Long Trade on XPL (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 5076.14 XPL at 0.0828$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08167 (1.33 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 17:27:39
hyperliquid
XPL
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 17:27
→ 18:10
· 42 minutes
Position
Entry 0.08277$
Qty 5076.1421 XPL
Size 420.1574$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 420.15$
SL 0.08167 (-1.33%)
SL $ 5.58$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-1.33%
/ -5.58$
MAE -1.90%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238353)
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 17:00
score du 31/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7532
Quality Score
0.711
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
17.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 17:17
31/10 17:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7469
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.049
Δ 4h
▼-0.321
Δ 12h
→-0.030
Δ 24h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.1% |
| 1h | 40.5% |
| 4h | 32.4% |
| 24h | 70.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.1% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 48.7% | -0.29% |
| 24h | 48.7% | +0.99% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.7%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.7%
Tail ↑
+0.64
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion :
0.099
Universe :
37
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 17:16
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5167
Score SMA
0.3005
Rank
#17
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8182
Rank Norm SMA
0.2964
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4608 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 12.12% · r3d: 10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.6515% · dist_ema21: 2.658% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7962 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.90% · rs_3d: 14.94% · beta_24h: 1.918 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5757 | rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 0.277 · trend: 12.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4283 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.7113
Score SMA
0.5616
Rank
#2
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7532
Rank Norm SMA
0.6488
Calculé le
31/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6027 | r1h: -0.445% · r4h: 1.089% · r1d: 1.57% · r3d: 5.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0757% · dist_ema21: 1.449% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5992 | rs_1h: -0.416% · rs_4h: 1.175% · rs_1d: 0.77% · rs_3d: 9.89% · beta_24h: 0.466 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9733 | rvol_20: 7.72× · zscore_50: 2.599 · trend: 171.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5173 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.665% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6053
Score SMA
0.5280
Rank
#5
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9100
Rank Norm SMA
0.6139
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6450 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.859% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 5.02% · ema21_slope: 0.3193% · dist_ema21: 4.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6962 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.890% · rs_1d: -0.16% · rs_3d: 9.98% · beta_24h: 1.396 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2984 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.152 · trend: -6.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6173 | ADX: 14.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8550 | ATR%: 3.435% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.329%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.455% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.799% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.904% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -20.181% | 15.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 417 min
MAE in 427 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 23 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.11
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.83 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.49% | -0.01 | 31/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.17 | 31/10 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466375
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.629 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 35b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.21 | 88% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +4.51 | — | #220895 | 0.54 | range_high | -0.57% | +0.01 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:33
|
|
4h
#473709
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.781 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 11b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 70% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +3.34 | — | #224005 | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.83 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:16
|
|
1h
anchor #474015
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.531 | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 8b 0.9ATR | — | — | 7.72 | 99% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | +3.92 | — | #224179 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.49% | -0.01 |
31/10 16:00
upd 31/10 17:10
|
|
15m
#474072
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.676 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 3b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.36 | 61% | ↑ +0.96 | above_value | +3.92 | — | #224179 | 0.62 | range_low | -0.14% | +0.17 |
31/10 17:00
upd 31/10 17:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 6.114×ATR | p88 | +0.332×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 5.197×ATR | p74 | +1.054×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 0.007×ATR | p0 | +0.915×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.61×ATR | p0 | +1.174×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6408
- reason: breakout|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.081195
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 0.57084120445051
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.57084120445051
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2251
- obi_top10 : 0.1921
- micro_price : 0.08192143
- spread_pct : 0.024417
- mid_price : 0.08192
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0829
- ask_wall_size : 1191648
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2253
- obi_top5_std : 0.0033
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7035
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 0.082678
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-31T16:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 0.081195
- entry_price : 0.082771 ¸
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7035ms
Confidence avant OB :
57%
→
64%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.225
avg 0.225
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.192
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0819
Micro Price
0.0819
Spread
0.0244%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0829
Size
1,191,648.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08277 | 0.08167 | 0.06373 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08277
- Stop Loss: 0.08167
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08167 - 0.08277 = -0.0011
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08277 - = 0.08277
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08277 / -0.0011 = -75.2455
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 420.1574 | 100 | 5076.1421 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0011
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0011 = -7272.73
Taille de position USD = -7272.73 x 0.08277 = -601.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.08167
Avec un position size USD de -601.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7272.73 x 0.08277 = -601.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -601.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -7272.73
- Taille de position USD -601.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -601.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio -75.2455
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 420.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 5.58 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.58 $ | -1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3556 % | 102 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08277 | 0.08167 | 0.06373 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08277
- Stop Loss: 0.08167
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08167 - 0.08277 = -0.0011
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08277 - = 0.08277
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08277 / -0.0011 = -75.2455
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08277
[stop_loss] => 0.08156
[rr_ratio] => 68.4
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08277
[stop_loss] => 0.08145
[rr_ratio] => 62.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08277
[stop_loss] => 0.08134
[rr_ratio] => 57.88
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 0.08277
[stop_loss] => 0.08112
[rr_ratio] => 50.16
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-31 21:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.329%
(0.0011)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.455% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.799% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.904% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -16.118% | 12.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.423% | 3.3R | -20.181% | 15.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 417 min
MAE in 427 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 23 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.