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Short Trade on INIT

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01 Nov 2026 at 01:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 435.67 INIT at 0.183$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.201 (10.08 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 01:15 → 04:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1826$

Qty 435.6679 INIT

Size 79.5486$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 79.55$

SL 0.201 (-10.08%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status win PnL +2.89% / +2.3$ MAE -1.34% MFE +3.67% 0.4R expires 01 Nov 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239025)
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0538

Quality Score
0.408
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.75×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.33
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/11 01:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7504
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 64.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→-0.009
Δ 1h
▲+0.130
Δ 4h
▼-0.077
Δ 12h
▼-0.115
Δ 24h
▲+0.537

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 86.1%
1h 83.3%
4h 61.1%
24h 75.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 86.1% +0.06%
4h 55.6% +0.33%
24h 63.9% +1.25%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
5.6%
Down ≥1σ
2.8%
Expansion
8.3%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion : 0.133
Universe : 36 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 01:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7217
Score SMA
0.8146
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
30/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8571 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.45% · r3d: 13.79% · ema21_slope: 2.9813% · dist_ema21: 23.883%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: 18.18% · beta_24h: 1.148
Volume 20% 0.6421 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.139 · trend: 227.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9913 ADX: 59.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4075
Score SMA
0.5543
Rank
#53 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0538
Rank Norm SMA
0.5941
Calculé le
01/11/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3446 r1h: -0.291% · r4h: 3.335% · r1d: 1.93% · r3d: -16.30% · ema21_slope: -0.0864% · dist_ema21: 2.440%
Force Relative 25% 0.4485 rs_1h: -0.422% · rs_4h: 3.085% · rs_1d: 1.09% · rs_3d: -13.41% · beta_24h: -4.041
Volume 20% 0.1993 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.605 · trend: -40.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6243 ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7138 ATR%: 3.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2821
Score SMA
0.5974
Rank
#55 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0329
Rank Norm SMA
0.7738
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3567 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.387% · r1d: -6.13% · r3d: -18.25% · ema21_slope: -0.4159% · dist_ema21: -8.196%
Force Relative 25% 0.2315 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.686% · rs_1d: -6.97% · rs_3d: -15.65% · beta_24h: 0.777
Volume 20% 0.1594 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.609 · trend: -64.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5690 ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.304% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.077% (0.0184)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.232% 0.1R -1.342% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 36
4h +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 48
8h +3.669% 0.4R -10.958% 1.1R 0.3× 96
12h +3.669% 0.4R -10.958% 1.1R 0.3× 144
24h +11.418% 1.1R -10.958% 1.1R 1.0× 288
48h +28.757% 2.9R -10.958% 1.1R 2.6× 576
72h +33.675% 3.3R -10.958% 1.1R 3.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1434 min MAE in 344 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h —
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.8ATR 0.13 bear_low -0.80% +0.02 01/11 01:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% late — near 0.0ATR 0.11 range_low +0.39% -0.00 01/11 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h Pas de snapshot
1h anchor
#476789
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.626 expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b 0.6ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.67 13% ↑ +0.17 value -5.07 — #225287 0.13 bear_low -0.80% +0.02
01/11 01:00
upd 01/11 01:11
15m
#476731
 ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.656 expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% late 11b 1.2ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.33 20% ↓ -0.49 value -4.67 — #225179 0.11 range_low +0.39% -0.00
01/11 01:45
upd 01/11 01:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↑ up early 2b — 2.351×ATR p32 +0.649×ATR p39
15m ↑ up late 11b — 5.149×ATR p81 +1.171×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.20095261
  2. atr: 0.00612087
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T09:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 56
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.341
  4. confidence: 0.982

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1826 0.201 0.1359
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1826
  • Stop Loss: 0.201
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.201 - 0.1826 = 0.0184

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1826 - = 0.1826

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1826 / 0.0184 = 9.9239

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
79.5486 79.5486 435.6679 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0184

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0184 = 434.78

Taille de position USD = 434.78 x 0.1826 = 79.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 434.78 avec un stoploss a 0.201

Avec un position size USD de 79.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 434.78 x 0.0184 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 434.78 x 0.1826 = 79.39

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 79.39$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 434.78
  • Taille de position USD 79.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 79.39
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.9239

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 79.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.08 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
2.3 $ 2.89
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3417 % 13.31 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1826 0.201 0.1359
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1826
  • Stop Loss: 0.201
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.201 - 0.1826 = 0.0184

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1826 - = 0.1826

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1826 / 0.0184 = 9.9239

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1458
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1366
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1274
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1182
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.109
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0998
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0906
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0814
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0722
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.063
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0538
            [stop_loss] => 0.201
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.077% (0.0184)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.232% 0.1R -1.342% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 36
4h +3.669% 0.4R -1.342% 0.1R 2.7× 48
8h +3.669% 0.4R -10.958% 1.1R 0.3× 96
12h +3.669% 0.4R -10.958% 1.1R 0.3× 144
24h +11.418% 1.1R -10.958% 1.1R 1.0× 288
48h +28.757% 2.9R -10.958% 1.1R 2.6× 576
72h +33.675% 3.3R -10.958% 1.1R 3.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1434 min MAE in 344 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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