T00:15:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.8545
  4. delta_2h: 0.0579
  5. extension_atr: 2.35
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7971
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3274 0.3094 0.3356 0.46 0.3392
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3274
  • Stop Loss: 0.3094
  • Take Profit: 0.3356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3094 - 0.3274 = -0.018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3274 - 0.3356 = -0.0082

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0082 / -0.018 = 0.4556

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
145.4818 100 444.3413 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.018

Taille de position = 8 / -0.018 = -444.44

Taille de position USD = -444.44 x 0.3274 = -145.51

Donc, tu peux acheter -444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.3094

Avec un position size USD de -145.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -444.44 x -0.018 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -444.44 x -0.0082 = 3.64

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.64$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -444.44
  • Taille de position USD -145.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.64
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4556

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.5 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.64 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3274 0.3094 0.3356 0.46 0.3392
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3274
  • Stop Loss: 0.3094
  • Take Profit: 0.3356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3094 - 0.3274 = -0.018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3274 - 0.3356 = -0.0082

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0082 / -0.018 = 0.4556

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.498% (0.0180)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.723% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.723% 0.7R -0.968% 0.2R 3.9× 24
4h +3.723% 0.7R -1.995% 0.4R 1.9× 48
6h ★ +3.723% 0.7R -2.300% 0.4R 1.6× 72
8h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 144
24h +3.723% 0.7R -3.222% 0.6R 1.2× 288
48h +3.723% 0.7R -3.876% 0.7R 1.0× 576
72h +3.723% 0.7R -3.876% 0.7R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 459 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 13 hours ago

Commentaires

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