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Long Trade on LIT

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31 Oct 2026 at 15:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 49.91 LIT at 3.027$ per unit. Take profit: 3.103 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.867 (5.3 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 15:15 → 16:00 · 44 minutes

Position

Entry 3.0273$

Qty 49.9132 LIT

Size 151.1023$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.103 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.78$

SL 2.867 (-5.3%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.47

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.78$ MAE -1.55% MFE +5.32% 1.0R expires 31 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238180)
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6428

Quality Score
0.768
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.89×ATR
4h clear 1.65×ATR
1d clear 2.75×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.51
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
18.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

31/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

31/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7460
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

transition

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 74.6%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.018
Δ 4h
▲+0.096
Δ 12h
▲+0.472
Δ 24h
▲+0.553

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.0%
1h 71.1%
4h 79.0%
24h 81.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.0% -0.02%
4h 63.2% +0.51%
24h 57.9% +2.25%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
21.1%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
23.7%
Tail ↑
+0.82
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion : 0.139
Universe : 38 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 15:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3197
Score SMA
0.2587
Rank
#79 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1136
Rank Norm SMA
0.1720
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1814 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.64% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: -0.8249% · dist_ema21: -14.136%
Force Relative 25% 0.3647 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.42% · rs_3d: -4.78% · beta_24h: 2.490
Volume 20% 0.4637 rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.159 · trend: 11.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5423 ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 13.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7680
Score SMA
0.4831
Rank
#2 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6428
Rank Norm SMA
0.3197
Calculé le
31/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7499 r1h: 2.030% · r4h: 6.919% · r1d: 10.66% · r3d: 2.25% · ema21_slope: 0.1387% · dist_ema21: 6.984%
Force Relative 25% 0.8848 rs_1h: 2.129% · rs_4h: 6.653% · rs_1d: 9.39% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 1.946
Volume 20% 0.7610 rvol_20: 4.32× · zscore_50: 0.572 · trend: 42.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6948 ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 32.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.145% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4620
Score SMA
0.3936
Rank
#45 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1659
Rank Norm SMA
0.1738
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4598 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.876% · r1d: 3.32% · r3d: -0.82% · ema21_slope: -0.4265% · dist_ema21: 1.277%
Force Relative 25% 0.6776 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 6.912% · rs_1d: 3.35% · rs_3d: 2.87% · beta_24h: 3.659
Volume 20% 0.1999 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.155 · trend: -42.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6013 ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2448 ATR%: 5.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.295% (0.1603)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.136% 0.8R -1.549% 0.3R 2.7× 12
2h +4.136% 0.8R -1.549% 0.3R 2.7× 24
4h +4.562% 0.9R -1.549% 0.3R 2.9× 48
6h ★ +5.315% 1.0R -1.549% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +5.315% 1.0R -1.549% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +5.659% 1.1R -1.549% 0.3R 3.7× 144
24h +9.923% 1.9R -1.549% 0.3R 6.4× 288
48h +9.923% 1.9R -1.549% 0.3R 6.4× 576
72h +14.660% 2.8R -1.549% 0.3R 9.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1094 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.91
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.42 range_high -0.57% -0.97 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.51 bear_high -3.92% +0.10 31/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.45 bear_medium -1.45% +0.72 31/10 14:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late — near -3.5ATR 0.55 range_low +0.09% +0.77 31/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466426
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.501 normal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 41% mid 9b -1.3ATR — — 1.57 77% ↔ +0.15 below_value -3.61 — #220905 0.42 range_high -0.57% -0.97
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:35
4h
#472381
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.282 volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 37% early 8b 0.2ATR — — 0.49 53% ↓ -0.22 value -2.96 — #223449 0.51 bear_high -3.92% +0.10
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:17
1h anchor
#473347
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.299 normal bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 51% late 10b 3.6ATR — — 4.32 94% ↑ +0.68 value -0.99 — #223889 0.45 bear_medium -1.45% +0.72
31/10 14:00
upd 31/10 15:10
15m
#473283
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.335 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late 19b 2.6ATR — near -3.5ATR 0.55 52% ↑ +0.52 above_value -1.68 — #223765 0.55 range_low +0.09% +0.77
31/10 14:45
upd 31/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 9b — 3.359×ATR p40 -1.312×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 8b — 0.456×ATR p0 +0.183×ATR p8
1h ↑ up late 10b — 5.151×ATR p83 +3.552×ATR p99
15m ↑ up late 19b — 8.694×ATR p100 +2.56×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.8670218
  2. tp_price: 3.1029825
  3. atr: 0.06411128
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T01:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 63
  3. score: 0.7134
  4. delta_2h: 0.0513
  5. extension_atr: 2.83
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6449
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.0273 2.867 3.103 0.47 3.3737
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.0273
  • Stop Loss: 2.867
  • Take Profit: 3.103

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.867 - 3.0273 = -0.1603

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.0273 - 3.103 = -0.0757

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0757 / -0.1603 = 0.4722

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
151.1023 100 49.9132 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1603

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1603 = -49.91

Taille de position USD = -49.91 x 3.0273 = -151.09

Donc, tu peux acheter -49.91 avec un stoploss a 2.867

Avec un position size USD de -151.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -49.91 x -0.1603 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -49.91 x -0.0757 = 3.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.78$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -49.91
  • Taille de position USD -151.09
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.78
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4722

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.78 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.78 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5492 % 29.26 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.0273 2.867 3.103 0.47 3.3737
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.0273
  • Stop Loss: 2.867
  • Take Profit: 3.103

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.867 - 3.0273 = -0.1603

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.0273 - 3.103 = -0.0757

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0757 / -0.1603 = 0.4722

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.295% (0.1603)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.136% 0.8R -1.549% 0.3R 2.7× 12
2h +4.136% 0.8R -1.549% 0.3R 2.7× 24
4h +4.562% 0.9R -1.549% 0.3R 2.9× 48
6h ★ +5.315% 1.0R -1.549% 0.3R 3.4× 72
8h +5.315% 1.0R -1.549% 0.3R 3.4× 96
12h +5.659% 1.1R -1.549% 0.3R 3.7× 144
24h +9.923% 1.9R -1.549% 0.3R 6.4× 288
48h +9.923% 1.9R -1.549% 0.3R 6.4× 576
72h +14.660% 2.8R -1.549% 0.3R 9.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1094 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 hours ago

Commentaires

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