Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1290.56 USELESS at 0.127$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1238 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1332 (4.88 %)
31 Oct 2026 at 20:15:19
hyperliquid
USELESS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 01:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.127$
Qty 1290.564 USELESS
Size 163.9016$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1238 (+2.52%)
TP $ 4.13$
SL 0.1332 (-4.88%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-4.88%
/ -8$
MAE -5.39%
MFE +0.25%
0.1R
expires
01 Nov 01:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 238534)
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/10/2026 20:00
score du 31/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0569
Quality Score
0.359
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.28×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.06
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/10 20:03
31/10 20:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/10 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7480
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
51.8%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.045
Δ 4h
→-0.044
Δ 12h
▲+0.068
Δ 24h
▼-0.235
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 36.8% |
| 1h | 71.1% |
| 4h | 42.1% |
| 24h | 39.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 39.5% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 50.0% | -0.06% |
| 24h | 36.8% | -0.44% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.70
Dispersion :
0.054
Universe :
38
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/10 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3281
Score SMA
0.2959
Rank
#77
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1364
Rank Norm SMA
0.2611
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1690 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.81% · r3d: -15.83% · ema21_slope: -1.1236% · dist_ema21: -19.454% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2860 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.59% · rs_3d: -11.44% · beta_24h: 4.246 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7000 | rvol_20: 2.97× · zscore_50: 0.558 · trend: 0.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4395 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 64.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 19.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3591
Score SMA
0.4839
Rank
#56
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0569
Rank Norm SMA
0.3343
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2867 | r1h: 0.370% · r4h: 0.141% · r1d: -5.47% · r3d: -24.80% · ema21_slope: -0.1781% · dist_ema21: -1.090% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3202 | rs_1h: 0.329% · rs_4h: 0.143% · rs_1d: -5.72% · rs_3d: -20.14% · beta_24h: 2.822 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1639 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: -76.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4404 | ADX: 13.0 (weak) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.042% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2339
Score SMA
0.3990
Rank
#57
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0086
Rank Norm SMA
0.2381
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1797 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.141% · r1d: -5.47% · r3d: -24.80% · ema21_slope: -0.9691% · dist_ema21: -8.198% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1815 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.143% · rs_1d: -5.72% · rs_3d: -20.14% · beta_24h: 4.907 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1608 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.800 · trend: -39.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6701 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.882%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.110% | 0.0R | -1.402% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.110% | 0.0R | -2.276% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -2.299% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.252% | 0.1R | -5.394% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -5.394% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.323% | 0.5R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.276% | 1.3R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.362% | 1.3R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1144 min
MAE in 579 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_high | -0.57% | -0.99 | 29/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.88% | -0.98 | 31/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.45% | -0.44 | 31/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | +0.05% | -0.13 | 31/10 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#466452
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 37b -1.5ATR | — | — | 2.97 | 77% | ↔ +0.15 | above_value | +0.50 | inside | #220910 | — | range_high | -0.57% | -0.99 |
29/10 20:00
upd 30/10 20:37
|
|
4h
#473730
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.432 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 7b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 29% | ↔ -0.11 | above_value | -1.97 | — | #224012 | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.88% | -0.98 |
31/10 12:00
upd 31/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #474604
|
↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | strong | fading | 0.734 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 4b -0.8ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.07 | 1% | ↓ -0.42 | above_value | -2.29 | — | #224411 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.45% | -0.44 |
31/10 18:00
upd 31/10 19:10
|
|
15m
#474836
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.633 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 7b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 12% | ↓ -0.69 | above_value | -2.29 | — | #224411 | 0.70 | range_low | +0.05% | -0.13 |
31/10 19:45
upd 31/10 20:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 8.513×ATR | — | -1.456×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.748×ATR | p0 | -1.353×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.85×ATR | p22 | -0.782×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.106×ATR | p33 | -0.747×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.13319884
- tp_price: 0.123825
- atr: 0.00247954
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T06:15:19+00:00
Details
- rank: 56
- total: 58
- score: 0.2789
- delta_2h: -0.0024
- extension_atr: -0.57
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0569
- confidence: 0.965
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.127 | 0.1332 | 0.1238 | 0.52 | 0.1336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.127
- Stop Loss: 0.1332
- Take Profit: 0.1238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1332 - 0.127 = 0.0062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.127 - 0.1238 = 0.0032
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0062 = 0.5161
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163.9016 | 100 | 1290.564 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0062
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0062 = 1290.32
Taille de position USD = 1290.32 x 0.127 = 163.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 1290.32 avec un stoploss a 0.1332
Avec un position size USD de 163.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0032 = 4.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1290.32
- Taille de position USD 163.87
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5161
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 4.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.88 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9843 % | 102.1 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.127 | 0.1332 | 0.1238 | 0.52 | 0.1336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.127
- Stop Loss: 0.1332
- Take Profit: 0.1238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1332 - 0.127 = 0.0062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.127 - 0.1238 = 0.0032
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0062 = 0.5161
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1238
[entry_price] => 0.127
[stop_loss] => 0.13382
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 06:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.882%
(0.0062)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.110% | 0.0R | -1.402% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.110% | 0.0R | -2.276% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -2.299% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.252% | 0.1R | -5.394% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -5.394% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.252% | 0.1R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.323% | 0.5R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.276% | 1.3R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.362% | 1.3R | -7.024% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1144 min
MAE in 579 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.