Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 40044.05 SOPH at 0.00144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001409 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001645 (13.84 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 18:15:08
hyperliquid
SOPH
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 20:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.001445$
Qty 40044.0485 SOPH
Size 57.8637$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.001409 (+2.49%)
TP $ 1.44$
SL 0.001645 (-13.84%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.18
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +1.44$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +5.54%
0.4R
expires
01 Nov 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238408)
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 18:00
score du 31/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0020
Quality Score
0.245
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 18:02
31/10 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7472
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.090
Δ 4h
▼-0.214
Δ 12h
▲+0.064
Δ 24h
▼-0.146
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.2% |
| 1h | 70.3% |
| 4h | 40.5% |
| 24h | 73.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.2% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 56.8% | -0.12% |
| 24h | 51.4% | +1.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
5.4%
Tail ↑
+0.57
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.078
Universe :
37
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.55
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 18:01
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6123
Score SMA
0.5189
Rank
#5
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9545
Rank Norm SMA
0.6599
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4286 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 53.87% · r3d: 46.88% · ema21_slope: -2.8488% · dist_ema21: 2.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7500 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 54.65% · rs_3d: 51.27% · beta_24h: -0.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9750 | rvol_20: 3.31× · zscore_50: 4.130 · trend: 81.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6750 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 15.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.2445
Score SMA
0.4293
Rank
#57
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0020
Rank Norm SMA
0.3342
Calculé le
31/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1205 | r1h: -3.483% · r4h: -4.125% · r1d: -32.63% · r3d: -3.35% · ema21_slope: -0.9672% · dist_ema21: -11.151% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1752 | rs_1h: -3.636% · rs_4h: -4.075% · rs_1d: -33.87% · rs_3d: 1.21% · beta_24h: 0.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1744 | rvol_20: 0.02× · zscore_50: -0.384 · trend: -93.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4530 | ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 74.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0837 | ATR%: 5.749% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3684
Score SMA
0.4645
Rank
#50
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1093
Rank Norm SMA
0.4252
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3942 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.116% · r1d: -30.93% · r3d: 0.20% · ema21_slope: 0.9305% · dist_ema21: -8.039% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4107 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.085% · rs_1d: -31.72% · rs_3d: 5.16% · beta_24h: 0.433 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2451 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.483 · trend: 7.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6565 | ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 14.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -13.841%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.007% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.561% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.322% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.536% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +6.159% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.367% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.505% | 0.5R | -7.474% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.505% | 0.5R | -22.699% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 824 min
MAE in 1189 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.50 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
ranging_calm 53% | late | — | — | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.31% | -1.00 | 31/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | +0.15% | -0.42 | 31/10 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466359
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.817 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 52b 0.2ATR | — | — | 3.31 | 99% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | +4.52 | — | #220892 | 0.36 | range_high | -0.57% | -1.00 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:32
|
|
4h
#473703
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.257 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.09 | 42% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +0.11 | — | #224003 | 0.16 | bear_high | -3.88% | +0.50 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #474306
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.745 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
ranging_calm 53% | late 10b -4.6ATR | — | — | 0.02 | 7% | ↓ -0.74 | above_value | +0.24 | — | #224291 | 0.16 | bear_medium | -1.31% | -1.00 |
31/10 17:00
upd 31/10 18:11
|
|
15m
#474248
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.724 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
choppy 51% | late 10b -5.8ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 35% | ↓ -0.32 | above_value | -0.21 | — | #224177 | 0.13 | range_low | +0.15% | -0.42 |
31/10 17:45
upd 31/10 18:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 52b | — | 33.648×ATR | p100 | +0.182×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 5.103×ATR | p79 | -0.526×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 2.752×ATR | p40 | -4.612×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.45×ATR | p68 | -5.847×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001445 | 0.001645 | 0.001409 | 0.18 | 0.001451 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.001445
- Stop Loss: 0.001645
- Take Profit: 0.001409
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001645 - 0.001445 = 0.0002
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001445 - 0.001409 = 3.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6E-5 / 0.0002 = 0.18
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57.8637 | 57.8637 | 40044.0485 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0002
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0002 = 40000
Taille de position USD = 40000 x 0.001445 = 57.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 40000 avec un stoploss a 0.001645
Avec un position size USD de 57.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 40000 x 0.0002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 40000 x 3.6E-5 = 1.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position 40000
- Taille de position USD 57.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.18
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 1.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.84 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.44 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.001445 | 0.001645 | 0.001409 | 0.18 | 0.001451 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.001445
- Stop Loss: 0.001645
- Take Profit: 0.001409
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.001645 - 0.001445 = 0.0002
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.001445 - 0.001409 = 3.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6E-5 / 0.0002 = 0.18
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -13.841%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.007% | 0.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.561% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.322% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.536% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +6.159% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.367% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.505% | 0.5R | -7.474% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.505% | 0.5R | -22.699% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 824 min
MAE in 1189 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 16 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.