31 Oct 2026 at 17:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TRX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 813.12 TRX at 0.303$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3132 (3.23 %)

TRX SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 17:15 → 20:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3034$

Qty 813.1197 TRX

Size 246.7005$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 246.7$

SL 0.3132 (-3.23%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.24% / -0.6$ MAE -0.65% MFE +0.92% 0.3R expires 31 Oct 20:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238326)
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1834

Quality Score
0.393
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near 0.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.41
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
14.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 17:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7468
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.102
Δ 4h
▼-0.251
Δ 12h
▲+0.166
Δ 24h
→+0.020

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 70.3%
1h 18.9%
4h 37.8%
24h 78.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.3% +0.02%
4h 43.2% -0.41%
24h 56.8% +0.92%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.4%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.46
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 37 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 17:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6534
Score SMA
0.5643
Rank
#4 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.9115
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4405 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.72% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0049% · dist_ema21: -1.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.5059 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: -0.454
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.71× · zscore_50: 4.604 · trend: 346.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6318 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 17.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.365% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3932
Score SMA
0.5069
Rank
#50 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1834
Rank Norm SMA
0.4189
Calculé le
31/10/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2158 r1h: -0.930% · r4h: -2.449% · r1d: -8.24% · r3d: -7.86% · ema21_slope: -0.2955% · dist_ema21: -4.245%
Force Relative 25% 0.2738 rs_1h: -0.901% · rs_4h: -2.363% · rs_1d: -9.04% · rs_3d: -3.18% · beta_24h: -0.603
Volume 20% 0.2098 rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.485 · trend: -29.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7870 ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 33.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4462
Score SMA
0.5530
Rank
#37 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3325
Rank Norm SMA
0.7253
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3127 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.052% · r1d: -7.95% · r3d: -7.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0712% · dist_ema21: -6.519%
Force Relative 25% 0.3110 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.021% · rs_1d: -8.74% · rs_3d: -2.07% · beta_24h: -0.971
Volume 20% 0.3529 rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 18.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6938 ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 6.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.123% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.230% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.732% 0.2R -0.653% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +0.916% 0.3R -0.653% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +0.916% 0.3R -0.653% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +0.916% 0.3R -1.688% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +0.916% 0.3R -2.462% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +0.916% 0.3R -4.005% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +0.916% 0.3R -4.005% 1.2R 0.2× 288
48h +0.916% 0.3R -5.386% 1.7R 0.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 119 min MAE in 499 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 57 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.38
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.1ATR — 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57 29/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 51% late — — -0.05 bear_high -3.88% -0.32 31/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
58%
choppy 55% late — — 0.01 bear_medium -1.49% -0.56 31/10 16:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind expansion_after_compression bear_medium
63%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.14 range_low -0.02% -0.29 31/10 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466168
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.673 volatile_reversal bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 34% early 1b -0.5ATR near 0.1ATR — 6.71 100% ↑ +0.70 value -0.53 — #220847 0.34 range_high -0.57% +0.57
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:22
4h
#473646
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.670 volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 51% late 11b -2.2ATR — — 0.77 98% ↑ +0.93 below_value -6.79 inside #223976 -0.05 bear_high -3.88% -0.32
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:13
1h anchor
#473988
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.729 normal bear_high
58%
choppy 55% late 8b -3.8ATR — — 0.59 78% ↑ +0.35 below_value -7.29 inside #224152 0.01 bear_medium -1.49% -0.56
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 17:09
15m
#473931
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind 0.618 expansion_after_compression bear_medium
63%
noisy_chop 46% late 8b -2.4ATR — — 0.56 34% ↓ -0.30 below_value -6.79 — #223976 0.14 range_low -0.02% -0.29
31/10 16:45
upd 31/10 17:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 4.593×ATR p44 -0.507×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 11b — 8.995×ATR p97 -2.15×ATR p92
1h ↓ down late 8b — 5.022×ATR p83 -3.833×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 8b — 3.481×ATR p74 -2.421×ATR p84

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.31323865
  2. atr: 0.00327955
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T00:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 59
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.2158
  4. confidence: 0.967

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3034 0.3132 0.3205
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3034
  • Stop Loss: 0.3132
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3132 - 0.3034 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3034 - = 0.3034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3034 / 0.0098 = 30.9592

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
246.7005 100 813.1197 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0098

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33

Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.3034 = 247.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.3132

Avec un position size USD de 247.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 816.33 x 0.3034 = 247.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 247.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 816.33
  • Taille de position USD 247.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 247.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 30.9592

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 246.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.23 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-0.6 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6526 % 20.2 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3034 0.3132 0.3205
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3034
  • Stop Loss: 0.3132
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3132 - 0.3034 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3034 - = 0.3034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3034 / 0.0098 = 30.9592

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.230% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.732% 0.2R -0.653% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +0.916% 0.3R -0.653% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +0.916% 0.3R -0.653% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +0.916% 0.3R -1.688% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +0.916% 0.3R -2.462% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +0.916% 0.3R -4.005% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +0.916% 0.3R -4.005% 1.2R 0.2× 288
48h +0.916% 0.3R -5.386% 1.7R 0.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 119 min MAE in 499 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 57 minutes ago

Commentaires

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