Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 203.06 RUNE at 0.685$ per unit. Take profit: 0.702 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6455 (5.75 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 15:15:08
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 15:15
→ 17:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.6849$
Qty 203.0634 RUNE
Size 139.072$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.702 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.47$
SL 0.6455 (-5.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.43
Status
loss
PnL
-5.75%
/ -8$
MAE -12.47%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
31 Oct 21:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238149)
#5 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 15:00
score du 31/10/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9603
Quality Score
0.650
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.51
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 15:00
31/10 15:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 31/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7460
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
transition
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
74.6%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.018
Δ 4h
▲+0.096
Δ 12h
▲+0.472
Δ 24h
▲+0.553
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.0% |
| 1h | 71.1% |
| 4h | 79.0% |
| 24h | 81.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 63.2% | +0.51% |
| 24h | 57.9% | +2.25% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
21.1%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
23.7%
Tail ↑
+0.82
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion :
0.139
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 15:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5686
Score SMA
0.5945
Rank
#10
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8977
Rank Norm SMA
0.8491
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4754 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.82% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3272% · dist_ema21: 0.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6340 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.60% · rs_3d: 7.63% · beta_24h: 1.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9487 | rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 2.231 · trend: 115.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5184 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6504
Score SMA
0.5449
Rank
#5
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9603
Rank Norm SMA
0.6123
Calculé le
31/10/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6864 | r1h: -0.815% · r4h: -3.060% · r1d: 7.05% · r3d: 9.78% · ema21_slope: 0.2984% · dist_ema21: 0.935% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5897 | rs_1h: -0.716% · rs_4h: -3.326% · rs_1d: 5.78% · rs_3d: 13.99% · beta_24h: 0.806 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4154 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: -0.249 · trend: 43.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7600 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.378% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8202
Score SMA
0.5947
Rank
#1
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9559
Rank Norm SMA
0.7985
Calculé le
31/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8722 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.801% · r1d: 13.58% · r3d: 15.97% · ema21_slope: 0.3837% · dist_ema21: 11.035% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9957 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.838% · rs_1d: 13.61% · rs_3d: 19.66% · beta_24h: 0.705 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6365 | rvol_20: 1.92× · zscore_50: 1.277 · trend: 43.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6515 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 23.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8462 | ATR%: 3.462% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.753%
(0.0394)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.548% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.548% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.474% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -16.154% | 2.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -27.823% | 4.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -27.823% | 4.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.95 | 31/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.45% | +0.50 | 31/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.41 | range_low | +0.09% | -0.29 | 31/10 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466185
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.690 | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 1b 0.0ATR | — | — | 4.69 | 99% | ↑ +0.51 | value | +1.40 | — | #220851 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.13 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#472295
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.814 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 6b 2.1ATR | — | — | 1.92 | 96% | ↑ +0.93 | above_value | +6.51 | — | #223414 | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.95 |
31/10 08:00
upd 31/10 12:13
|
|
1h
anchor #473313
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.731 | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early 2b 0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 1.17 | 88% | ↑ +0.77 | above_value | +3.39 | — | #223856 | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.45% | +0.50 |
31/10 14:00
upd 31/10 15:09
|
|
15m
#473251
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.656 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 11b -0.8ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.29 | 54% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | +3.61 | — | #223732 | 0.41 | range_low | +0.09% | -0.29 |
31/10 14:45
upd 31/10 15:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.534×ATR | p0 | +0.04×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.886×ATR | p46 | +2.136×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.937×ATR | p42 | +0.389×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 5.536×ATR | p76 | -0.761×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.64547343
- tp_price: 0.70199175
- atr: 0.01575863
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T01:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 63
- score: 0.6864
- delta_2h: 0.009
- extension_atr: 0.32
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9622
- confidence: 0.919
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6849 | 0.6455 | 0.702 | 0.43 | 0.632 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6849
- Stop Loss: 0.6455
- Take Profit: 0.702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6455 - 0.6849 = -0.0394
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6849 - 0.702 = -0.0171
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0171 / -0.0394 = 0.434
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139.072 | 100 | 203.0634 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0394
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0394 = -203.05
Taille de position USD = -203.05 x 0.6849 = -139.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -203.05 avec un stoploss a 0.6455
Avec un position size USD de -139.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -203.05 x -0.0394 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -203.05 x -0.0171 = 3.47
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.47$
Résumé
- Taille de position -203.05
- Taille de position USD -139.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.47
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.434
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.47 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -5.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -9.4744 % | 164.69 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6849 | 0.6455 | 0.702 | 0.43 | 0.632 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6849
- Stop Loss: 0.6455
- Take Profit: 0.702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6455 - 0.6849 = -0.0394
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6849 - 0.702 = -0.0171
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0171 / -0.0394 = 0.434
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.702
[entry_price] => 0.6849
[stop_loss] => 0.64156
[rr_ratio] => 0.39
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.702
[entry_price] => 0.6849
[stop_loss] => 0.63762
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.702
[entry_price] => 0.6849
[stop_loss] => 0.63368
[rr_ratio] => 0.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.702
[entry_price] => 0.6849
[stop_loss] => 0.6258
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.753%
(0.0394)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.548% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.548% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -9.474% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.475% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -16.154% | 2.8R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -27.823% | 4.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -27.823% | 4.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 2 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.