31 Oct 2026 at 19:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SOPH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 39169.6 SOPH at 0.00142$ per unit. Take profit: 0.001385 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001625 (14.36 %)

SOPH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Oct 2026 19:15 → 22:20 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.001421$

Qty 39169.6044 SOPH

Size 55.66$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.001385 (+2.53%)

TP $ 1.41$

SL 0.001625 (-14.36%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.18

Status win PnL +2.53% / +1.41$ MAE -0.91% MFE +4.15% 0.3R expires 01 Nov 01:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 238465)
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.224
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
14.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
14.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.35×ATR
4h clear 0.53×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

29/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/10 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7476
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

0.25

range

0

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 47.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.077
Δ 4h
▼-0.273
Δ 12h
▲+0.177
Δ 24h
▼-0.312

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.8%
1h 41.7%
4h 38.9%
24h 66.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 30.6% -0.03%
4h 36.1% -0.12%
24h 44.4% +0.45%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.8%
Down ≥1σ
2.8%
Expansion
5.6%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.119
Universe : 36 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.55
Snapshot évalué : 31/10 19:01 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6123
Score SMA
0.5189
Rank
#5 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9545
Rank Norm SMA
0.6599
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4286 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 53.87% · r3d: 46.88% · ema21_slope: -2.8488% · dist_ema21: 2.726%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 54.65% · rs_3d: 51.27% · beta_24h: -0.428
Volume 20% 0.9750 rvol_20: 3.31× · zscore_50: 4.130 · trend: 81.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6750 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 15.722% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2236
Score SMA
0.4257
Rank
#57 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3283
Calculé le
31/10/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1311 r1h: -1.388% · r4h: -4.374% · r1d: -34.61% · r3d: -4.12% · ema21_slope: -0.9806% · dist_ema21: -11.387%
Force Relative 25% 0.2396 rs_1h: -1.222% · rs_4h: -4.257% · rs_1d: -35.35% · rs_3d: 0.50% · beta_24h: -1.200
Volume 20% 0.1748 rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.378 · trend: -95.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5038 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 68.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.1386 ATR%: 5.584% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 31/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3684
Score SMA
0.4645
Rank
#50 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1093
Rank Norm SMA
0.4252
Calculé le
31/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3942 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.116% · r1d: -30.93% · r3d: 0.20% · ema21_slope: 0.9305% · dist_ema21: -8.039%
Force Relative 25% 0.4107 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.085% · rs_1d: -31.72% · rs_3d: 5.16% · beta_24h: 0.433
Volume 20% 0.2451 rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.483 · trend: 7.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6565 ADX: 18.8 (weak) · Chop: 14.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -14.356% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.915% 0.1R -0.915% 0.1R 1.0× 12
2h +1.689% 0.1R -0.915% 0.1R 1.9× 24
4h +3.871% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 4.2× 48
6h ★ +4.152% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 4.5× 72
8h +4.645% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 5.1× 96
12h +4.785% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 5.2× 144
24h +4.926% 0.3R -9.289% 0.7R 0.5× 288
48h +4.926% 0.3R -24.771% 1.7R 0.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 764 min MAE in 1129 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 20 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
44%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.36 range_high -0.57% -1.00 29/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.16 bear_high -3.88% +0.50 31/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
ranging_calm 53% late — — — bear_medium -1.45% -1.00 31/10 18:00
15m —
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#466359
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.817 volatile_reversal bear_high
44%
noisy_chop 51% late 52b 0.2ATR — — 3.31 99% ↑ +0.50 above_value +4.52 — #220892 0.36 range_high -0.57% -1.00
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:32
4h
#473703
↓ down range range strong explosive 0.257 volatile_reversal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% mid 6b -0.5ATR — — 0.09 42% ↔ -0.03 above_value +0.11 — #224003 0.16 bear_high -3.88% +0.50
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:15
1h anchor
#474596
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.745 compression bear_high
54%
ranging_calm 53% late 11b -5.1ATR — — 0.01 5% ↓ -0.92 above_value -0.42 — #224403 — bear_medium -1.45% -1.00
31/10 18:00
upd 31/10 19:10
15m Pas de snapshot
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 52b — 33.648×ATR p100 +0.182×ATR p10
4h ↓ down mid 6b — 5.103×ATR p79 -0.526×ATR p23
1h ↓ down late 11b — 3.125×ATR p49 -5.062×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00162524
  2. tp_price: 0.00138547
  3. atr: 8.17E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T05:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 57
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.1311
  4. delta_2h: -0.0872
  5. extension_atr: -2.15
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001421 0.001625 0.001385 0.18 0.001475
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001421
  • Stop Loss: 0.001625
  • Take Profit: 0.001385

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001625 - 0.001421 = 0.000204

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001421 - 0.001385 = 3.6E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6E-5 / 0.000204 = 0.1765

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
55.66 55.66 39169.6044 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.000204

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000204 = 39215.69

Taille de position USD = 39215.69 x 0.001421 = 55.73

Donc, tu peux acheter 39215.69 avec un stoploss a 0.001625

Avec un position size USD de 55.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 39215.69 x 0.000204 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 39215.69 x 3.6E-5 = 1.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.41$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 39215.69
  • Taille de position USD 55.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.41
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.1765

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 1.41 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
14.36 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
1.41 $ 2.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9148 % 6.37 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001421 0.001625 0.001385 0.18 0.001475
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001421
  • Stop Loss: 0.001625
  • Take Profit: 0.001385

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001625 - 0.001421 = 0.000204

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001421 - 0.001385 = 3.6E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6E-5 / 0.000204 = 0.1765

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -14.356% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.915% 0.1R -0.915% 0.1R 1.0× 12
2h +1.689% 0.1R -0.915% 0.1R 1.9× 24
4h +3.871% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 4.2× 48
6h ★ +4.152% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 4.5× 72
8h +4.645% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 5.1× 96
12h +4.785% 0.3R -0.915% 0.1R 5.2× 144
24h +4.926% 0.3R -9.289% 0.7R 0.5× 288
48h +4.926% 0.3R -24.771% 1.7R 0.2× 576
⏱ MFE in 764 min MAE in 1129 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 20 minutes ago

Commentaires

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