Long Trade on STX

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31 Oct 2026 at 15:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 414.58 STX at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3441 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3164 (5.75 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3357$

Qty 414.5778 STX

Size 139.1613$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3441 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.48$

SL 0.3164 (-5.75%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.44

Status loss PnL -3.96% / -5.52$ MAE -4.72% MFE +0.85% 0.2R expires 31 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238142)

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8561

Quality Score

0.859

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-1

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.75 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 60

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.75 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.24×ATR
4h	near	-0.85×ATR
1d	clear	4.87×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts_leading

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

stable

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

WOULD SKIP

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

bullish

attendu : bullish

Median return 4h

0.51

attendu : > 1.5

Décision V6

WOULD SKIP

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 15:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 14:00 Score : -1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 14:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7460

Voir snapshot →

range ranging range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range 0.25	range 0
Operational	bear 0.55	transition -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.67

Transition risk : 0.33

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 74.6%

Macro alt_rotation

Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state stable

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

→-0.018

Δ 4h

▲+0.096

Δ 12h

▲+0.472

Δ 24h

▲+0.553

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.0%
1h	71.1%
4h	79.0%
24h	81.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	29.0%	-0.02%
4h	63.2%	+0.51%
24h	57.9%	+2.25%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

21.1%

Down ≥1σ

2.6%

Expansion

23.7%

Tail ↑

+0.82

Tail ↓

+0.50

Dispersion : 0.139

Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.55

Snapshot évalué : 31/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/10/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.8593

Score SMA

0.5391

Rank

#1 / 60

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8561

Rank Norm SMA

0.5270

Calculé le

31/10/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9109	r1h: 1.876% · r4h: 4.636% · r1d: 18.51% · r3d: 9.09% · ema21_slope: 0.5479% · dist_ema21: 6.949%
Force Relative	25%	0.9092	rs_1h: 1.975% · rs_4h: 4.370% · rs_1d: 17.24% · rs_3d: 13.30% · beta_24h: 0.047
Volume	20%	0.5915	rvol_20: 1.36× · zscore_50: 0.931 · trend: 93.86%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9364	ADX: 52.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.400% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7428

Score SMA

0.5180

Rank

#2 / 64

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5948

Rank Norm SMA

0.5093

Calculé le

31/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5593	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.730% · r1d: 11.99% · r3d: 5.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0826% · dist_ema21: 7.292%
Force Relative	25%	0.8022	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.766% · rs_1d: 12.02% · rs_3d: 9.59% · beta_24h: 1.991
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 8.65× · zscore_50: 6.355 · trend: 283.05%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6593	ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 29.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.7554	ATR%: 3.734% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.749% (0.0193)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.855%	0.2R	-3.417%	0.6R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.418%	0.8R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.608%	0.8R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.716%	0.8R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	144
24h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	288
48h	+0.855%	0.2R	-6.253%	1.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.855%	0.2R	-6.253%	1.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.27

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.62	range_high	-0.57%	-0.99	29/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	near -0.9ATR	0.45	bear_high	-3.92%	+0.76	31/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	near -0.2ATR	0.56	bear_medium	-1.45%	+0.88	31/10 14:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 46%	mid	—	near -0.4ATR	0.59	range_low	+0.09%	+0.46	31/10 14:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #473049	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.643	compression	range_high	30%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 18b -1.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.38	72%	↓ -0.80	value	+2.96	—	#223725	0.62	range_high	-0.57%	-0.99	29/10 20:00 upd 31/10 14:17
4h #472281	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.759	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 9b 1.7ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	8.65	97%	↑ +0.65	value	+1.96	—	#223407	0.45	bear_high	-3.92%	+0.76	31/10 08:00 upd 31/10 12:13
1h anchor #473306	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.698	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 50%	late 4b 2.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	1.36	98%	↑ +0.93	above_value	+3.50	—	#223849	0.56	bear_medium	-1.45%	+0.88	31/10 14:00 upd 31/10 15:08
15m #473244	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.633	compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b 1.8ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.57	85%	↔ -0.11	value	+2.96	—	#223725	0.59	range_low	+0.09%	+0.46	31/10 14:45 upd 31/10 15:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	18b	—	5.764×ATR	p67	-1.607×ATR	p69
4h	↑ up	mid	9b	—	4.248×ATR	p73	+1.717×ATR	p78
1h	↑ up	late	4b	—	2.803×ATR	p48	+2.35×ATR	p87
15m	↓ down	mid	2b	—	1.513×ATR	p4	+1.803×ATR	p73

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.31637326
tp_price: 0.34406175
atr: 0.00771869
expires_at: 2026-11-01T01:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 1
total: 63
score: 0.9109
delta_2h: 0.1065
extension_atr: 2.9
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8561
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3357	0.3164	0.3441	0.44	0.3225

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3357
Stop Loss: 0.3164
Take Profit: 0.3441

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3164 - 0.3357 = -0.0193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3357 - 0.3441 = -0.0084
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0084 / -0.0193 = 0.4352

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
139.1613	100	414.5778	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0193

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0193 = -414.51

Taille de position USD = -414.51 x 0.3357 = -139.15

Donc, tu peux acheter -414.51 avec un stoploss a 0.3164

Avec un position size USD de -139.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -414.51 x -0.0193 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -414.51 x -0.0084 = 3.48

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.48$

Résumé

Taille de position -414.51
Taille de position USD -139.15
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.48
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4352

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.48 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.75 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.52 $	-3.96

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.7155 %	82.02 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3357	0.3164	0.3441	0.44	0.3225

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3357
Stop Loss: 0.3164
Take Profit: 0.3441

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3164 - 0.3357 = -0.0193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3357 - 0.3441 = -0.0084
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0084 / -0.0193 = 0.4352

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.749% (0.0193)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.855%	0.2R	-3.417%	0.6R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.418%	0.8R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.608%	0.8R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+0.855%	0.2R	-4.716%	0.8R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	144
24h	+0.855%	0.2R	-5.615%	1.0R	0.2×	288
48h	+0.855%	0.2R	-6.253%	1.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.855%	0.2R	-6.253%	1.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 hours ago

Commentaires

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