Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 78.13 MORPHO at 2.376$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4353 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2735 (4.31 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 18:15:06
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 00:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.3759$
Qty 78.1284 MORPHO
Size 185.6252$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4353 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.64$
SL 2.2735 (-4.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Status
loss
PnL
-2.62%
/ -4.86$
MAE -3.21%
MFE +1.44%
0.3R
expires
01 Nov 00:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238405)
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 18:00
score du 31/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9745
Quality Score
0.734
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.12
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 18:02
31/10 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 31/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/10 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7472
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.090
Δ 4h
▼-0.214
Δ 12h
▲+0.064
Δ 24h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.2% |
| 1h | 70.3% |
| 4h | 40.5% |
| 24h | 73.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.2% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 56.8% | -0.12% |
| 24h | 51.4% | +1.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.4%
Tail ↑
+0.57
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.078
Universe :
37
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3582
Score SMA
0.2955
Rank
#61
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3182
Rank Norm SMA
0.3200
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.7084% · dist_ema21: -8.712% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4171 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.93% · rs_3d: -0.52% · beta_24h: 1.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6152 | rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.938 · trend: 19.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5383 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.7341
Score SMA
0.5423
Rank
#3
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9745
Rank Norm SMA
0.5730
Calculé le
31/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7837 | r1h: -0.430% · r4h: 0.130% · r1d: 15.07% · r3d: 6.12% · ema21_slope: 0.6024% · dist_ema21: 5.820% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6934 | rs_1h: -0.584% · rs_4h: 0.180% · rs_1d: 13.83% · rs_3d: 10.67% · beta_24h: 0.252 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4667 | rvol_20: 1.33× · zscore_50: 0.019 · trend: 48.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8789 | ADX: 45.5 (trend) · Chop: 17.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7799
Score SMA
0.5027
Rank
#1
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9841
Rank Norm SMA
0.5650
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6399 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.836% · r1d: 14.90% · r3d: 5.97% · ema21_slope: -0.0855% · dist_ema21: 9.342% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8685 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.867% · rs_1d: 14.11% · rs_3d: 10.93% · beta_24h: 1.335 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8719 | rvol_20: 2.65× · zscore_50: 2.520 · trend: 70.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6967 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 27.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9194 | ATR%: 3.242% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.310%
(0.1024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -0.863% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -0.863% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -1.296% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.207% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.207% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.413% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -6.343% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -9.672% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 1254 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.64
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.83 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.31% | +0.83 | 31/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.49 | range_low | +0.15% | +0.10 | 31/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466329
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.661 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 35b -1.4ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.13 | 90% | ↑ +0.23 | value | -2.63 | — | #220886 | 0.50 | range_high | -0.57% | -0.71 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:30
|
|
4h
#473692
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.655 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 10b 2.2ATR | — | — | 2.65 | 98% | ↔ +0.12 | above_value | +4.73 | — | #223999 | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.83 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #474303
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.713 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
choppy 52% | late 4b 2.7ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 1.33 | 88% | ↑ +0.89 | above_value | +5.18 | — | #224288 | 0.52 | bear_medium | -1.31% | +0.83 |
31/10 17:00
upd 31/10 18:11
|
|
15m
#474245
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.369 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 5b 1.2ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.10 | 25% | ↓ -0.58 | above_value | +5.05 | — | #224174 | 0.49 | range_low | +0.15% | +0.10 |
31/10 17:45
upd 31/10 18:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 5.682×ATR | p84 | -1.373×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.317×ATR | p87 | +2.186×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.012×ATR | p2 | +2.706×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.273×ATR | p0 | +1.228×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.27350441
- tp_price: 2.4352975
- atr: 0.04095823
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T04:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 60
- score: 0.7986
- delta_2h: 0.0167
- extension_atr: 2.61
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9768
- confidence: 0.983
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3759 | 2.2735 | 2.4353 | 0.58 | 2.1243 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3759
- Stop Loss: 2.2735
- Take Profit: 2.4353
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2735 - 2.3759 = -0.1024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3759 - 2.4353 = -0.0594
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0594 / -0.1024 = 0.5801
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185.6252 | 100 | 78.1284 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1024
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1024 = -78.12
Taille de position USD = -78.12 x 2.3759 = -185.61
Donc, tu peux acheter -78.12 avec un stoploss a 2.2735
Avec un position size USD de -185.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -78.12 x -0.1024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -78.12 x -0.0594 = 4.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position -78.12
- Taille de position USD -185.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5801
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.64 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.86 $ | -2.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2072 % | 74.41 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3759 | 2.2735 | 2.4353 | 0.58 | 2.1243 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3759
- Stop Loss: 2.2735
- Take Profit: 2.4353
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2735 - 2.3759 = -0.1024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3759 - 2.4353 = -0.0594
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0594 / -0.1024 = 0.5801
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.310%
(0.1024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.122% | 0.0R | -0.863% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -0.863% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -1.296% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.207% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.207% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -3.413% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -6.343% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.435% | 0.3R | -9.672% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 114 min
MAE in 1254 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.